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13911 Coyle St
B+ Composite 76.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,000

13911 Coyle St · Detroit, MI 48227
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,467 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1933 Est $89k · 20% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE REDUCED. HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by elec bid only. BRICK BUNGALOW INCLUDES LARGE LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, THREE BEDROOMS, ONE AND ONE-HALF BATHS, AND BASEMENT. DISCLOSURES: EVIDENCE OF MOLD-LIKE SUBSTNCE; TAKE APPROP ACTION; ROOF NEEDS REPAIR. LBP ADDENDUM.

Key facts

  • Vinyl flooring
  • Brick exterior
  • Fenced yard

Tags

FENCED YARDUPDATED KITCHENVINYL FLOORINGBRICK EXTERIORUNFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1933
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1,467
  • Exterior features: Located in the Cadillac Community subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $72k implies a 1820% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
12.59%
Cash-on-cash
22.49%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,487
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13995 Montrose St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,468 (+0%) 4mo $116,600 $79 79
14100 Winthrop St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,411 (-4%) 4mo $90,000 $64 76
14124 Sussex St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,646 (+12%) 3mo $70,000 $43 68
14192 Mansfield St 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,470 (+0%) 5mo $89,900 $61 67
14018 Prevost St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,532 (+4%) 5mo $75,000 $49 65
14400 Hubbell St 0.53mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,444 (-2%) 4mo $108,000 $75 62
14232 Lauder St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,272 (-13%) 2mo $60,000 $47 60
14572 Terry St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-15%) 4mo $103,000 $83 44
14689 Forrer St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,627 (+11%) 3mo $65,000 $40 43
14500 Ardmore St 0.74mi 3/2.5 1,596 (+9%) 5mo $120,000 $75 41
14644 Hubbell St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-15%) 2mo $45,000 $36 41
14574 Mark Twain St 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,650 (+12%) 2mo $50,000 $30 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$16,161
Equity at exit
$10,735
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$61,310
Equity at exit
$6,225

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$285 /mo · $3,424/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $877
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,373 $0.95 43d 1 0.13mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 5d 1 0.19mi
14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 0.32mi
13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 16d 1 0.33mi
12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 16d 1 0.42mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 43d 1 0.45mi
12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1597 $1,150 $0.72 5d 1 0.47mi
14615 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1217 $1,300 $1.07 16d 1 0.63mi
14580 Forrer St Unit Unit Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1300 $900 $0.69 20d 1 0.66mi
14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1033 $1,150 $1.11 20d 1 0.67mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 16d 1 0.69mi
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 0.70mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 43d 1 0.72mi
14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,473 $1.08 43d 1 0.78mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 15d 1 0.79mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 2d 1 0.81mi
12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 24d 1 0.81mi
12014 Terry St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1361 $1,200 $0.88 43d 1 0.83mi
12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 0.85mi
14836 Rutherford St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1104 $950 $0.86 43d 1 0.86mi
14535 Mettetal St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 43d 1 0.87mi
14510 Asbury Park Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1771 $1,250 $0.71 43d 1 0.87mi
12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 0.91mi
14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 12d 1 0.94mi
14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 5d 1 0.94mi
11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,326 $1.22 24d 1 0.95mi
16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 43d 1 0.95mi
11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,400 $1.19 16d 1 1.05mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 16d 1 1.06mi
15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 1.06mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 24d 1 1.06mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 24d 1 1.06mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 12d 1 1.06mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 16d 1 1.07mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 16d 1 1.07mi
11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,300 $0.90 43d 1 1.08mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 16d 1 1.08mi
14800 Woodmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,525 $0.95 15d 1 1.09mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 1.14mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 659-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $72,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,424 · $285/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,424 · $285/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,265
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$3,424
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$3,750
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$900
After-tax cash flow
$3,634/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $72,000 FSBO.com
  • 2012-02-02 Sold (MLS) $3,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-02-02 Sold (MLS) $3,750 REALCOMP
  • 2012-01-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-01-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-10-29 Listed $3,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-10-29 Listed $3,800 REALCOMP
  • 2010-10-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-10-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-09-29 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-09-29 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2003-12-12 Sold (MLS) $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-12-12 Sold (MLS) $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-10-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-08-13 Listed $93,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-08-12 Listed $93,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,424 · +67.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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