1226 Bender Ave · Holly Hill, FL 32117

$89,347

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 670 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market

Built 1951 9,147 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investor Special - Bring Your CASH, Toolbelt and Imagination! Welcome to your next big project! This diamond in the rough offers a rare opportunity for those not afraid to roll up their sleeves. The home is in need of significant repairs—we're talking new everything—but the potential is undeniable for the right buyer with vision and a renovation budget. Located in a transitioning neighborhood with growing demand, this property is perfect for experienced investors, seasoned flippers, or ambitious DIYers looking for a challenge. The layout offers good bones (we think), and the lot has space to dream big. Transform this forgotten shell into a custom masterpiece or profitable renta

Key facts

• 9,147 sq ft lot
• Built 1951
• Listed 81 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $813 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
• Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#325 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 332 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $617 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $20k; list at $89k implies a 347% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $83,986 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 39.01%
• DSCR: 2.74
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 33.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.35×
• Total profit: $33,790
• Equity at exit: $13,322

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.29×
• Total profit: $82,216
• Equity at exit: $7,725

Cash invested: $25,017 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32117

• Home prices YoY: -8.2%
• Rents YoY: 1.0%
• Active inventory: 332
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,810 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$469
• Tax from tax record: −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$380
• Net cashflow: $813

Break-even live

Break-even rent $780

Max offer price $89,347

Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $864	-5% $839	+0% $813	+5% $788	+10% $763
Rent	-10% $670	-5% $742	+0% $813	+5% $885	+10% $956
Rate	-1.0pp $858	-0.5pp $836	base $813	+0.5pp $790	+1.0pp $767

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,337
• Closing costs: $2,680
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
851 State Ave Daytona Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	682	$1,495	$2.19	24d	1	0.68mi
820 State Ave Unit 2 Daytona Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	690	$1,250	$1.81	24d	1	0.73mi
1521 Moravia Ave Daytona Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	700	$2,000	$2.86	19d	1	0.85mi
100 Navigator DR Daytona Beach, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1029	$1,808	$1.76	12d	25	1.20mi
101 Claysburg LN Holly Hill, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1163	$2,800	$2.41	15d	25	1.33mi

Listing history 7 events

1. 2025-08-10
   status Pending
2. 2025-07-03
   price $89,347
3. 2025-06-16
   price $94,050
4. 2025-05-21
   listed $99,000 Active
5. 2016-10-21
   historical
6. 2016-10-14
   listed $22,500
7. 1982-07-01
   soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,329 · $111/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,329 · $111/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,717
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,005
• − Property taxes: −$1,329
• − Insurance: −$447
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,737
• − Management: −$1,737
• − Depreciation: −$2,599
• Taxable income: $8,863
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,127
• After-tax cash flow: $7,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Volusia
• NCES district ID: 1201920
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,946
• Composite: 39.2/100
• National rank: #4019
• State rank: #47 of 73 in FL

Livability — Holly Hill

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #325
• US rank: #5737

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Holly Hill, FL
• County: Volusia County · 556,871 people
• City population: 67,539
• Metro: Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 30,955
• Household income: $56,419
• Rent vs Own: 52.3% rent · 47.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1781.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 572,749 people
• By 2030: 598,695 · +4.5%
• By 2040: 644,880 · +12.6%
• By 2050: 681,451 · +19.0%
• By 2075: 759,957 · +32.7%
• By 2100: 778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -96.62%
• Current HPI: 1084.54
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.01%
• Metro: Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+346.7% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2025-08-10 Pending — Daytona MLS
• 2025-07-03 Price Changed $89,347 Daytona MLS
• 2025-06-16 Price Changed $94,050 Daytona MLS
• 2025-05-21 Listed $99,000 Daytona MLS
• 2016-10-21 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2016-10-14 Listed $22,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1982-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,329 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.