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1139 Saint Paul St
C Composite 57.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

1139 Saint Paul St · Rochester, NY 14621
10 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,384 sqft · Townhouse public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1890 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ATTENTION INVESTORS! You do not want to miss this opportunity to add this to your portfolio. Well maintained 2 family for sale by long term owner with a Current C of O on the property. This 2 family property has shared living space with 3 Kitchens and 3 Bathrooms. Rooms on the 1st & 2nd floor and an additional basement studio with Approved Occupancy are all currently rented. A total of 10 rooms that are rented at 100% occupancy and are all 100% current. Every tenant has been independently screened by landlord, most tenants are long term. Total Gross annual rental income is $55,380 with an above average cap rate. Well maintained property, with a great Location, and plenty of off street parking makes this property highly desirable. Coin operated laundry on premises. All appliances stay. Detailed Proforma/ Profit and Loss available upon request from seller's agent. No seller financing. First Group Showing will be Saturday 5/28 from 1215- 1pm.

Key facts

  • Basement studio
  • 10 rented rooms
  • Two-family property

Tags

TWO-FAMILY PROPERTYLEGAL CERTIFICATE OF OCCUPANCYTHREE SEPARATE LIVING SPACESBASEMENT STUDIO10 RENTED ROOMS100 PERCENT OCCUPANCY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Owner pays grounds care, hot water, snow removal, trash collection, water; Rent includes gardener, hot water, snow removal, trash collection, water
  • Financial info: Property configured as a 2-unit building; Unit rents: one unit at $1,920, the other at $1,250; Operating expenses include advertising, electric, fuel, maintenance (structure and general), professional management, snow removal, utilities, water/sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking with two or more spaces
  • Utilities: Public water available and connected; Public sewer available and connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Blown-in insulation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Flag lot; Near public transit; Main thoroughfare road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dryer, Washer, Oven/Range, Refrigerator; Dining area connected to kitchen (in-unit); Eat-in kitchen (in one unit); Formal dining room (in one unit)
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 5 bedrooms; One unit with 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total property)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Finished full basement; Attic
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in units; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 10-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,980/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.89%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$2,180
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$77,432
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14621

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,980 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,127/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,549
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $184,900 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 562-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $184,900 Active 32 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,127 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,626 · $219/mo
Expected delta
+$499/yr (+$42/mo · 23.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,762
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$2,127
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,901
− Management
−$1,901
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$1,172
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$281
After-tax cash flow
$3,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
32,381
Household income
$35,383
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
2756.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.66%
Current HPI
254.1805
Rent YoY
▲ 8.88%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+113.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-28 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $184,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-10-04 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-19 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-04 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
  • 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-25 Sold (MLS) $183,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-06-13 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2022-06-02 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2022-05-26 Listed $197,700 UNYREIS
  • 2021-07-28 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2021-07-16 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2021-07-14 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2021-06-29 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
  • 1996-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 1993-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $86,804 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,127 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…