3510 Woodrow · Selma, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 41 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 45 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This little gem sits in a cul-de-sac and needs a little TLC but has a lot of potential. Roof may be a concern for a conventional loan so Owner would prefer a cash sale. Close to shopping and direct route to freeway.
Key facts
- 9,574 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1992
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-121 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (6.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (26.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.8% in Selma — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#658 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-, commute B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Selma Unified (town): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #250 of 517 in CA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Theodore Roosevelt Elementary (636 students, 91% FRL); Abraham Lincoln Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 888 students, 91% FRL); Selma High (math 22% / reading 63%, grade F, #466 of 1,170 statewide, top 40%, 1,742 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 73% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,423/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 797% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $226k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.58%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $376,808
- List price
- $329,000
- Delta
- -12.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3507 Olive St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+3%) | 18mo | $365,000 | $300 | 79 |
| 1418 Huntsman Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.8 | 1,275 (+8%) | 13mo | $375,000 | $294 | 68 |
| 2980 Olive St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+7%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $278 | 62 |
| 1607 Cooper St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+12%) | 2mo | $393,000 | $296 | 57 |
| 1528 Floral Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,127 (-5%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $306 | 55 |
| 3518 Howard St | 0.68mi | 3/1.8 | 1,281 (+8%) | 9mo | $370,000 | $289 | 46 |
| 2982 D St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+10%) | 12mo | $340,000 | $262 | 46 |
| 2111 Oak St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+6%) | 16mo | $365,000 | $292 | 45 |
| 2111 Oak St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+6%) | 16mo | $365,000 | $292 | 45 |
| 1434 Alton St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (-11%) | 12mo | $257,500 | $245 | 44 |
| 1813 Cooper St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+12%) | 11mo | $407,000 | $306 | 43 |
| 1441 Oak St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (-11%) | 17mo | $335,000 | $318 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-61,139
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-63,622
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93662
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,423 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,073/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $-121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $65 | -5% $-28 | +0% $-121 | +5% $-214 | +10% $-307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-313 | -5% $-217 | +0% $-121 | +5% $-25 | +10% $70 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $45 | -0.5pp $-37 | base $-121 | +0.5pp $-206 | +1.0pp $-293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1650 Floral Ave Selma, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,799 | $2.25 | 3d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 3069 Thompson Ave Selma, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,175 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1250 Rorden Ave Unit 802 Selma, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $3,750 | $3.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $329,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $329,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $329,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $329,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-23$329,000 Active 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
This little gem sits in a cul-de-sac and needs a little TLC but has a lot of potential. Roof may be a concern for a conventional loan so Owner would prefer a cash sale. Close to shopping and direct route to freeway.
-
2018-03-10price $224,999 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Very beautiful home located in a great Selma neighborhood. Home Shows pride in ownership. Exceptionally large Cul de sac Lot. Huge back yard with mature trees. RV parking. This is an elegant single level home Located minutes from local shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Must see.
-
2018-03-09soldstatus $226,000 Sold 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Very beautiful home located in a great Selma neighborhood. Home Shows pride in ownership. Exceptionally large Cul de sac Lot. Huge back yard with mature trees. RV parking. This is an elegant single level home Located minutes from local shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Must see.
-
2018-03-09soldstatus $226,000
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Very beautiful home located in a great Selma neighborhood. Home Shows pride in ownership. Exceptionally large Cul de sac Lot. Huge back yard with mature trees. RV parking. This is an elegant single level home Located minutes from local shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Must see.
-
2018-02-07status Backup 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Very beautiful home located in a great Selma neighborhood. Home Shows pride in ownership. Exceptionally large Cul de sac Lot. Huge back yard with mature trees. RV parking. This is an elegant single level home Located minutes from local shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Must see.
-
2018-02-07price $226,000 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Very beautiful home located in a great Selma neighborhood. Home Shows pride in ownership. Exceptionally large Cul de sac Lot. Huge back yard with mature trees. RV parking. This is an elegant single level home Located minutes from local shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Must see.
-
2018-01-29status Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Very beautiful home located in a great Selma neighborhood. Home Shows pride in ownership. Exceptionally large Cul de sac Lot. Huge back yard with mature trees. RV parking. This is an elegant single level home Located minutes from local shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Must see.
-
2018-01-18historical Temporary Hold 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Very beautiful home located in a great Selma neighborhood. Home Shows pride in ownership. Exceptionally large Cul de sac Lot. Huge back yard with mature trees. RV parking. This is an elegant single level home Located minutes from local shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Must see.
-
2018-01-18$224,999 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Very beautiful home located in a great Selma neighborhood. Home Shows pride in ownership. Exceptionally large Cul de sac Lot. Huge back yard with mature trees. RV parking. This is an elegant single level home Located minutes from local shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Must see.
-
2017-08-09$215,000 Active
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2017-08-09historical Temporary Hold
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2001-10-22soldstatus $110,000
-
1996-01-16soldstatus $96,000
-
1992-09-01soldstatus $91,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,073 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,500 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- +$428/yr (+$36/mo · 20.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 41 unhealthy d/yr today · 45 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,073
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$2,073
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,326
- − Management
- −$2,326
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$7,297
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,751
- After-tax cash flow
- $297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Selma Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636270
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,026
- Composite
- 32.75/100
- National rank
- #5636
- State rank
- #250 of 517 in CA
Livability — Selma
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #658
- US rank
- #20374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Selma, CA
- County
- Fresno County · 834,801 people
- City population
- 29,419
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,419
- Household income
- $61,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 797.0
Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,042,971 people
- By 2030
- 1,072,198 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 1,122,408 · +7.6%
- By 2050
- 1,157,251 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 1,182,575 · +13.4%
- By 2100
- 1,105,899 · +6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 79% Two or more races 19% White 14% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 77%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 1% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 47% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Fresno
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -178.57%
- Current HPI
- 369.7645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+261.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $329,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-03-10 Price Changed $224,999 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $226,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-09 Sold (MLS) $226,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-02-07 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2018-02-07 Price Changed $226,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-01-29 Relisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2018-01-18 Listed $224,999 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-01-18 Delisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2017-08-09 Listed $215,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2017-08-09 Delisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2001-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1996-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 1992-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,073 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…