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3134 Wilkens Ave
C Composite 59.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

3134 Wilkens Ave · Baltimore, MD 21223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,072 sqft · Townhouse public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1920 1,330 sqft lot $117/sqft · 33% above area Est $94k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hurry—this one won’t last! This move-in ready, spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath townhome is the opportunity you’ve been waiting for. Step on the covered front porch, and into a home featuring updated flooring and a welcoming layout. The kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances, and the convenience of a main-level washer and dryer. The unfinished basement offers incredible potential—ready to be transformed into additional living space, a home office, or recreation area—adding both functionality and future value. Whether you're a first-time buyer or a savvy investor, this home checks all the boxes for comfort, value, and opportunity. Schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Unfinished basement
  • Updated flooring

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHUPDATED FLOORINGSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESMAIN-LEVEL WASHER AND DRYERUNFINISHED BASEMENTADDITIONAL LIVING SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elmer A. Henderson: A Johns Hopkins Partnership (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 642 students, 80% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 79% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $125k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.78%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,647
List price
$124,900
Delta
33.37%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1052 Parksley Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (-2%) 4mo $110,000 $105 75
3396 Dulany St 0.41mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,080 (+1%) 0mo $177,523 $164 72
3549 Benzinger Rd 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,050 (-2%) 0mo $192,800 $184 58
3547 Benzinger Rd 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,050 (-2%) 1mo $199,900 $190 57
1023 Rockhill Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 992 (-8%) 0mo $220,000 $222 57
3517 Wilkens Ave 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,050 (-2%) 4mo $215,000 $205 56
3507 Greenvale Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,024 (-4%) 0mo $241,000 $235 54
3579 Benzinger Rd 0.73mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,050 (-2%) 3mo $189,000 $180 53
2637 Dulany St 0.59mi 3/1.0 972 (-9%) 6mo $35,000 $36 52
2737 Wilkens Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,232 (+15%) 4mo $53,000 $43 51
3542 Benzinger Rd 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 999 (-7%) 1mo $198,000 $198 48
2642 Wilkens Ave 0.57mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,174 (+10%) 4mo $51,000 $43 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$16,936
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$88,000
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21223

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
425
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,660 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,736/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$460

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,078
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $530 -5% $495 +0% $460 +5% $424 +10% $389
Rent -10% $329 -5% $394 +0% $460 +5% $525 +10% $591
Rate -1.0pp $523 -0.5pp $492 base $460 +0.5pp $427 +1.0pp $394

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3130 Stafford St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 22d 1 0.33mi
3392 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 25d 1 0.40mi
2737 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,650 $1.34 6d 1 0.43mi
2738 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1183 $1,500 $1.27 45d 1 0.44mi
2671 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1144 $1,325 $1.16 45d 1 0.55mi
2657 Lehman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,000 $0.95 45d 1 0.58mi
2509 Christian St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1248 $1,699 $1.36 5d 1 0.72mi
2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,800 $1.34 12d 1 0.73mi
2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,800 $1.34 45d 1 0.73mi
332 S Franklintown Rd Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 776 $795 $1.02 25d 1 0.74mi
2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,400 $1.30 25d 1 0.77mi
3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,625 $1.31 25d 1 0.84mi
1706 Harman Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,600 $1.52 0d 1 0.87mi
3310 Elbert St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 920 $1,550 $1.68 25d 1 0.90mi
110 S Catherine St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1330 $1,500 $1.13 45d 1 0.91mi
2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 25d 1 0.95mi
41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,800 $1.48 25d 1 0.98mi
2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 45d 1 0.98mi
304 Collins Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1016 $2,100 $2.07 45d 1 0.99mi
212 S Loudon Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1310 $1,550 $1.18 45d 1 0.99mi
3704 Coolidge Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1262 $2,000 $1.58 22d 1 1.01mi
1931 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 912 $1,349 $1.48 6d 1 1.04mi
4018 Massachusetts Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 25d 1 1.05mi
307 S Smallwood St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1400 $1,350 $0.96 45d 1 1.05mi
4301 Parkton St Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 730 $1,550 $2.12 45d 1 1.07mi
514 S Payson St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1264 $1,750 $1.38 45d 1 1.12mi
2056 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1230 $1,495 $1.22 23d 1 1.16mi
3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,895 $1.80 6d 1 1.18mi
2225 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,600 $1.33 25d 1 1.19mi
2232 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,875 $1.50 25d 1 1.19mi
62 N Gorman Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 19d 1 1.20mi
751 Yale Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $1,750 $1.71 45d 1 1.21mi
738 Yale Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1346 $1,900 $1.41 25d 1 1.22mi
2815 W Mulberry St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1040 $2,050 $1.97 45d 1 1.23mi
1708 Hall Ave Unit 2 Halethorpe, MD 2.0 1.0 845 $1,625 $1.92 13d 1 1.24mi
405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1408 $2,750 $1.95 0d 1 1.26mi
4431 Eldone Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 896 $2,000 $2.23 25d 1 1.29mi
2 S Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 856 $1,160 $1.36 16d 1 1.31mi
2 N Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 738 $1,335 $1.81 5d 5 1.32mi
500 Lucia Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1472 $2,100 $1.43 18d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,900 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $124,900 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-03-25
    listed $124,900 Active 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    Hurry—this one won’t last! This move-in ready, spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath townhome is the opportunity you’ve been waiting for. Step on the covered front porch, and into a home featuring updated flooring and a welcoming layout. The kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances, and the convenience of a main-level washer and dryer. The unfinished basement offers incredible potential—ready to be transformed into additional living space, a home office, or recreation area—adding both functionality and future value. Whether you're a first-time buyer or a savvy investor, this home checks all the boxes for comfort, value, and opportunity. Schedule your tour today!

  16. 2026-02-07
    historical
  17. 2026-02-04
    listed $125,000 Active
  18. 2026-02-04
    historical
  19. 2025-06-07
    historical
  20. 2025-04-06
    price $169,900
  21. 2025-01-17
    price $149,900
  22. 2024-12-09
    listed $169,000 Active
  23. 2020-08-20
    soldstatus $60,000
  24. 2019-03-25
    soldstatus $21,000
  25. 2014-11-04
    status Contract
  26. 2014-11-04
    soldstatus $17,000 Sold
  27. 2014-11-04
    soldstatus $17,000
  28. 2014-09-23
    listed $15,000 Active
  29. 2014-09-23
    listed $15,000
  30. 1982-11-10
    soldstatus $21,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,736 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,736 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,920
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,736
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,594
− Management
−$1,594
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$3,743
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$898
After-tax cash flow
$4,619/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
19,572
Household income
$45,840
Rent vs Own
68.0% rent · 32.0% own
Severe rent burden
1755.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.99%
Current HPI
140.5836
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+470.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-06 Price Changed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-17 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-09 Listed $169,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2019-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 2014-11-04 Pending MRIS
  • 2014-11-04 Sold (MLS) $17,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-11-04 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MRIS
  • 2014-09-23 Listed $15,000 MRIS
  • 2014-09-23 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1982-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $21,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,736 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…