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2907 Union St
B+ Composite 76.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

2907 Union St · Hobart, IN 46342
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,694 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1870 1.00 ac lot Est $230k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 1 acre fenced lot with 1.5 story 3 bedroom home in need of work/updating! Bring your cash buyers to check out this one - main level offers vestibule with French doors to large living room open to huge formal dining area with 9' ceilings & stained glass accent, kitchen with door to back deck, 1 bedroom with wood flooring & huge bath with wood laminate flooring. Upstairs you will find 2 additional bedrooms (1 has no closet) and the other has a nice closet and an 11x7 sitting area. Unfinished cellar type basement with door to back. Plaster walls and 1.5 car detached garage. This home is being sold as-is

Key facts

  • Oversized driveway
  • Low-traffic street
  • Detached garage

Tags

COVERED FRONT AND BACK PORCHESDETACHED GARAGEOVERSIZED DRIVEWAYAMPLE OFF-STREET PARKINGLOW-TRAFFIC STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area consists of above-grade and below-grade finished space (above grade finished area and below grade finished area recorded)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; Additional off-street parking; 1 garage space
  • Security: Other security features
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service); Natural gas connected; Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: One and one-half story; Built in 1870
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Other construction materials; Basement (other type)
  • Exterior features: Rural view; Covered porch or patio; Chain link fencing; Garage(s) structure present

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Total rooms: 6; Basement present (finished area listed)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Other flooring types
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.2% in Hobart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#196 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • River Forest Community School Corporation (suburban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #268 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $93k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
11.88%
Cash-on-cash
19.95%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$230,384
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2737 Vermillion St 0.26mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,636 (-3%) 4mo $194,900 $119 74
4265 E 28th Ave 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,840 (+9%) 6mo $155,000 $84 70
2747 Vigo St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,768 (+4%) 9mo $240,000 $136 63
3092 Edgewood St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,724 (+2%) 8mo $245,000 $142 61
2868 Edgewood St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,746 (+3%) 1mo $343,400 $197 61
2850 Vermillion St 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,504 (-11%) 8mo $186,459 $124 60
2669 Vigo St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,840 (+9%) 19mo $150,000 $82 48
3125 Old Hobart Rd 0.71mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,840 (+9%) 5mo $181,000 $98 41
3550 Old Hobart Rd 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,900 (+12%) 12mo $237,555 $125 37
3118 Edgewood St 0.59mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,496 (-12%) 14mo $218,000 $146 34
3540 Old Hobart Rd 0.62mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,934 (+14%) 10mo $270,000 $140 26
2435 Spencer St 0.68mi 3/3.0 1,456 (-14%) 21mo $239,000 $164 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$20,995
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$85,118
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46342

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,774 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,966/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,067
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2870 Vigo St Lake Station, IN 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,850 $1.28 43d 1 0.17mi
2701 Union St Lake Station, IN 3.0 2.0 1958 $1,700 $0.87 43d 1 0.25mi
3101 County Line Rd Portage, IN 3.0 2.0 1177 $1,900 $1.61 1d 1 0.54mi
5091 Central Ave Portage, IN 3.0 1.0 1644 $2,000 $1.22 1d 1 0.93mi
4546 Marquette Rd Lake Station, IN 3.0 2.0 1621 $1,800 $1.11 1d 1 0.98mi
5423 Tulip Ave Portage, IN 3.0 1.0 1872 $2,000 $1.07 12d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $120,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,966 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,966 · $164/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,294
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,966
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,704
− Management
−$1,704
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$5,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,226
After-tax cash flow
$5,479/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Forest Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1804620
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,317
Composite
19.65/100
National rank
#8738
State rank
#268 of 301 in IN

Livability — Hobart

Score
69/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#8834

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hobart, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
32,224
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
32,224
Household income
$75,521
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
1033.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.01%
Current HPI
260.2635
Rent YoY
▲ 5.63%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $120,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-27 Sold (MLS) $93,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-27 Sold (MLS) $93,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-23 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-23 Listed $110,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,966 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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