9160 Winthrop St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 9160 Winthrop - a charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located on Detroit's desirable west side! This property offers a spacious layout with great potential for both homeowners and investors alike. Features include a functional floor plan, generous living space, a full basement, for added convenience. Situated on a quiet residential block near schools, parks, shopping, and major freeways, this home provides easy access to everything Detroit has to offer. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or your next investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.08 acres (35 x 98)
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Electric with circuit breakers; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with asphalt roofing
- Exterior features: Porch; Exterior lighting; Asphalt roof; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished basement; Accessible entrance, bedroom, doors, kitchen, and stairway
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Henderson Academy (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 520 students, 91% FRL); Cody High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 466 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 89% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,323/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.96%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $56,940
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9555 Montrose St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (+5%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $45 | 74 |
| 8871 Sussex St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,049 (+10%) | 1mo | $118,000 | $112 | 69 |
| 8160 Sussex St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+1%) | 1mo | $58,000 | $60 | 67 |
| 8348 Terry St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (-2%) | 4mo | $82,500 | $89 | 67 |
| 9580 Mansfield St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 890 (-6%) | 0mo | $23,000 | $26 | 65 |
| 9599 Whitcomb St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (+12%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $52 | 62 |
| 8254 Sussex St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,006 (+6%) | 3mo | $108,000 | $107 | 61 |
| 8255 Marlowe St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 915 (-4%) | 4mo | $27,400 | $30 | 58 |
| 9997 Robson St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 865 (-9%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $40 | 55 |
| 9606 Sussex St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,060 (+12%) | 4mo | $76,000 | $72 | 54 |
| 9930 Whitcomb St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (+14%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $32 | 54 |
| 11360 Prest St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 842 (-11%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $65 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $8,261
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $26,680
- Equity at exit
- $7,781
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,323 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,399/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $470 | -5% $445 | +0% $419 | +5% $394 | +10% $368 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $367 | +0% $419 | +5% $471 | +10% $524 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $465 | -0.5pp $442 | base $419 | +0.5pp $396 | +1.0pp $372 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 18d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 26d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 10015 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 11393 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,326 | $1.22 | 26d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,350 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,373 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 26d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 13717 Keal St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,200 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 0d | 15 | 1.21mi |
| 9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-22$89,999 Active 615-char remark
Show marketing remark (615 chars)
Welcome to 9160 Winthrop - a charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located on Detroit's desirable west side! This property offers a spacious layout with great potential for both homeowners and investors alike. Features include a functional floor plan, generous living space, a full basement, for added convenience. Situated on a quiet residential block near schools, parks, shopping, and major freeways, this home provides easy access to everything Detroit has to offer. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or your next investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-22$89,999 Active
Show marketing remark (615 chars)
Welcome to 9160 Winthrop - a charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located on Detroit's desirable west side! This property offers a spacious layout with great potential for both homeowners and investors alike. Features include a functional floor plan, generous living space, a full basement, for added convenience. Situated on a quiet residential block near schools, parks, shopping, and major freeways, this home provides easy access to everything Detroit has to offer. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or your next investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-18historical $89,999 615-char remark
Show marketing remark (615 chars)
Welcome to 9160 Winthrop - a charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located on Detroit's desirable west side! This property offers a spacious layout with great potential for both homeowners and investors alike. Features include a functional floor plan, generous living space, a full basement, for added convenience. Situated on a quiet residential block near schools, parks, shopping, and major freeways, this home provides easy access to everything Detroit has to offer. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or your next investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-05-03historical
-
2025-05-03historical
-
2025-01-02$73,000 Active
-
2025-01-02$73,000 Active
-
2021-07-14soldstatus $74,900
-
1993-12-16soldstatus $12,915
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,877
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,399
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,270
- − Management
- −$1,270
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $3,828
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$919
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,112/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+596.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-18 Coming Soon $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-02 Listed $73,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-01-02 Listed $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 1993-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $12,915 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,399 · -9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…