237 2nd Ave SW · Cut Bank, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,013 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 20 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Has basement with crawl space and concrete
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($809 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.0% in Cut Bank — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#81 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, employment D+.
- Cut Bank H S (town): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #268 of 339 in MT (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.04%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-4,607
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $6,704
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59427
- Home prices YoY
- -35.0%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $809 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $657/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$170
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$80,000 Active
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2025-09-18$90,000 Active
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2025-02-27soldstatus
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2025-02-27soldstatus
-
2012-03-27soldstatus
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2010-08-19soldstatus
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2006-11-27soldstatus
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1996-02-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $657 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $672 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$15/yr (+$1/mo · 2.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥88°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$657
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$777
- − Management
- −$777
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $289
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$69
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cut Bank H S
- NCES district ID
- 3008190
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,470
- Composite
- 16.78/100
- National rank
- #14223
- State rank
- #268 of 339 in MT
Livability — Cut Bank
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #81
- US rank
- #8053
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cut Bank, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,955
Population outlook (Glacier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,805 people
- By 2030
- 13,789 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 13,635 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 13,417 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 13,107 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 12,567 · -9.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Native American 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Glacier
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.6) · D 57.8% · R 38.2% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.1pp toward R · 2008: 39.7pp · 2024: 19.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.6 2020: D+30.6 2016: D+29.7 2012: D+32.5 2008: D+39.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.39%
- Current HPI
- 162.3013
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-11.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $80,000 MRMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $90,000 MRMLS
- 2025-02-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-02-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-03-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-11-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-02-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2024): $657 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…