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346 Mueller Ave
B Composite 70.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

346 Mueller Ave · Ferguson, MO 63135
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1949 6,499 sqft lot Est $62k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is a prime rehab candidate, offering excellent potential for investors looking to add to their portfolio. This home is being sold as-is and needs renovation; the seller will not provide warranties, inspections, or repairs. Don't miss this opportunity to maximize your investment potential and make this property truly your own!

Key facts

  • 6,499 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (Three phase); Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air (Natural Gas); Central air
  • Interior features: Central air; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($956 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 9.2% in Ferguson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 50% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $60k implies a 328% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.58%
Cash-on-cash
26.02%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$61,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
346 Mueller Ave 0.00mi 1/1.0 700 (0%) 19mo $39,900 $57 84
302 Plaza Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 (+1) 704 (+1%) 11mo $85,000 $121 80
462 S Dade Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (+3%) 5mo $60,750 $84 75
313 S Dade Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+10%) 5mo $67,500 $88 69
811 Marvin Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (+3%) 7mo $99,999 $139 62
901 Arline Ave 0.56mi 1/1.0 744 (+6%) 8mo $50,000 $67 57
405 Estelle Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (+1) 775 (+11%) 1mo $79,900 $103 56
350 S Harvey Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 (+1) 608 (-13%) 14mo $40,000 $66 48
122 N Dade Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (+1) 725 (+4%) 17mo $70,000 $97 41
137 Wiegel Dr 0.71mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+10%) 11mo $34,900 $45 36
6014 Eaton Dr 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 792 (+13%) 9mo $65,000 $82 33
6000 Cascade Dr 0.73mi 2/1.0 (+1) 792 (+13%) 18mo $99,900 $126 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$18,509
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
5.11×
Total profit
$68,932
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63135

Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$956 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $625/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$364

Break-even live

Break-even rent $495
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $398 -5% $381 +0% $364 +5% $347 +10% $330
Rent -10% $288 -5% $326 +0% $364 +5% $401 +10% $439
Rate -1.0pp $394 -0.5pp $379 base $364 +0.5pp $348 +1.0pp $332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
334 Mueller Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 713 $825 $1.16 24d 1 0.04mi
5500 Mable Ave Unit 5518 B4 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $835 $1.11 44d 1 0.25mi
806 Marvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 726 $1,100 $1.52 44d 1 0.49mi
601 Carson Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 743 $950 $1.28 24d 1 0.57mi
26 Arbor Village Ct Ferguson, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 714 $800 $1.12 24d 1 0.95mi
6315 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 739 $1,175 $1.59 17d 1 1.27mi
7733 Brand Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 656 $1,090 $1.66 24d 1 1.28mi
9316 Koenig Cir Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,150 $1.60 5d 5 1.30mi
6336 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,175 $1.63 44d 1 1.31mi
6180 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 729 $1,300 $1.78 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    price $59,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    status $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$625 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$625 · $52/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,466
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$625
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$917
− Management
−$917
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$3,610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$866
After-tax cash flow
$3,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Ferguson

Score
58/100
State rank
#586
US rank
#20809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ferguson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
17,813
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
18,381
Household income
$52,328
Rent vs Own
45.8% rent · 54.2% own
Severe rent burden
957.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.56%
Current HPI
138.6781
Rent YoY
▲ 9.03%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+614.3% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Coming Soon $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-03 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-17 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-25 Listed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
  • 2016-06-16 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-27 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-12 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-04 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-05 Price Changed $16,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-08 Listed $20,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $5,500 Public Records
  • 2013-12-10 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-09-14 Listed $6,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $6,500 Public Records
  • 2001-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $9,100 Public Records
  • 1998-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2022): $625 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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