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3073 Duval Loop 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 46.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$3,195

3073 Duval Loop · Richland, WA 99352
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,993 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2020 0.27 ac lot $1/sqft · 99% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

At 2968 square feet, the Vale home is not only spacious, but provides ample storage options. The incredible storage space begins with the oversized garage and practical mudroom entrance. This leads into the dining and kitchen area, which contains a large pantry, island and abundant counter space, perfect for entertaining or day-to-day life. The kitchen, adjacent to the great room features lots of natural lighting. The second level features even more space and storage, beginning with the versatile loft area that can turn into an optional junior suite. The expansive master suite opens with double doors and boasts a coffered ceiling. The master bathroom features a dual vanity, water closet, soaking tub and another oversized closet. Rounding out the home are two additional sizeable bedrooms with substantial closet space as well. Live in organized comfort, in a home perfect home for those needing extra space and storage.

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Modern kitchen
  • Walk-in pantry

Tags

MODERN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSPACIOUS EAT-AT ISLANDWINE BAR WITH WINE COOLERWALK-IN PANTRYPRIVATE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $3,195 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$541,682) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $3k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $3k).
  • Cap rate 838.8% vs local median 2.8% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#112 in WA, #2,258 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Kennewick School District (urban): math 43% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #141 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 544 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $22 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $96 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $895 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $3,195

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
88.69%
Cap rate
838.83%
Cash-on-cash
2973.34%
DSCR
133.30
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$541,682
List price
$3,195
Delta
-99.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2945 Castle Rock Blvd 0.08mi 4/2.5 2,968 (-1%) 12mo $549,000 $185 83
3231 Brighton Ct 0.63mi 4/2.5 2,941 (-2%) 7mo $699,000 $238 60
176 Andrea Ln 0.71mi 4/3.5 2,888 (-4%) 2mo $690,000 $239 58
201 Piper St 0.72mi 4/3.0 3,244 (+8%) 1mo $600,000 $185 52
8816 W 6th Ave 0.72mi 4/2.5 3,062 (+2%) 12mo $665,000 $217 51
10124 W 16th Pl 0.70mi 5/3.0 (+1) 3,093 (+3%) 10mo $699,000 $226 49
120 Andrea Ln 0.54mi 4/2.0 2,554 (-15%) 6mo $640,000 $251 42
181 Bear Dr 0.71mi 4/2.5 2,773 (-7%) 13mo $565,000 $204 42
8812 W 1st Pl 0.75mi 5/2.5 (+1) 3,207 (+7%) 10mo $620,000 $193 38
100 S Nevada St 0.68mi 4/2.0 2,568 (-14%) 9mo $560,000 $218 33
216 Pacific Ct 0.59mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,602 (-13%) 14mo $588,400 $226 32
201 Rocky Mountain Ct 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,650 (-12%) 13mo $565,000 $213 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
153.88×
Total profit
$136,766
Equity at exit
$476
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
319.97×
Total profit
$285,349
Equity at exit
$276

Cash invested: $895 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99352

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
544
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,834 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$17
Tax est. 1.5%
$4 /mo · $48/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$595
Net cashflow
$2,217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $28
Max offer price $3,195
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$799
Closing costs
$96
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
867 S Zeelar St Kennewick, WA 4.0 2.5 1968 $2,495 $1.27 43d 1 0.42mi
8503 W 3rd Ave Kennewick, WA 4.0 2.5 3076 $2,695 $0.88 20d 1 1.01mi
423 Nicklaus Ct Richland, WA 3.0 3.5 2590 $3,000 $1.16 43d 1 1.37mi
8731 W Skagit Ave Kennewick, WA 3.0 2.5 2660 $4,000 $1.50 20d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    historical $3,195
  2. 2026-05-16
    listed $3,195
  3. 2026-05-14
    listed $3,195 Active 2268-char remark
  4. 2020-08-25
    soldstatus $414,038 929-char remark
    Show marketing remark (929 chars)

    At 2968 square feet, the Vale home is not only spacious, but provides ample storage options. The incredible storage space begins with the oversized garage and practical mudroom entrance. This leads into the dining and kitchen area, which contains a large pantry, island and abundant counter space, perfect for entertaining or day-to-day life. The kitchen, adjacent to the great room features lots of natural lighting. The second level features even more space and storage, beginning with the versatile loft area that can turn into an optional junior suite. The expansive master suite opens with double doors and boasts a coffered ceiling. The master bathroom features a dual vanity, water closet, soaking tub and another oversized closet. Rounding out the home are two additional sizeable bedrooms with substantial closet space as well. Live in organized comfort, in a home perfect home for those needing extra space and storage.

  5. 2020-03-01
    listed $414,038 929-char remark
    Show marketing remark (929 chars)

    At 2968 square feet, the Vale home is not only spacious, but provides ample storage options. The incredible storage space begins with the oversized garage and practical mudroom entrance. This leads into the dining and kitchen area, which contains a large pantry, island and abundant counter space, perfect for entertaining or day-to-day life. The kitchen, adjacent to the great room features lots of natural lighting. The second level features even more space and storage, beginning with the versatile loft area that can turn into an optional junior suite. The expansive master suite opens with double doors and boasts a coffered ceiling. The master bathroom features a dual vanity, water closet, soaking tub and another oversized closet. Rounding out the home are two additional sizeable bedrooms with substantial closet space as well. Live in organized comfort, in a home perfect home for those needing extra space and storage.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,006
− Mortgage interest
−$179
− Property taxes
−$48
− Insurance
−$16
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,720
− Management
−$2,720
− Depreciation
−$93
Taxable income
$28,229
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,775
After-tax cash flow
$19,825/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kennewick School District
NCES district ID
5303930
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,191
Composite
45.56/100
National rank
#5667
State rank
#141 of 291 in WA

Livability — Richland

Score
79/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#2258

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime C+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richland, WA
County
Benton County · 186,895 people
City population
62,989
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,430
Household income
$100,108
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
983.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
219,421 people
By 2030
233,813 · +6.6%
By 2040
262,134 · +19.5%
By 2050
290,100 · +32.2%
By 2075
363,525 · +65.7%
By 2100
418,667 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -323.81%
Current HPI
217.3435
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Rental Removed $3,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-05-16 Listed for Rent $3,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2020-08-25 Sold (MLS) $414,038 PACMLS
  • 2020-03-01 Listed $414,038 PACMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,430 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…