428 N Gorman St · Blue Earth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$154,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charm galore is what you will find in this adorable 2+ bedroom home, sitting on a knoll of a double corner lot! The main floor features a kitchen with rustic character, formal dining room with large picture window, spacious living room, 4 season porch that also provides access to the backyard & gardens, and a bedroom with ensuite office space, plus completely remodeled full bathroom! Upstairs, you will find 2 rooms (one bedroom, one flex space), giving you options on how to utilize the space. The basement is great for storage, and also provides a laundry room with 3/4 bath. A double detached garage, patio area, and well-developed perennial beds add to the character & curb appeal!
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1880
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached concrete parking (garage door opener); RV access/parking available; 2-car garage (26 x 30)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half levels; Entry level rooms on main floor
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (partial, unfinished basement); Built area above grade finished: 1,368; Below-grade area: 700
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Patio; Corner lot; City street frontage with paved streets; Lot approximately 71 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom; 3 bedrooms total
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One 3/4 bathroom in the basement
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Sun room; Recreation room; Utility room; Water softener (owned)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Washer/Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (10.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (29.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#259 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Blue Earth Area Public School (town): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #245 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blue Earth Area Elementary (math 29% / reading 43%, grade F, #651 of 857 statewide, top 76%, 491 students, 54% FRL); Blue Earth Area Middle (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #178 of 258 statewide, top 70%, 140 students, 53% FRL); Blue Earth Area Secondary (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #246 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 418 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Faribault County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Faribault County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $115k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.59%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,878
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 W 3rd St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,350 (+4%) | 3mo | $134,000 | $99 | 73 |
| 1010 E 5th Street St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,292 (-1%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $159 | 69 |
| 314 W 7th St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,269 (-2%) | 2mo | $113,500 | $89 | 62 |
| 321 N Holland St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,352 (+4%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $78 | 61 |
| 224 W Third Street St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,365 (+5%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $33 | 54 |
| 618 S Ramsey St | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,364 (+5%) | 12mo | $119,900 | $88 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $78,133
- Equity at exit
- $139,186
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.42×
- Total profit
- $234,659
- Equity at exit
- $300,160
Cash invested: $43,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56013
- Home prices YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$810
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $892/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $-94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-6 | -5% $-50 | +0% $-94 | +5% $-137 | +10% $-181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-179 | -5% $-136 | +0% $-94 | +5% $-51 | +10% $-8 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-16 | -0.5pp $-54 | base $-94 | +0.5pp $-134 | +1.0pp $-174 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,625
- Closing costs
- $4,635
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $154,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $154,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $154,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $154,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $154,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $154,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-21historical $154,500 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Charm galore is what you will find in this adorable 2+ bedroom home, sitting on a knoll of a double corner lot! The main floor features a kitchen with rustic character, formal dining room with large picture window, spacious living room, 4 season porch that also provides access to the backyard & gardens, and a bedroom with ensuite office space, plus completely remodeled full bathroom! Upstairs, you will find 2 rooms (one bedroom, one flex space), giving you options on how to utilize the space. The basement is great for storage, and also provides a laundry room with 3/4 bath. A double detached garage, patio area, and well-developed perennial beds add to the character & curb appeal!
-
2026-05-21historical $154,500
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Charm galore is what you will find in this adorable 2+ bedroom home, sitting on a knoll of a double corner lot! The main floor features a kitchen with rustic character, formal dining room with large picture window, spacious living room, 4 season porch that also provides access to the backyard & gardens, and a bedroom with ensuite office space, plus completely remodeled full bathroom! Upstairs, you will find 2 rooms (one bedroom, one flex space), giving you options on how to utilize the space. The basement is great for storage, and also provides a laundry room with 3/4 bath. A double detached garage, patio area, and well-developed perennial beds add to the character & curb appeal!
-
2022-09-27soldstatus $115,000 Sold 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Curb appeal galore! This adorable 2 BR Cape Cod is cozy and spotlessly clean. Eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, spacious living room, main floor primary bedroom with large dressing area/closet, full bath, and 3 season porch on the main floor. The upper level offers a second bedroom and bonus room at the top of the stairway. Oversized double detached garage with 2 electric openers, beautifully landscaped corner lot, vinyl siding, newer shingles and vinyl windows. Call for your appointment today!
-
2022-08-22status Pending 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Curb appeal galore! This adorable 2 BR Cape Cod is cozy and spotlessly clean. Eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, spacious living room, main floor primary bedroom with large dressing area/closet, full bath, and 3 season porch on the main floor. The upper level offers a second bedroom and bonus room at the top of the stairway. Oversized double detached garage with 2 electric openers, beautifully landscaped corner lot, vinyl siding, newer shingles and vinyl windows. Call for your appointment today!
-
2022-08-15$84,900 Active 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Curb appeal galore! This adorable 2 BR Cape Cod is cozy and spotlessly clean. Eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, spacious living room, main floor primary bedroom with large dressing area/closet, full bath, and 3 season porch on the main floor. The upper level offers a second bedroom and bonus room at the top of the stairway. Oversized double detached garage with 2 electric openers, beautifully landscaped corner lot, vinyl siding, newer shingles and vinyl windows. Call for your appointment today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $892 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$419/yr (+$35/mo · 47.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,994
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,654
- − Property taxes
- −$892
- − Insurance
- −$772
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,039
- − Management
- −$1,039
- − Depreciation
- −$4,495
- Taxable loss
- −$3,899
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$936
- After-tax cash flow
- $-186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blue Earth Area Public School
- NCES district ID
- 2700130
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,434
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6095
- State rank
- #245 of 301 in MN
Livability — Blue Earth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #259
- US rank
- #5617
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blue Earth, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,534
Population outlook (Faribault County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,474 people
- By 2030
- 13,112 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 12,454 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 11,973 · -11.1%
- By 2075
- 11,565 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 10,844 · -19.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Scottish 5% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Faribault
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.4% · R 67.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -5.6pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+9.1 2008: R+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.36%
- Current HPI
- 244.2912
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+82.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $154,500 RASM
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $154,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-27 Sold (MLS) $115,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-22 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-15 Listed $84,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $892 · -13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…