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428 N Gorman St
D- Composite 36.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$154,500

428 N Gorman St · Blue Earth, MN 56013
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1880 8,712 sqft lot Est $116k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charm galore is what you will find in this adorable 2+ bedroom home, sitting on a knoll of a double corner lot! The main floor features a kitchen with rustic character, formal dining room with large picture window, spacious living room, 4 season porch that also provides access to the backyard & gardens, and a bedroom with ensuite office space, plus completely remodeled full bathroom! Upstairs, you will find 2 rooms (one bedroom, one flex space), giving you options on how to utilize the space. The basement is great for storage, and also provides a laundry room with 3/4 bath. A double detached garage, patio area, and well-developed perennial beds add to the character & curb appeal!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1880

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached concrete parking (garage door opener); RV access/parking available; 2-car garage (26 x 30)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half levels; Entry level rooms on main floor
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (partial, unfinished basement); Built area above grade finished: 1,368; Below-grade area: 700
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Patio; Corner lot; City street frontage with paved streets; Lot approximately 71 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom; 3 bedrooms total
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One 3/4 bathroom in the basement
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Sun room; Recreation room; Utility room; Water softener (owned)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Washer/Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (29.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#259 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Blue Earth Area Public School (town): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #245 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Blue Earth Area Elementary (math 29% / reading 43%, grade F, #651 of 857 statewide, top 76%, 491 students, 54% FRL); Blue Earth Area Middle (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #178 of 258 statewide, top 70%, 140 students, 53% FRL); Blue Earth Area Secondary (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #246 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 418 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Faribault County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Faribault County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,281 (29.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.59%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,878
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 W 3rd St 0.41mi 2/1.0 1,350 (+4%) 3mo $134,000 $99 73
1010 E 5th Street St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,292 (-1%) 1mo $205,000 $159 69
314 W 7th St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,269 (-2%) 2mo $113,500 $89 62
321 N Holland St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,352 (+4%) 3mo $105,000 $78 61
224 W Third Street St 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,365 (+5%) 21mo $45,000 $33 54
618 S Ramsey St 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,364 (+5%) 12mo $119,900 $88 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$78,133
Equity at exit
$139,186
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
6.42×
Total profit
$234,659
Equity at exit
$300,160

Cash invested: $43,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56013

Home prices YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$810
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $892/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$-94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,201
Max offer price $137,982
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-6 -5% $-50 +0% $-94 +5% $-137 +10% $-181
Rent -10% $-179 -5% $-136 +0% $-94 +5% $-51 +10% $-8
Rate -1.0pp $-16 -0.5pp $-54 base $-94 +0.5pp $-134 +1.0pp $-174

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,625
Closing costs
$4,635
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $154,500 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $154,500 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $154,500 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $154,500 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,500 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,500 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,500 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,500 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $154,500 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,500 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,500 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,500 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $154,500 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $154,500 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,500 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,500 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,500 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,500 Active 3 DOM
  19. 2026-05-21
    historical $154,500 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    Charm galore is what you will find in this adorable 2+ bedroom home, sitting on a knoll of a double corner lot! The main floor features a kitchen with rustic character, formal dining room with large picture window, spacious living room, 4 season porch that also provides access to the backyard & gardens, and a bedroom with ensuite office space, plus completely remodeled full bathroom! Upstairs, you will find 2 rooms (one bedroom, one flex space), giving you options on how to utilize the space. The basement is great for storage, and also provides a laundry room with 3/4 bath. A double detached garage, patio area, and well-developed perennial beds add to the character & curb appeal!

  20. 2026-05-21
    historical $154,500
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    Charm galore is what you will find in this adorable 2+ bedroom home, sitting on a knoll of a double corner lot! The main floor features a kitchen with rustic character, formal dining room with large picture window, spacious living room, 4 season porch that also provides access to the backyard & gardens, and a bedroom with ensuite office space, plus completely remodeled full bathroom! Upstairs, you will find 2 rooms (one bedroom, one flex space), giving you options on how to utilize the space. The basement is great for storage, and also provides a laundry room with 3/4 bath. A double detached garage, patio area, and well-developed perennial beds add to the character & curb appeal!

  21. 2022-09-27
    soldstatus $115,000 Sold 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Curb appeal galore! This adorable 2 BR Cape Cod is cozy and spotlessly clean. Eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, spacious living room, main floor primary bedroom with large dressing area/closet, full bath, and 3 season porch on the main floor. The upper level offers a second bedroom and bonus room at the top of the stairway. Oversized double detached garage with 2 electric openers, beautifully landscaped corner lot, vinyl siding, newer shingles and vinyl windows. Call for your appointment today!

  22. 2022-08-22
    status Pending 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Curb appeal galore! This adorable 2 BR Cape Cod is cozy and spotlessly clean. Eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, spacious living room, main floor primary bedroom with large dressing area/closet, full bath, and 3 season porch on the main floor. The upper level offers a second bedroom and bonus room at the top of the stairway. Oversized double detached garage with 2 electric openers, beautifully landscaped corner lot, vinyl siding, newer shingles and vinyl windows. Call for your appointment today!

  23. 2022-08-15
    listed $84,900 Active 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Curb appeal galore! This adorable 2 BR Cape Cod is cozy and spotlessly clean. Eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, spacious living room, main floor primary bedroom with large dressing area/closet, full bath, and 3 season porch on the main floor. The upper level offers a second bedroom and bonus room at the top of the stairway. Oversized double detached garage with 2 electric openers, beautifully landscaped corner lot, vinyl siding, newer shingles and vinyl windows. Call for your appointment today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$892 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,311 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$419/yr (+$35/mo · 47.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,994
− Mortgage interest
−$8,654
− Property taxes
−$892
− Insurance
−$772
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$4,495
Taxable loss
−$3,899
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$936
After-tax cash flow
$-186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blue Earth Area Public School
NCES district ID
2700130
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,434
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6095
State rank
#245 of 301 in MN

Livability — Blue Earth

Score
73/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#5617

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blue Earth, MN
Population (ZIP)
4,534

Population outlook (Faribault County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,474 people
By 2030
13,112 · -2.7%
By 2040
12,454 · -7.6%
By 2050
11,973 · -11.1%
By 2075
11,565 · -14.2%
By 2100
10,844 · -19.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 23% Scottish 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Faribault

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.4% · R 67.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-31.8pp toward R · 2008: -5.6pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+9.1 2008: R+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.36%
Current HPI
244.2912
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $154,500 RASM
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $154,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-27 Sold (MLS) $115,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-22 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-15 Listed $84,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $892 · -13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…