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49 North St
A Composite 86.21
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,900

49 North St · Shiloh, OH 44878
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,366 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 192 Days on market
Built 1945 $58/sqft · 26% below area Est $108k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rural living in Shiloh awaits! Ranch home features primary bedroom with bath and three additional bedrooms: all on nearly half an acre with public utilities.

Key facts

  • Nearly half an acre
  • Garage
  • Built 1945

Tags

PRIMARY BEDROOM WITH BATHNEARLY HALF AN ACRE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $975 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 4.7% in Shiloh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Plymouth-Shiloh Local (rural): math 52% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #391 of 656 in OH (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.45%
Cap rate
20.93%
Cash-on-cash
52.29%
DSCR
3.33
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$107,837
List price
$79,900
Delta
-25.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
49 North St 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,366 (0%) 1mo $75,905 $56 99
39 Prospect St 0.03mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,365 (-0%) 9mo $32,500 $24 82
19 Pearl Street St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,446 (+6%) 9mo $145,000 $100 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.7%
Equity multiple
4.96×
Total profit
$88,645
Equity at exit
$53,897
10-year hold
IRR
58.0%
Equity multiple
10.45×
Total profit
$211,455
Equity at exit
$101,076

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44878

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,957 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,429/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$975

Break-even live

Break-even rent $723
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Rural living in Shiloh awaits! Ranch home features primary bedroom with bath and three additional bedrooms: all on nearly half an acre with public utilities.

  2. 2026-04-15
    price $79,900 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Rural living in Shiloh awaits! Ranch home features primary bedroom with bath and three additional bedrooms: all on nearly half an acre with public utilities.

  3. 2026-03-07
    price $89,990 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Rural living in Shiloh awaits! Ranch home features primary bedroom with bath and three additional bedrooms: all on nearly half an acre with public utilities.

  4. 2026-02-05
    price $94,900 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Rural living in Shiloh awaits! Ranch home features primary bedroom with bath and three additional bedrooms: all on nearly half an acre with public utilities.

  5. 2025-12-31
    price $99,900 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Rural living in Shiloh awaits! Ranch home features primary bedroom with bath and three additional bedrooms: all on nearly half an acre with public utilities.

  6. 2025-11-26
    price $109,900 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Rural living in Shiloh awaits! Ranch home features primary bedroom with bath and three additional bedrooms: all on nearly half an acre with public utilities.

  7. 2025-10-25
    listed $114,900 Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Rural living in Shiloh awaits! Ranch home features primary bedroom with bath and three additional bedrooms: all on nearly half an acre with public utilities.

  8. 2025-10-01
    soldstatus $86,666
  9. 2022-01-03
    soldstatus $123,000
  10. 2020-08-26
    soldstatus $85,000
  11. 2020-08-24
    soldstatus $85,000 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    Cute 3-4 BR, 2 bath ranch situated on a double lot (. 45 acre) in Shiloh. Lovingly taken care of, this home is much larger than it appears! Nice sized LR, good sized bedrooms, and spacious oak kitchen & dining room combo. All appliances stay except washer/dryer. The large primary bedroom has an attached full bath. The partial basement was waterproofed in 2013, and it holds a propane forced air furnace, sump pump w/ battery backup, and water heater. Natural gas is available at the street. Beautiful rear and side yards to view from the large roofed deck that is 14' x 19'. Very nice rear storage barn with swing set and flower gardens nearby. Don't miss this one.

  12. 2020-08-24
    soldstatus $85,000
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    Cute 3-4 BR, 2 bath ranch situated on a double lot (. 45 acre) in Shiloh. Lovingly taken care of, this home is much larger than it appears! Nice sized LR, good sized bedrooms, and spacious oak kitchen & dining room combo. All appliances stay except washer/dryer. The large primary bedroom has an attached full bath. The partial basement was waterproofed in 2013, and it holds a propane forced air furnace, sump pump w/ battery backup, and water heater. Natural gas is available at the street. Beautiful rear and side yards to view from the large roofed deck that is 14' x 19'. Very nice rear storage barn with swing set and flower gardens nearby. Don't miss this one.

  13. 2020-07-03
    listed $85,000 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    Cute 3-4 BR, 2 bath ranch situated on a double lot (. 45 acre) in Shiloh. Lovingly taken care of, this home is much larger than it appears! Nice sized LR, good sized bedrooms, and spacious oak kitchen & dining room combo. All appliances stay except washer/dryer. The large primary bedroom has an attached full bath. The partial basement was waterproofed in 2013, and it holds a propane forced air furnace, sump pump w/ battery backup, and water heater. Natural gas is available at the street. Beautiful rear and side yards to view from the large roofed deck that is 14' x 19'. Very nice rear storage barn with swing set and flower gardens nearby. Don't miss this one.

  14. 2020-07-02
    listed $85,000
  15. 1995-07-12
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,429 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,429 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,486
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,429
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,879
− Management
−$1,879
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$11,100
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,664
After-tax cash flow
$9,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plymouth-Shiloh Local
NCES district ID
3904946
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$48,546
Composite
45.54/100
National rank
#2603
State rank
#391 of 656 in OH

Livability — Shiloh

Score
66/100
State rank
#639
US rank
#11281

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shiloh, OH
County
Richland · 128,966 people
Metro
Mansfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
2,943
Household income
$79,620
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
3.8

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
115,577 people
By 2030
111,669 · -3.4%
By 2040
103,323 · -10.6%
By 2050
95,135 · -17.7%
By 2075
76,719 · -33.6%
By 2100
57,188 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Languages at home
77% English-only · German/W. Germanic 23%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.72%
Current HPI
217.7934
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending MARMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $79,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $89,990 MARMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $94,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $99,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-26 Price Changed $109,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-10-25 Listed $114,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $86,666 Public Records
  • 2022-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-24 Sold (MLS) $85,000 FAOR
  • 2020-08-24 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MARMLS
  • 2020-07-03 Listed $85,000 MARMLS
  • 2020-07-02 Listed $85,000 FAOR
  • 1995-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,429 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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