🏗️ New Construction
4556 49th Ave · Gifford, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice building lot, cleared, in area of nice homes. Sizes are approx/subj to error.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Energy efficiency
- High ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Utilities: Three-phase electric; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; New construction; One story; Faces west; Entry level: main level
- Construction: CBS construction
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Split bedroom layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $289k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $263k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.0% in Gifford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#538 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, employment F.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 612 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $289k implies a 1345% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.33%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-40,723
- Equity at exit
- $43,091
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-48,720
- Equity at exit
- $24,987
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32967
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 612
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,812 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$361 /mo · $4,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$591
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $424 | -5% $324 | +0% $225 | +5% $125 | +10% $25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2 | -5% $114 | +0% $225 | +5% $336 | +10% $447 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $370 | -0.5pp $298 | base $225 | +0.5pp $150 | +1.0pp $74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4920 48th Pl Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1643 | $3,200 | $1.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4890 48th Ave Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5009 Corsica Sq Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5204 Jasper Sq Vero Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4016 Basket Oak Cir Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $2,550 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4625 55th St Vero Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $2,800 | $1.74 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-02-07$289,000 Active
-
2021-06-21soldstatus $20,000 Closed 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice building lot, cleared, in area of nice homes. Sizes are approx/subj to error.
-
2021-06-03historical Active Under Contract 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice building lot, cleared, in area of nice homes. Sizes are approx/subj to error.
-
2021-05-17$20,000 Active 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice building lot, cleared, in area of nice homes. Sizes are approx/subj to error.
-
2006-03-24soldstatus $14,000
-
2005-06-08soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$4,335
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,700
- − Management
- −$2,700
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$2,026
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$486
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,182/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Gifford
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #538
- US rank
- #10083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gifford, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,240
- Household income
- $78,058
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 674.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Hispanic 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.34%
- Current HPI
- 282.6156
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.16%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+2790.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-07 Listed $289,000 Beaches MLS
- 2021-06-21 Sold (MLS) $20,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2021-06-03 Contingent — RAIRCMLS
- 2021-05-17 Listed $20,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2006-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $320 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…