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59 Victor St
C Composite 55.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

59 Victor St · Hamden, CT 06514
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1925 3,920 sqft lot Est $299k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy 4 bedrm, 2 bath home on dead end street. Private yard. Newer windows. Great value. Corporate owned

Key facts

  • Wood deck
  • New vinyl siding
  • Large shed

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW VINYL SIDINGNEW GAS FURNACEWOOD DECKLARGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame and masonry construction; Concrete foundation; Built prior to or in public records (living area recorded)
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (natural gas); Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Partial, unfinished basement; Attic with hatch access; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hamden High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,672 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $270k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $270,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
4.98%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$299,000
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
96 Maplewood Terrace Ext 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,000 (0%) 7mo $280,000 $280 65
169 Battis Rd 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+5%) 0mo $350,000 $333 54
225 Battis Rd 0.62mi 4/1.0 1,116 (+12%) 1mo $290,000 $260 51
77 Blue Hills Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,075 (+8%) 2mo $315,000 $293 46
77 Central Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (+10%) 13mo $330,000 $299 41
89 Vantage Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (+8%) 20mo $335,000 $310 36
25 Harrison Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (+14%) 14mo $400,000 $350 28
41 Saint James St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (+14%) 16mo $300,000 $262 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-18,949
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$29,633
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06514

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,866 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$422 /mo · $5,067/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$602
Net cashflow
$314

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,469
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $467 -5% $390 +0% $314 +5% $237 +10% $161
Rent -10% $87 -5% $201 +0% $314 +5% $427 +10% $540
Rate -1.0pp $450 -0.5pp $383 base $314 +0.5pp $244 +1.0pp $173

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 Hobson Ave Unit 2 Hamden, CT 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,700 $2.08 3d 1 0.11mi
64 N Lake Dr Unit C2 Hamden, CT 3.0 2.0 1475 $2,800 $1.90 3d 1 0.77mi
89 Beacon St Unit 2nd Floor Hamden, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 3d 1 1.11mi
65 Buell St North Haven, CT 3.0 1.5 1288 $3,595 $2.79 11d 1 1.29mi
70 Circular Ave Hamden, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 3d 1 1.37mi
54 Bradley Ave Unit 2 Hamden, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,895 $1.72 44d 1 1.37mi
53 Lilac Ave Hamden, CT 3.0 1.5 1427 $2,800 $1.96 11d 1 1.41mi
53 Turner Ave Hamden, CT 3.0 1.0 1172 $3,600 $3.07 3d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $270,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $270,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $270,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $270,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $270,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 528-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $270,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,067 · $422/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,422 · $452/mo
Expected delta
+$356/yr (+$30/mo · 7.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,398
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$5,067
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,752
− Management
−$2,752
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$502
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$120
After-tax cash flow
$3,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamden School District
NCES district ID
0901860
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$68,821
Composite
33.34/100
National rank
#5490
State rank
#106 of 153 in CT

Livability — Hamden

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
61,150
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
26,803
Household income
$88,900
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1228.0

Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
608,362

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% German 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
All cycles
2024: D+20.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.59%
Current HPI
251.556
Rent YoY
▲ 4.61%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+246.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $270,000 Smart MLS
  • 2010-06-11 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Smart MLS
  • 2010-02-19 Listed $95,000 Smart MLS
  • 2009-09-16 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2009-03-18 Listed $106,000 Smart MLS
  • 2009-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $160,974 Public Records
  • 2009-01-05 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2008-10-05 Listed $169,000 Smart MLS
  • 2008-09-29 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2008-03-29 Listed $175,000 Smart MLS
  • 2007-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
  • 2007-01-17 Sold (MLS) $170,000 Smart MLS
  • 2006-09-25 Listed $179,000 Smart MLS
  • 2001-03-26 Sold (MLS) $72,000 Smart MLS
  • 2001-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2000-10-23 Listed $78,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,067 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…