59 Victor St · Hamden, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 4 bedrm, 2 bath home on dead end street. Private yard. Newer windows. Great value. Corporate owned
Key facts
- Wood deck
- New vinyl siding
- Large shed
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame and masonry construction; Concrete foundation; Built prior to or in public records (living area recorded)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (natural gas); Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Partial, unfinished basement; Attic with hatch access; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hamden High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,672 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $270k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.98%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $299,000
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Maplewood Terrace Ext | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (0%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $280 | 65 |
| 169 Battis Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+5%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $333 | 54 |
| 225 Battis Rd | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 | 1,116 (+12%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $260 | 51 |
| 77 Blue Hills Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,075 (+8%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $293 | 46 |
| 77 Central Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+10%) | 13mo | $330,000 | $299 | 41 |
| 89 Vantage Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+8%) | 20mo | $335,000 | $310 | 36 |
| 25 Harrison Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+14%) | 14mo | $400,000 | $350 | 28 |
| 41 Saint James St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+14%) | 16mo | $300,000 | $262 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-18,949
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $29,633
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06514
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,866 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$422 /mo · $5,067/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$602
- Net cashflow
- $314
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $390 | +0% $314 | +5% $237 | +10% $161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $87 | -5% $201 | +0% $314 | +5% $427 | +10% $540 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $450 | -0.5pp $383 | base $314 | +0.5pp $244 | +1.0pp $173 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Hobson Ave Unit 2 Hamden, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,700 | $2.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 64 N Lake Dr Unit C2 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $2,800 | $1.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 89 Beacon St Unit 2nd Floor Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 65 Buell St North Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $3,595 | $2.79 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 70 Circular Ave Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 54 Bradley Ave Unit 2 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,895 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 53 Lilac Ave Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1427 | $2,800 | $1.96 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 53 Turner Ave Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $3,600 | $3.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $270,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 528-char remark
-
2026-06-13$270,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,067 · $422/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,422 · $452/mo
- Expected delta
- +$356/yr (+$30/mo · 7.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$5,067
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,752
- − Management
- −$2,752
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$502
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$120
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamden School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901860
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,821
- Composite
- 33.34/100
- National rank
- #5490
- State rank
- #106 of 153 in CT
Livability — Hamden
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 61,150
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,803
- Household income
- $88,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1228.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% German 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.59%
- Current HPI
- 251.556
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+246.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $270,000 Smart MLS
- 2010-06-11 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Smart MLS
- 2010-02-19 Listed $95,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-09-16 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2009-03-18 Listed $106,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $160,974 Public Records
- 2009-01-05 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2008-10-05 Listed $169,000 Smart MLS
- 2008-09-29 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2008-03-29 Listed $175,000 Smart MLS
- 2007-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-17 Sold (MLS) $170,000 Smart MLS
- 2006-09-25 Listed $179,000 Smart MLS
- 2001-03-26 Sold (MLS) $72,000 Smart MLS
- 2001-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2000-10-23 Listed $78,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2023): $5,067 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…