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10488 Pierce St NE
F Composite 31.83
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +0.6/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -2.8

$135,000

10488 Pierce St NE · Blaine, MN 55434
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 79 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2019 Good condition $93/sqft · 63% below area $1050/mo HOA · 63% of rent ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come check out this recently manufactured 2019 home on a corner lot, immediately adjacent to the community park! This property has been wonderfully maintained by its original owners. The living room, kitchen, and dining area are all bathed in natural light, and intentionally designed for entertaining and hosting, when desired. The kitchen holds plenty of cabinetry, ventilation, and a large center island. The primary bedroom is situated on the opposite end of the other bedrooms, creating a clear separation of living. In one of the premier manufactured home communities in the state, Blaine Int'l is affordable and prioritizes your safety and comfort.

Key facts

  • Built 2019
  • Listed 78 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-583 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $32k (76.3% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (76.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 1.1% vs local median 3.9% in Blaine — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Elementary (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #216 of 857 statewide, top 29%, 407 students, 55% FRL); Northdale Middle (math 40% / reading 55%, grade C-, #93 of 258 statewide, top 37%, 1,274 students, 46% FRL); Blaine High School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C, #77 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,969 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 24% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 63% of rent.
Recommended offer $31,930 (76.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 76% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
1.11%
Cash-on-cash
-18.52%
DSCR
0.18
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$322,924
List price
$135,000
Delta
-58.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
960 105th Ave NE 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+20%) 60mo $320,000 $183 44
9328 6th St NE 1.73mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,386 (-5%) 10mo $309,900 $224 40
854 113th Ln NE 1.15mi 3/2.0 1,516 (+4%) 57mo $350,000 $231 38
191 91st Ln NE 1.88mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,333 (-8%) 8mo $315,000 $236 35
648 120th Ave NE 2.02mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,506 (+3%) 52mo $320,000 $212 34
11122 7th St NE 1.27mi 3/1.0 1,281 (-12%) 31mo $297,000 $232 21
801 118th Ln NE 1.85mi 3/2.0 1,890 (+30%) 39mo $385,000 $204 20
684 107th Ln NW 2.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,865 (+28%) 45mo $345,000 $185 15
11122 Aberdeen St NE Unit A 0.82mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,834 (+26%) 47mo $285,000 $155 15
12210 Johnson St NE 2.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,696 (+16%) 56mo $271,000 $160 15
8901 7th St NE 2.14mi 5/1.0 (+2) 1,724 (+18%) 56mo $274,900 $159 6

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-46.9%
Equity multiple
-0.46×
Total profit
$-55,367
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-51.0%
Equity multiple
-1.13×
Total profit
$-80,565
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55434

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
182
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,664 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,009/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$1,050
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$-583

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,403
Max offer price $31,930
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-507 -5% $-545 +0% $-583 +5% $-622 +10% $-660
Rent -10% $-715 -5% $-649 +0% $-583 +5% $-518 +10% $-452
Rate -1.0pp $-515 -0.5pp $-549 base $-583 +0.5pp $-618 +1.0pp $-654

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9941 Fillmore St NE Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,875 $1.74 15d 1 0.64mi
11151 Aberdeen St NE Unit H Blaine, MN 2.0 2.5 1700 $2,400 $1.41 7d 1 0.89mi
11151 Aberdeen St NE Unit H Minneapolis, MN 2.0 2.5 1700 $2,400 $1.41 21d 1 0.89mi
1509 111th Dr NE Unit D Minneapolis, MN 3.0 3.0 1792 $2,500 $1.40 51d 1 0.91mi
1509 111th Dr NE Unit D Minneapolis, MN 3.0 3.0 1800 $2,500 $1.39 61d 1 0.91mi
10760 6th St NE Blaine, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $1,535 $2.01 7d 17 1.12mi
249 99th Ave NE Unit 241-307 Blaine, MN 2.0 1.0 875 $1,445 $1.65 69d 1 1.16mi
249 99th Ave NE Unit 249-308 Blaine, MN 2.0 1.0 875 $1,430 $1.63 93d 1 1.16mi
249 99th Ave NE Unit 241-107 Blaine, MN 2.0 1.0 875 $1,445 $1.65 93d 1 1.16mi
10240 3rd St NE Unit D Blaine, MN 3.0 2.5 1846 $2,395 $1.30 7d 1 1.20mi
9436 Ulysses St NE Blaine, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 943 $2,520 $2.67 7d 14 1.24mi
9401 Polk St NE Blaine, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 918 $1,999 $2.18 7d 4 1.33mi
10631 Dogwood St NW Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 972 $1,824 $1.88 16d 1 1.44mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Blaine International Village communityMonthly association fee of $1,050 (includes water and sewer)Land is leased with a monthly land lease of $1,050

Exterior

Parking
Concrete parking (no garage or carport)
Utilities
City water connectedCity sewer connectedNatural gas
Home design
Residential manufactured homeSingle-story (one level)Entry level: Main
Construction
Built on other foundation (foundation type: Other)Foundation dimensions approximately 50.25 x 25.42Roof age 8 years or newer
Exterior features
Vinyl exteriorPaved streets and private road frontage; association maintains the roadOther on-site structures

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms (all on main level)
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms, including a full primary bath on the main level
Heating & cooling
Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Kitchen/Dining room layoutKitchen center island
Laundry & utility
In-unit laundry with washer and dryerGas water heater

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $135,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $135,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    price $135,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $140,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $140,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 58 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 56 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 55 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 54 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 52 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $140,000 Active 51 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 50 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 49 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 47 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $140,000 Active 46 DOM
  29. 2026-07-06
    days on market $140,000 Active 45 DOM
  30. 2026-07-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 44 DOM
  31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 43 DOM
  32. 2026-07-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
  33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
  34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
  35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
  38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
  39. 2026-06-24
    days on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
  40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $140,000 Active 32 DOM
  41. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 31 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 28 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 27 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 26 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 25 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
  47. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 18 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 17 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,009 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,260 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$252/yr (+$21/mo · 24.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,972
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,009
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,598
− Management
−$1,598
− HOA
−$12,600
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$8,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,159
After-tax cash flow
$-4,842/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,280–$21,840 screening

This 2019 manufactured home is in excellent condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. It's move-in ready and would benefit from landscaping and painting to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior
  • Both HVAC maintenance — improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 54/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Madison Elementary B- MN #216/857 Nat'l #7,252/41,679 Middle Northdale Middle C- MN #93/258 Nat'l #4,042/14,009 High Blaine High School C MN #77/471 Nat'l #4,271/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
NCES district ID
2703180
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$73,837
Composite
46.7/100
National rank
#2400
State rank
#71 of 301 in MN
B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Blaine

Score
71/100
State rank
#315
US rank
#7073

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blaine, MN
County
Anoka County · 375,223 people
City population
67,472
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
33,029
Household income
$90,336
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
375,223 people
By 2030
387,850 · +3.4%
By 2040
407,239 · +8.5%
By 2050
417,541 · +11.3%
By 2075
448,447 · +19.5%
By 2100
464,954 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Asian 10% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Anoka

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-23 Price Changed $135,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $140,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,009 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…