16465 NE 22nd Ave #205 · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.82%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity FOR INVESTORS, UNIT RENTED . VERY NICE UNIT IN THE HEART OF NORTH MIAMI . JUST MINUTES TO AVENTURA MALL,
Key facts
- Water canal view
- New a/c
- Open balcony
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association pool
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes water, sewer and trash; Association amenities: Elevator(s), Laundry, Pool
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (1 space); 1 covered space; 1-car garage
- Security: Secured elevator; Key card entry
- Utilities: Water service included in association; Sewer service included in association; Electric service; Trash service included in association
- Home design: Attached property; 6-story building; Entry on level 2; Has a view
- Construction: Block construction; Year built: unknown
- Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio; Lagoon view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Trash compactor
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Tub with shower; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,064/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $869 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 312 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.40%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $9,266
- Equity at exit
- $52,304
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $32,726
- Equity at exit
- $66,494
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1870
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$229 /mo · $2,752/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$587
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$643
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $587 · $7,044/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2025-08-10historical
-
2025-08-10$165,000 Active
-
2025-04-14$165,000 Active
-
2024-04-20historical $1,650
-
2024-04-05$1,650
-
2019-10-04soldstatus $120,000
-
2019-09-26soldstatus $120,000 Sold 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Excellent opportunity FOR INVESTORS, UNIT RENTED . VERY NICE UNIT IN THE HEART OF NORTH MIAMI . JUST MINUTES TO AVENTURA MALL,
-
2019-08-29status Pending 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Excellent opportunity FOR INVESTORS, UNIT RENTED . VERY NICE UNIT IN THE HEART OF NORTH MIAMI . JUST MINUTES TO AVENTURA MALL,
-
2019-08-01$135,000 Active 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Excellent opportunity FOR INVESTORS, UNIT RENTED . VERY NICE UNIT IN THE HEART OF NORTH MIAMI . JUST MINUTES TO AVENTURA MALL,
-
2017-02-09soldstatus $95,000 Sold
-
2015-12-31soldstatus $95,000
-
2015-12-02status Pending
-
2015-07-15price $98,000
-
2015-06-04price $99,900
-
2015-05-13$110,000 Active
-
2007-05-02soldstatus $125,000
-
1994-12-30soldstatus $14,900
-
1994-06-30soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,752 · $229/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,752 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 82% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,752
- − Insurance
- −$5,944
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,941
- − Management
- −$2,941
- − HOA
- −$7,044
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $1,100
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$264
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,657/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+725.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-10 Listed $165,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-10 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-04-14 Listed $165,000 MARMLS
- 2024-04-20 Rental Removed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2024-04-05 Listed for Rent $1,650 MARMLS
- 2019-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MARMLS
- 2019-08-29 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-08-01 Listed $135,000 MARMLS
- 2017-02-09 Sold (MLS) $95,000 MARMLS
- 2015-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-02 Pending — MARMLS
- 2015-07-15 Price Changed $98,000 MARMLS
- 2015-06-04 Price Changed $99,900 MARMLS
- 2015-05-13 Listed $110,000 MARMLS
- 2007-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 1994-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $14,900 Public Records
- 1994-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,752 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…