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4328 Ridge Rd #14 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

4328 Ridge Rd #14 · Mount Airy, MD 21771
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 932 sqft · Manufactured · 90 Days on market
Built 2005 $48/sqft · 77% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Trailer #14 in Taylorsville Mobile Home Community. This rare 2-bedroom, 2-full-bath mobile home in Mount Airy offers 14’ x 66’ of comfortable living space, complete with vaulted ceilings, an open floor plan, and central air. Recent updates include new hallway stall shower, new carpet, newer water heater, and newer front porch deck, and rear deck has been fixed up. Step inside through the foyer to find a spacious living room that flows into the kitchen and dining areas. The kitchen features a ceramic tile backsplash, gas range, dishwasher, refrigerator, hardwood flooring, and plenty of cabinet and counter space. Just off the kitchen is the laundry room equipped with a full sized washer & dryer, with an additional exit to the rear yard. The primary bedroom features an attached full bath with a double vanity, separate shower, and large soaking tub. (The tub is functional—previous leak has been repaired—but could be removed if you prefer more space. ) On the opposite side of the home, you’ll find the large second bedroom with a walk-in closet. The hall bath has just been updated with a new stall shower. Outside, has two driveway parking spaces, gardening space, and a storage shed. Lot Rent is currently $800/month and includes water (community well), sewer, trash removal, road and common area maintenance, and property management. Park approval is required through an application with the community managers. Mobile homes in Mount Airy are hard to find—don’t miss this opportunity to own your home at such an affordable price.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • New front porch deck
  • New carpet

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSOPEN FLOOR PLANNEW CARPETNEW WATER HEATERNEW FRONT PORCH DECKCERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $45,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$194,422) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 38.4% vs local median 2.2% in Mount Airy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#136 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Carroll County Public Schools (suburban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #2 of 24 in MD (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 156 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carroll County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $42,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.26%
Cap rate
38.36%
Cash-on-cash
114.52%
DSCR
6.10
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,422
List price
$45,000
Delta
-76.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$69,320
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.63×
Total profit
$159,092
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21771

Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,916 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$1,202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $394
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,234 -5% $1,218 +0% $1,202 +5% $1,187 +10% $1,171
Rent -10% $1,051 -5% $1,127 +0% $1,202 +5% $1,278 +10% $1,354
Rate -1.0pp $1,225 -0.5pp $1,214 base $1,202 +0.5pp $1,191 +1.0pp $1,179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-03-23
    listed $60,000 Active 1601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1601 chars)

    Welcome to Trailer #14 in Taylorsville Mobile Home Community. This rare 2-bedroom, 2-full-bath mobile home in Mount Airy offers 14’ x 66’ of comfortable living space, complete with vaulted ceilings, an open floor plan, and central air. Recent updates include new hallway stall shower, new carpet, newer water heater, and newer front porch deck, and rear deck has been fixed up. Step inside through the foyer to find a spacious living room that flows into the kitchen and dining areas. The kitchen features a ceramic tile backsplash, gas range, dishwasher, refrigerator, hardwood flooring, and plenty of cabinet and counter space. Just off the kitchen is the laundry room equipped with a full sized washer & dryer, with an additional exit to the rear yard. The primary bedroom features an attached full bath with a double vanity, separate shower, and large soaking tub. (The tub is functional—previous leak has been repaired—but could be removed if you prefer more space. ) On the opposite side of the home, you’ll find the large second bedroom with a walk-in closet. The hall bath has just been updated with a new stall shower. Outside, has two driveway parking spaces, gardening space, and a storage shed. Lot Rent is currently $800/month and includes water (community well), sewer, trash removal, road and common area maintenance, and property management. Park approval is required through an application with the community managers. Mobile homes in Mount Airy are hard to find—don’t miss this opportunity to own your home at such an affordable price.

  16. 2025-09-02
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed 1662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1662 chars)

    Welcome to Lot #14 in Taylorsville Mobile Home Community. This rare 2-bedroom, 2-full-bath mobile home in Mount Airy offers 14’ x 66’ of comfortable living space, complete with vaulted ceilings, an open floor plan, and central air. Recent updates include a new water heater and new front porch deck. Step inside through the foyer to find a spacious living room that flows into the kitchen and dining areas. The kitchen features a ceramic tile backsplash, gas range, dishwasher, refrigerator, hardwood flooring, and plenty of cabinet and counter space. Just off the kitchen is the laundry room with an additional exit to the rear yard. The primary bedroom features an attached full bath with a double vanity, separate shower, and large soaking tub. (The tub is functional—previous leak has been repaired—but could be removed if you prefer more space. ) On the opposite side of the home, you’ll find the second bedroom with a walk-in closet and the hall bath, which is partially updated and will need the shower connection completed by the new owner. Outside, has two driveway parking spaces, gardening space, and a storage shed. Lot Rent is currently $800/month and includes water (community well), sewer, trash removal, road and common area maintenance, and property management. Park approval is required through an application with the community managers. This home is being sold as-is and does need some TLC, but it has been well-loved and is ready for a new owner to customize and make it their own. Mobile homes in Mount Airy are hard to find—don’t miss this opportunity to own your home at such an affordable price!

  17. 2025-08-19
    status Pending 1662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1662 chars)

    Welcome to Lot #14 in Taylorsville Mobile Home Community. This rare 2-bedroom, 2-full-bath mobile home in Mount Airy offers 14’ x 66’ of comfortable living space, complete with vaulted ceilings, an open floor plan, and central air. Recent updates include a new water heater and new front porch deck. Step inside through the foyer to find a spacious living room that flows into the kitchen and dining areas. The kitchen features a ceramic tile backsplash, gas range, dishwasher, refrigerator, hardwood flooring, and plenty of cabinet and counter space. Just off the kitchen is the laundry room with an additional exit to the rear yard. The primary bedroom features an attached full bath with a double vanity, separate shower, and large soaking tub. (The tub is functional—previous leak has been repaired—but could be removed if you prefer more space. ) On the opposite side of the home, you’ll find the second bedroom with a walk-in closet and the hall bath, which is partially updated and will need the shower connection completed by the new owner. Outside, has two driveway parking spaces, gardening space, and a storage shed. Lot Rent is currently $800/month and includes water (community well), sewer, trash removal, road and common area maintenance, and property management. Park approval is required through an application with the community managers. This home is being sold as-is and does need some TLC, but it has been well-loved and is ready for a new owner to customize and make it their own. Mobile homes in Mount Airy are hard to find—don’t miss this opportunity to own your home at such an affordable price!

  18. 2025-08-11
    listed $55,000 Active 1662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1662 chars)

    Welcome to Lot #14 in Taylorsville Mobile Home Community. This rare 2-bedroom, 2-full-bath mobile home in Mount Airy offers 14’ x 66’ of comfortable living space, complete with vaulted ceilings, an open floor plan, and central air. Recent updates include a new water heater and new front porch deck. Step inside through the foyer to find a spacious living room that flows into the kitchen and dining areas. The kitchen features a ceramic tile backsplash, gas range, dishwasher, refrigerator, hardwood flooring, and plenty of cabinet and counter space. Just off the kitchen is the laundry room with an additional exit to the rear yard. The primary bedroom features an attached full bath with a double vanity, separate shower, and large soaking tub. (The tub is functional—previous leak has been repaired—but could be removed if you prefer more space. ) On the opposite side of the home, you’ll find the second bedroom with a walk-in closet and the hall bath, which is partially updated and will need the shower connection completed by the new owner. Outside, has two driveway parking spaces, gardening space, and a storage shed. Lot Rent is currently $800/month and includes water (community well), sewer, trash removal, road and common area maintenance, and property management. Park approval is required through an application with the community managers. This home is being sold as-is and does need some TLC, but it has been well-loved and is ready for a new owner to customize and make it their own. Mobile homes in Mount Airy are hard to find—don’t miss this opportunity to own your home at such an affordable price!

  19. 2007-10-15
    soldstatus $38,500
  20. 2007-10-01
    historical
  21. 2007-09-02
    listed $43,900
  22. 2007-08-31
    historical
  23. 2007-04-19
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,988
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,839
− Management
−$1,839
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$14,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,499
After-tax cash flow
$10,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carroll County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400210
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$84,594
Composite
37.33/100
National rank
#4441
State rank
#2 of 24 in MD

Livability — Mount Airy

Score
72/100
State rank
#136
US rank
#5825

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
32,827

Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
169,677 people
By 2030
169,605 · +-0.0%
By 2040
166,205 · -2.0%
By 2050
158,312 · -6.7%
By 2075
143,013 · -15.7%
By 2100
122,431 · -27.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carroll

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.2% · R 61.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.2pp toward D · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+23.7 2016: R+36.9 2012: R+34.0 2008: R+31.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -217.07%
Current HPI
293.3461
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-02 Sold (MLS) $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-11 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-10-15 Sold (MLS) $38,500 MRIS
  • 2007-10-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-09-02 Listed $43,900 MRIS
  • 2007-08-31 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-04-19 Listed MRIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…