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8001 Northstar Dr #214
F Composite 29.42
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$129,000

8001 Northstar Dr #214 · Tahoe Vista, CA 96161-1900
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 1,874 sqft · Condo public records · 107 Days on market
Built 2007 $69/sqft · at area comps Est $129k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional opportunity for effortless, affordable ownership in the Village at Northstar. This 1/8 deeded ownership at Catamount 214 includes one primary week, four additional planned weeks each year, plus space-available usage. The residence features three private bedrooms and a warm, inviting living area, perfect for gathering after a day on the slopes. A spacious wraparound deck showcases beautiful views of Northstar Village and Village ski run. Ideally located just steps from the Big Springs Gondola and the Catamount hot tub and fitness center, this residence offers both convenience and comfort. Owners also enjoy access to Tahoe Mountain Club amenities while in residence. Primary Week: First week of February. 2026 Reserved Weeks: January 30-February 6 (Primary), February 6-13, April 10-17, September 4-11, and October 2-9.

Key facts

  • Private bedrooms
  • Deeded ownership
  • Wraparound deck

Tags

DEEDED OWNERSHIPPRIVATE BEDROOMSWRAPAROUND DECKSTEPS FROM BIG SPRINGS GONDOLA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath condo listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-32k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (0.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate -18.4% vs local median 1.8% in Tahoe Vista — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,011 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tahoe-Truckee Unified (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #136 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 218% of rent.
Recommended offer $117,390 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
-18.41%
Cash-on-cash
-88.22%
DSCR
-2.93
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,829
List price
$129,000
Delta
0.13%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-68.9%
Equity multiple
-3.20×
Total profit
$-151,859
Equity at exit
$58,004
10-year hold
IRR
-46.0%
Equity multiple
-7.34×
Total profit
$-301,192
Equity at exit
$89,391

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96161-1900

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,643/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA est. from 18 same-building comps
$2,801
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$-2,655

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,643
Max offer price
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-2,582 -5% $-2,619 +0% $-2,655 +5% $-2,692 +10% $-2,728
Rent -10% $-2,757 -5% $-2,706 +0% $-2,655 +5% $-2,605 +10% $-2,554
Rate -1.0pp $-2,590 -0.5pp $-2,623 base $-2,655 +0.5pp $-2,689 +1.0pp $-2,723

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
gym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,000 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,000 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,000 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-03-03
    listed $129,000 Active 837-char remark
    Show marketing remark (837 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity for effortless, affordable ownership in the Village at Northstar. This 1/8 deeded ownership at Catamount 214 includes one primary week, four additional planned weeks each year, plus space-available usage. The residence features three private bedrooms and a warm, inviting living area, perfect for gathering after a day on the slopes. A spacious wraparound deck showcases beautiful views of Northstar Village and Village ski run. Ideally located just steps from the Big Springs Gondola and the Catamount hot tub and fitness center, this residence offers both convenience and comfort. Owners also enjoy access to Tahoe Mountain Club amenities while in residence. Primary Week: First week of February. 2026 Reserved Weeks: January 30-February 6 (Primary), February 6-13, April 10-17, September 4-11, and October 2-9.

  17. 2018-03-08
    price $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,643 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,643 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,384
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,643
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− HOA
−$33,612
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable loss
−$33,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8,150
After-tax cash flow
$-23,715/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tahoe-Truckee Unified
NCES district ID
0638770
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$67,136
Composite
44.38/100
National rank
#2816
State rank
#136 of 517 in CA

Livability — Tahoe Vista

Score
52/100
State rank
#1011
US rank
#24918

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $129,000 TSMLS
  • 2018-03-08 Price Changed $125,000 TSMLS

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,643 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…