8001 Northstar Dr #214 · Tahoe Vista, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Exceptional opportunity for effortless, affordable ownership in the Village at Northstar. This 1/8 deeded ownership at Catamount 214 includes one primary week, four additional planned weeks each year, plus space-available usage. The residence features three private bedrooms and a warm, inviting living area, perfect for gathering after a day on the slopes. A spacious wraparound deck showcases beautiful views of Northstar Village and Village ski run. Ideally located just steps from the Big Springs Gondola and the Catamount hot tub and fitness center, this residence offers both convenience and comfort. Owners also enjoy access to Tahoe Mountain Club amenities while in residence. Primary Week: First week of February. 2026 Reserved Weeks: January 30-February 6 (Primary), February 6-13, April 10-17, September 4-11, and October 2-9.
Key facts
- Private bedrooms
- Deeded ownership
- Wraparound deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath condo listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-32k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (0.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate -18.4% vs local median 1.8% in Tahoe Vista — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,011 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Tahoe-Truckee Unified (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #136 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 218% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- -18.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -88.22%
- DSCR
- -2.93
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,829
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- 0.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -68.9%
- Equity multiple
- -3.20×
- Total profit
- $-151,859
- Equity at exit
- $58,004
- IRR
- -46.0%
- Equity multiple
- -7.34×
- Total profit
- $-301,192
- Equity at exit
- $89,391
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96161-1900
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,643/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA est. from 18 same-building comps
- −$2,801
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $-2,655
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,582 | -5% $-2,619 | +0% $-2,655 | +5% $-2,692 | +10% $-2,728 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,757 | -5% $-2,706 | +0% $-2,655 | +5% $-2,605 | +10% $-2,554 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,590 | -0.5pp $-2,623 | base $-2,655 | +0.5pp $-2,689 | +1.0pp $-2,723 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $129,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $129,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $129,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $129,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-03-03$129,000 Active 837-char remark
Show marketing remark (837 chars)
Exceptional opportunity for effortless, affordable ownership in the Village at Northstar. This 1/8 deeded ownership at Catamount 214 includes one primary week, four additional planned weeks each year, plus space-available usage. The residence features three private bedrooms and a warm, inviting living area, perfect for gathering after a day on the slopes. A spacious wraparound deck showcases beautiful views of Northstar Village and Village ski run. Ideally located just steps from the Big Springs Gondola and the Catamount hot tub and fitness center, this residence offers both convenience and comfort. Owners also enjoy access to Tahoe Mountain Club amenities while in residence. Primary Week: First week of February. 2026 Reserved Weeks: January 30-February 6 (Primary), February 6-13, April 10-17, September 4-11, and October 2-9.
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2018-03-08price $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,643 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,643 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,384
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,643
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,231
- − Management
- −$1,231
- − HOA
- −$33,612
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$33,957
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,150
- After-tax cash flow
- $-23,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tahoe-Truckee Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0638770
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,136
- Composite
- 44.38/100
- National rank
- #2816
- State rank
- #136 of 517 in CA
Livability — Tahoe Vista
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #1011
- US rank
- #24918
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
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- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+3.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Listed $129,000 TSMLS
- 2018-03-08 Price Changed $125,000 TSMLS
Property tax history
-4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,643 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…