175 Jefferson St · Cadiz, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover a truly one-of-a-kind property with this beautifully reimagined 2-bedroom, 1-bath home, originally constructed as a brick church. Full of character, it features stunning original double doors, soaring ceilings, and a warm, inviting atmosphere that blends historic charm with modern comfort. Located within the Cadiz, KY city limits and less than 5 miles from Lake Barkley, this home offers convenient access to outdoor recreation, dining, and local amenities. Recent updates include NEW FLOORING, FRESH INTERIOR PAINT, NEW FLOOR HEATING UNITS, AND AN UPDATED BATHROOM, ensuring move-in readiness and peace of mind. A rare opportunity to own a distinctive property with history, personality, and timeless appeal.
Key facts
- Built 1960
- Listed 210 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.5% in Cadiz — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#354 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Trigg County (town): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #90 of 165 in KY (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Trigg County Primary School (516 students, 66% FRL); Trigg County Middle School (math 19% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 440 students, 60% FRL); Trigg County High School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 617 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 390 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Trigg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trigg County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.16%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,239
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -45.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1378 Jefferson St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (+3%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $74 | 67 |
| 70 Perry St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 9mo | $162,500 | $188 | 61 |
| 66 Perry St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 9mo | $162,500 | $188 | 61 |
| 70 Madison St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 5mo | $109,000 | $126 | 61 |
| 62 Perry St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 9mo | $162,500 | $188 | 61 |
| 58 Perry St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 9mo | $162,500 | $188 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $15,223
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $53,684
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.0 mo (25%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $182,000 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 77 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 42211
- Active inventory
- 390
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,426 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $803/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $550 | -5% $522 | +0% $494 | +5% $465 | +10% $437 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $381 | -5% $437 | +0% $494 | +5% $550 | +10% $606 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $544 | -0.5pp $519 | base $494 | +0.5pp $468 | +1.0pp $441 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $100,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $100,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $100,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $100,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $100,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $100,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $100,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $100,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $100,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $100,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $100,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $100,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $100,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $100,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $100,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $100,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-17days on market $100,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $100,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $100,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $100,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $100,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $100,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $100,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $100,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $100,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $100,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $100,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $100,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-04price $100,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $90,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $90,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $90,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $90,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $90,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $90,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $90,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $90,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $90,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 147 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $803 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $860 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$57/yr (+$5/mo · 7.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$803
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,369
- − Management
- −$1,369
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,562
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,095
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,829/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This fully remodeled brick home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, making it move-in ready for both resale and rental.
Deferred maintenance Est. $30,000–$90,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — No roof visible
- Major Hvac (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — No HVAC visible
- Major Exterior (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — No exterior visible
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Deep clean carpets — Improves living space appearance and comfort ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trigg County
- NCES district ID
- 2105580
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,636
- Composite
- 26.87/100
- National rank
- #7100
- State rank
- #90 of 165 in KY
Livability — Cadiz
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #16772
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cadiz, KY
- County
- Trigg · 14,071 people
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,912
- Household income
- $54,039
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Trigg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,071 people
- By 2030
- 13,950 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 13,575 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 13,065 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 11,990 · -14.8%
- By 2100
- 10,802 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Trigg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.4) · D 23.2% · R 75.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.6pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -52.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+29.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.15%
- Current HPI
- 130.8351
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-14.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $90,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $94,500 WKRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $99,900 WKRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $109,900 WKRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $100,000 Fizber.com
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $114,900 WKRMLS
- 2025-05-25 Listed $119,900 WKRMLS
- 2024-02-01 Pending — MHCBOR
- 2023-11-27 Price Changed $99,000 MHCBOR
- 2023-10-20 Listed $105,000 MHCBOR
Property tax history
+38.2%/yrLatest (2025): $803 · +283.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…