10 W Walker Rd · Hampton, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained single-family brick ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths with approximately 1,321square feet of living space with a wood burning fireplace (as-is) and a converted garage. Situated on a .21-acre lot, this home features recent improvements including a new roof, updated gutters, a replaced hot water heater and updated plumbing in the kitchen. The functional one-level layout provides comfortable living and flexibility for future updates. Conveniently located with easy access to local amenities. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- One-level layout
- Converted garage
- Updated gutters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($623/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (14.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $201k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $235k implies a 1324% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.95%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $273,351
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -14.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Beechwood Rd | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (-8%) | 5mo | $150,250 | $123 | 74 |
| 2809 Butternut Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,303 (-1%) | 3mo | $314,000 | $241 | 72 |
| 15 E Walker Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+10%) | 2mo | $309,900 | $213 | 69 |
| 1120 Micott Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,401 (+6%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $186 | 63 |
| 3311 West Lewis Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+3%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $184 | 57 |
| 24 Hickory Hill Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-13%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $278 | 56 |
| 205 Hickory Hill Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-13%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $239 | 53 |
| 3321 Candlewood Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-2%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $193 | 53 |
| 6 Cornelius Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,138 (-14%) | 1mo | $252,350 | $222 | 48 |
| 3316 Custer Ct | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,218 (-8%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $185 | 46 |
| 1519 Todds Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+14%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $199 | 45 |
| 212 Breckinridge Ct | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,500 (+14%) | 3mo | $324,900 | $217 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-32,650
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-15,267
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23666
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,011 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,480/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $52
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 W Lewis Rd Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $2,425 | $2.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2217 Todds Ln Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 37 Pennwood Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,795 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1600 Pennwood Dr Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 44d | 6 | 0.56mi |
| 3318 Custer Ct Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 321 Big Bethel Rd Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1102 Celia Ct Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 208 Fishers Ct Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1519 | $2,295 | $1.51 | 12d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 408 Fishers Ct Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,999 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1587 Briarfield Rd Hampton, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 985 | $1,495 | $1.52 | 2d | 9 | 0.97mi |
| 346 Sitka Ct Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,675 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 604 Big Bethel Rd Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1139 | $2,300 | $2.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7 Briar Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1626 | $1,850 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 314 Martha Lee Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 100 Monticello Mews Hampton, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $3,089 | $2.63 | 2d | 15 | 1.15mi |
| 700 Benevita Pl Unit 700-403 Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $2,100 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 65 Cape Dorey Dr Unit 3A Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,495 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 65 Cape Dorey Dr Unit 3A Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,395 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 119 Yorkshire Ter Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1499 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10 Rutland Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1817 | $2,600 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 135 Pine Chapel Rd Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 830 | $1,490 | $1.80 | 2d | 9 | 1.35mi |
| 44 Lucinda Ct Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 921 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 260 Marcella Rd Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,838 | $2.23 | 2d | 18 | 1.41mi |
| 10 Christine Ct Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 921 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 101 Prince James Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1766 | $1,645 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 25 Christine Ct Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 921 | $1,700 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-01-22price $235,000 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
Well-maintained single-family brick ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths with approximately 1,321square feet of living space with a wood burning fireplace (as-is) and a converted garage. Situated on a .21-acre lot, this home features recent improvements including a new roof, updated gutters, a replaced hot water heater and updated plumbing in the kitchen. The functional one-level layout provides comfortable living and flexibility for future updates. Conveniently located with easy access to local amenities. Schedule your showing today.
-
2025-12-28$250,000 Active 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
Well-maintained single-family brick ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths with approximately 1,321square feet of living space with a wood burning fireplace (as-is) and a converted garage. Situated on a .21-acre lot, this home features recent improvements including a new roof, updated gutters, a replaced hot water heater and updated plumbing in the kitchen. The functional one-level layout provides comfortable living and flexibility for future updates. Conveniently located with easy access to local amenities. Schedule your showing today.
-
1962-09-01soldstatus $16,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,480 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,480 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,134
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$2,480
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,931
- − Management
- −$1,931
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$3,382
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$812
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hampton City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101800
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,089
- Composite
- 55.19/100
- National rank
- #1272
- State rank
- #40 of 131 in VA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #4302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton, VA
- County
- Hampton City · 132,421 people
- City population
- 132,421
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,233
- Household income
- $72,568
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2951.0
Population outlook (Hampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,055 people
- By 2030
- 131,753 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 125,017 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 116,825 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 97,033 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 76,188 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hampton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 69.2% · R 29.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp no change · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+42.2 2016: D+37.8 2012: D+45.4 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.01%
- Current HPI
- 262.821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.05%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+1324.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $235,000 REINMLS
- 2025-12-28 Listed $250,000 REINMLS
- 1962-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,480 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…