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1326 Phyllis Ave
D- Composite 35.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

1326 Phyllis Ave · Louisville, KY 40215
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,160 sqft · SingleFamily · 117 Days on market
Built 1949 10,454 sqft lot Est $210k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

'' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!

Key facts

  • Two lots
  • Large new bay window
  • Hardwood

Tags

TWO LOTSHARDWOODHUGE LIVING SPACEFIREPLACELARGE NEW BAY WINDOWUNIQUELY REMODELED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Industrial Park subdivision; Directions: Taylor Boulevard to Phyllis
  • HOA & community: No association fee; No monthly maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with space for 2 cars; Driveway; Front entry
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence, Cape Cod style; Two stories; Built in 1949
  • Construction: Aluminum siding exterior; Shingle roof; Concrete block foundation; About 1,512 above-grade finished area; approximately 1,080 below-grade unfinished area
  • Exterior features: Cleared, level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 140 and 41.5 x 142.5; Full chain-link fencing; See remarks for additional lot details

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total — two on the first floor and two on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; One fireplace on the first level; Seven total rooms (eight reported rooms total elsewhere); Eight closets
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in the basement; No first-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (19.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Jacob Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 486 students, 82% FRL); Lassiter Middle (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #208 of 217 statewide, top 96%, 1,004 students, 70% FRL); Iroquois High (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #245 of 254 statewide, top 97%, 1,090 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $245k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,320 (19.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.78%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$209,520
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3208 Bohannon Ave 0.19mi 4/2.0 2,205 (+2%) 20mo $100,000 $45 67
1036 Tennessee Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,150 (-0%) 3mo $199,900 $93 63
1302 Weyler Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,843 (-15%) 7mo $170,000 $92 56
3420 Vetter Ave 0.36mi 4/2.5 1,883 (-13%) 4mo $219,900 $117 53
1533 Southgate Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,242 (+4%) 15mo $205,000 $91 52
802 Longfield Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 2,050 (-5%) 9mo $260,000 $127 52
564 Longfield Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,128 (-2%) 10mo $199,000 $94 51
3119 Faywood Way 0.38mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,978 (-8%) 12mo $221,500 $112 47
1204 Larchmont Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,862 (-14%) 14mo $215,000 $115 46
1505 Homeview Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,949 (-10%) 6mo $189,000 $97 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-28,994
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,286
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,963 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,835
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $240 -5% $171 +0% $102 +5% $32 +10% $-37
Rent -10% $-54 -5% $24 +0% $102 +5% $179 +10% $257
Rate -1.0pp $225 -0.5pp $164 base $102 +0.5pp $38 +1.0pp $-27

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1505 Homeview Dr Louisville, KY 5.0 2.0 1949 $1,850 $0.95 18d 1 0.52mi
925 W Evelyn Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1520 $1,650 $1.09 25d 1 0.62mi
2718 S 5th St Louisville, KY 5.0 2.0 2196 $1,600 $0.73 13d 1 0.84mi
3102 Grant Ave Louisville, KY 4.0 2.0 1603 $1,595 $1.00 25d 1 1.00mi
4007 Southern Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,395 $0.93 5d 1 1.00mi
2718 S 3rd St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,800 $1.40 13d 1 1.00mi
516 Colorado Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,800 $0.90 18d 1 1.01mi
510 Colorado Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 25d 1 1.03mi
2711 S 3rd St Unit 1 Louisville, KY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 13d 1 1.04mi
4010 Taylor Blvd Louisville, KY 4.0 2.0 1612 $3,000 $1.86 18d 1 1.34mi
4513 S 6th St Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1581 $2,650 $1.68 25d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-02-24
    listed $245,000 Active
  16. 2025-10-03
    soldstatus $120,000 Closed 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    '' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!

  17. 2025-08-22
    status Pending 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    '' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!

  18. 2025-07-14
    price $159,000 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    '' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!

  19. 2025-06-18
    listed $167,500 Active 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    '' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!

  20. 2025-04-16
    status Pending
  21. 2025-04-12
    historical
  22. 2025-04-09
    status Active
  23. 2025-02-18
    status Pending
  24. 2025-01-24
    price $167,500
  25. 2024-11-20
    listed $172,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$750 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,107 · $176/mo
Expected delta
+$1,357/yr (+$113/mo · 181.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,558
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,885
− Management
−$1,885
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$3,037
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$729
After-tax cash flow
$1,947/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
20,532
Household income
$43,725
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
997.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 33% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.35%
Current HPI
227.8248
Rent YoY
▲ 5.16%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $245,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-03 Sold (MLS) $120,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-08-22 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-07-14 Price Changed $159,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $167,500 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-04-16 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-04-12 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-04-09 Relisted Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-02-18 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-01-24 Price Changed $167,500 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-11-20 Listed $172,500 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $750 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…