1326 Phyllis Ave · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
'' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!
Key facts
- Two lots
- Large new bay window
- Hardwood
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Industrial Park subdivision; Directions: Taylor Boulevard to Phyllis
- HOA & community: No association fee; No monthly maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with space for 2 cars; Driveway; Front entry
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence, Cape Cod style; Two stories; Built in 1949
- Construction: Aluminum siding exterior; Shingle roof; Concrete block foundation; About 1,512 above-grade finished area; approximately 1,080 below-grade unfinished area
- Exterior features: Cleared, level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 140 and 41.5 x 142.5; Full chain-link fencing; See remarks for additional lot details
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total — two on the first floor and two on the second floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; One fireplace on the first level; Seven total rooms (eight reported rooms total elsewhere); Eight closets
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in the basement; No first-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (19.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jacob Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 486 students, 82% FRL); Lassiter Middle (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #208 of 217 statewide, top 96%, 1,004 students, 70% FRL); Iroquois High (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #245 of 254 statewide, top 97%, 1,090 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $245k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.78%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,520
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3208 Bohannon Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 2,205 (+2%) | 20mo | $100,000 | $45 | 67 |
| 1036 Tennessee Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,150 (-0%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $93 | 63 |
| 1302 Weyler Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,843 (-15%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $92 | 56 |
| 3420 Vetter Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 | 1,883 (-13%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $117 | 53 |
| 1533 Southgate Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,242 (+4%) | 15mo | $205,000 | $91 | 52 |
| 802 Longfield Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 2,050 (-5%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $127 | 52 |
| 564 Longfield Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,128 (-2%) | 10mo | $199,000 | $94 | 51 |
| 3119 Faywood Way | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,978 (-8%) | 12mo | $221,500 | $112 | 47 |
| 1204 Larchmont Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,862 (-14%) | 14mo | $215,000 | $115 | 46 |
| 1505 Homeview Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,949 (-10%) | 6mo | $189,000 | $97 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-28,994
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,286
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,963 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $240 | -5% $171 | +0% $102 | +5% $32 | +10% $-37 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-54 | -5% $24 | +0% $102 | +5% $179 | +10% $257 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $225 | -0.5pp $164 | base $102 | +0.5pp $38 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1505 Homeview Dr Louisville, KY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1949 | $1,850 | $0.95 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 925 W Evelyn Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2718 S 5th St Louisville, KY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2196 | $1,600 | $0.73 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3102 Grant Ave Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4007 Southern Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2718 S 3rd St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,800 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 516 Colorado Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 510 Colorado Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2711 S 3rd St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4010 Taylor Blvd Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $3,000 | $1.86 | 18d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4513 S 6th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1581 | $2,650 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $245,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $245,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-02-24$245,000 Active
-
2025-10-03soldstatus $120,000 Closed 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
'' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!
-
2025-08-22status Pending 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
'' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!
-
2025-07-14price $159,000 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
'' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!
-
2025-06-18$167,500 Active 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
'' Back on market due to buyers financing '' This 1.5 story home gives you plenty of space! 4 bedrooms, 1 full bath, partially finished basement, extra area on second floor could be used as an office or an additional family room. You'll love the 2-car detached garage, large backyard and the convenience of driveway and street parking. Conveniently located next to shopping, restaurants, and interstates. This home has a lot to offer - come take a look!
-
2025-04-16status Pending
-
2025-04-12historical
-
2025-04-09status Active
-
2025-02-18status Pending
-
2025-01-24price $167,500
-
2024-11-20$172,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $750 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,107 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,357/yr (+$113/mo · 181.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,558
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,885
- − Management
- −$1,885
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$3,037
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$729
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,947/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,532
- Household income
- $43,725
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 997.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 33% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.35%
- Current HPI
- 227.8248
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.16%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+42.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Listed $245,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-10-03 Sold (MLS) $120,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-08-22 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $159,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-06-18 Listed $167,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-04-16 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-04-12 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-04-09 Relisted — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-02-18 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-01-24 Price Changed $167,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-11-20 Listed $172,500 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $750 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…