609 N Jay St · Rome, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Packed with potential, this charming single-family home offers a unique opportunity for homeowners, investors, or anyone looking to create value through renovation. Previously configured with two-family living, the unfinished upstairs space provides the possibility of converting the property back into a two-unit residence, opening the door to excellent rental income potential. The electrical was updated to a 200 amp service in 2017, so that can be checked off of your list! Outside, the home shines with inviting curb appeal, highlighted by a welcoming covered front porch and a low-maintenance exterior, allowing you to focus your efforts on transforming the interior. The oversized three-st
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- 200 amp service
- Abundant storage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 3-car garage
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Cable available; Circuit breaker electric
- Home design: 2-story house; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Solid surface counters; Partially furnished; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.91%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,058
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617 N Jay St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,681 (-2%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $107 | 83 |
| 603 W Thomas St | 0.25mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-0%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $131 | 82 |
| 706 Croton St | 0.13mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,768 (+3%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $113 | 78 |
| 402 N Jay St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,737 (+1%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $86 | 76 |
| 204 Pleasant Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 1,708 (-1%) | 2mo | $256,500 | $150 | 63 |
| 743 W Court St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,712 (-0%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $47 | 63 |
| 1011 North Madison | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,608 (-6%) | 1mo | $203,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 611 Turin St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,668 (-3%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $135 | 59 |
| 901 W Thomas St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,859 (+8%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $129 | 54 |
| 409 Walnut St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (+8%) | 8mo | $319,000 | $172 | 42 |
| 404 Walnut St | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,528 (-11%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $154 | 40 |
| 1209 N James St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 | 1,500 (-13%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $203 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $17,450
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $64,929
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13440
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 272
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,957 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,490/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $604
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 River St Unit 2 Rome, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,500 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1611 Craig St Rome, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1027 Elwood St Rome, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 251 Liam Ln Unit 251 Rome, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $2,750 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $129,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$139,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,490 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,490 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,490
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,879
- − Management
- −$1,879
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $5,537
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,329
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rome City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624900
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,406
- Composite
- 34.52/100
- National rank
- #5178
- State rank
- #516 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rome
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #722
- US rank
- #13676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rome, NY
- City population
- 41,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,273
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.58%
- Current HPI
- 339.3589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,490 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…