CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
609 N Jay St
B+ Composite 76.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

609 N Jay St · Rome, NY 13440
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,718 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1900 9,583 sqft lot Est $225k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Packed with potential, this charming single-family home offers a unique opportunity for homeowners, investors, or anyone looking to create value through renovation. Previously configured with two-family living, the unfinished upstairs space provides the possibility of converting the property back into a two-unit residence, opening the door to excellent rental income potential. The electrical was updated to a 200 amp service in 2017, so that can be checked off of your list! Outside, the home shines with inviting curb appeal, highlighted by a welcoming covered front porch and a low-maintenance exterior, allowing you to focus your efforts on transforming the interior. The oversized three-st

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • 200 amp service
  • Abundant storage

Tags

UNFINISHED UPSTAIRS SPACE200 AMP SERVICECOVERED FRONT PORCHLOW MAINTENANCE EXTERIOROVERSIZED THREE STALL GARAGEABUNDANT STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 3-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Cable available; Circuit breaker electric
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Solid surface counters; Partially furnished; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.91%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$225,058
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
617 N Jay St 0.04mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,681 (-2%) 8mo $180,000 $107 83
603 W Thomas St 0.25mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,716 (-0%) 1mo $225,000 $131 82
706 Croton St 0.13mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,768 (+3%) 8mo $200,000 $113 78
402 N Jay St 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,737 (+1%) 3mo $149,900 $86 76
204 Pleasant Ave 0.69mi 4/2.5 1,708 (-1%) 2mo $256,500 $150 63
743 W Court St 0.59mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,712 (-0%) 2mo $80,000 $47 63
1011 North Madison 0.42mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,608 (-6%) 1mo $203,000 $126 62
611 Turin St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,668 (-3%) 3mo $225,000 $135 59
901 W Thomas St 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,859 (+8%) 3mo $240,000 $129 54
409 Walnut St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,852 (+8%) 8mo $319,000 $172 42
404 Walnut St 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,528 (-11%) 7mo $235,000 $154 40
1209 N James St 0.72mi 4/1.5 1,500 (-13%) 4mo $305,000 $203 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$17,450
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$64,929
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13440

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Active inventory
272
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,957 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$207 /mo · $2,490/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,193
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
149 River St Unit 2 Rome, NY 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,500 $1.29 44d 1 0.83mi
1611 Craig St Rome, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 44d 1 1.01mi
1027 Elwood St Rome, NY 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 1.07mi
251 Liam Ln Unit 251 Rome, NY 3.0 2.0 1577 $2,750 $1.74 44d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $129,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $139,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,490 · $207/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,490 · $207/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,490
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,490
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,879
− Management
−$1,879
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$5,537
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,329
After-tax cash flow
$5,914/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rome City School District
NCES district ID
3624900
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$46,406
Composite
34.52/100
National rank
#5178
State rank
#516 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rome

Score
64/100
State rank
#722
US rank
#13676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rome, NY
City population
41,418
Population (ZIP)
41,273

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.58%
Current HPI
339.3589
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $139,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,490 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…