592 Brown Ave · Livingston, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the charm of 592 Brown AVE, LVNGSTN IL 62058, a single-family residence built in 1920. This inviting home is ready for its next chapter, With two comfortable bedrooms, this home has plenty of storage with three large walk-in closets. The single well-appointed bathroom has an on demand hot water heater. This property offers an exceptional opportunity to embrace small town life
Key facts
- Separate kitchen
- Separate dining room
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220-volt electric service (Ameren); Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 125
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10 x 14)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level (each approx. 9 x 12)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level (approx. 9 x 6)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tankless water heater; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($977 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#779 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Staunton CUSD 6 (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #323 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Staunton High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 411 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $75k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.85%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,057
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -19.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 Nicholls St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 1,144 (+6%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $105 | 81 |
| 393 S 2nd St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-6%) | 21mo | $110,900 | $110 | 67 |
| 694 Elm St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (-8%) | 11mo | $69,000 | $70 | 66 |
| 163 Williams St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,024 (-5%) | 16mo | $105,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 695 Elm St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,181 (+10%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $97 | 55 |
| 336 Mullen St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,188 (+10%) | 17mo | $132,000 | $111 | 45 |
| 246 N 3rd St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,223 (+14%) | 21mo | $17,000 | $14 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.74% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $42,675
- Equity at exit
- $50,714
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.28×
- Total profit
- $110,960
- Equity at exit
- $95,214
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62058
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $977 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $839/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$75,000 Active 388-char remark
-
2009-10-15soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $839 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,271 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$432/yr (+$36/mo · 51.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,725
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$839
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$938
- − Management
- −$938
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,252
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$540
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,789/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Staunton CUSD 6
- NCES district ID
- 1737590
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,408
- Composite
- 21.98/100
- National rank
- #8211
- State rank
- #323 of 620 in IL
Livability — Livingston
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #779
- US rank
- #15547
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Livingston, IL
- City population
- 791
- Population (ZIP)
- 791
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 3% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.74%
- Current HPI
- 181.8157
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+177.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2024): $839 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…