535 Cerritos Way · Cathedral City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.7/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
One of the easiest homes to own in Date Palm Country Club - clean, updated, and ready for immediate desert living. This move-in ready 2BD/2BA home is the perfect low-maintenance retreat. At 1200 sq. ft. , it offers comfortable living without the upkeep of a larger home-ideal for seasonal owners or anyone looking to simplify. Major updates are already done, including dual-pane windows and sliding doors, replaced front and back doors, updated kitchen appliances, newer exterior paint, and a fully painted interior. The home was leveled in 2021, with some electrical and plumbing improvements completed as well. HVAC and water heater are less than 10 years old. The medium sized backyard is partially fenced with privacy hedges and offers a great blank canvas for landscaping or could easily be finished as a dog run. Located in the back of the community with convenient access to the Rancho Mirage gate. Clean, well-maintained, and ready for it's next owner. Unfurnished. Some furnishings available outside of escrow. Motivated seller. Resort style living here at this 55+ community with several pools, fitness rooms, dog park, an on-site restaurant, pickleball & tennis courts, a social clubhouse and an Executive 18 Hole Golf Course.
Key facts
- Garage
- Community pool
- Built 1975
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 5.1% in Cathedral City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities D-.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 525 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $97k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.14%
- DSCR
- 3.72
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,305
- List price
- $97,000
- Delta
- 6.24%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521 Calle Madrigal | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 4mo | $83,999 | $73 | 89 |
| 364 Avenida Andorra | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-4%) | 10mo | $212,000 | $184 | 72 |
| 246 S Paseo Laredo | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-8%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $59 | 70 |
| 490 Calle Madrigal | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+8%) | 18mo | $105,000 | $81 | 66 |
| 478 Calle Madrigal | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 14mo | $184,000 | $137 | 65 |
| 354 Andorra Way | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $179 | 63 |
| 33 Belmont | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 19mo | $89,000 | $77 | 58 |
| 80 Santa Anita St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-2%) | 17mo | $198,000 | $168 | 57 |
| 7 Via Valverde | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,168 (-3%) | 8mo | $45,000 | $39 | 55 |
| 30 Paseo Laredo North | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (+14%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $55 | 41 |
| 2 Via Valverde | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 12mo | $94,000 | $70 | 36 |
| 169 Avenida Orontes | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,380 (+15%) | 9mo | $160,000 | $116 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $73,032
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 65.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.61×
- Total profit
- $179,618
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92234
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 525
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,600 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $1,384
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251 S Paseo Laredo Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,400 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 251 S Paseo Laredo Unit 251 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,550 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 37800 Da Vall Dr #12 Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $2,400 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 70170 Sun Valley Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $3,800 | $2.78 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 36040 Avenida de las Montanas Unit E Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $3,200 | $2.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 152 Estrada Way #152 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 38 Mission Ct Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1382 | $3,500 | $2.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 35 Mission Ct Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $4,125 | $2.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 68695 F St Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 896 | $2,500 | $2.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 35615 Paseo Circulo E Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $2,250 | $2.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 35054 Mission Hills Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $2,549 | $1.83 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 69200 Nilda Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $2,495 | $1.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,960 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,960 | $2.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 34750 Marcia Rd Unit 02 Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 39905 Estates Rd Unit 3 Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 70260 California 111 #24 Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,550 | $1.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 39955 Estates Rd Apt 11 Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,395 | $2.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 36947 Melrose Dr Unit 4 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 36947 Melrose Dr Unit 4 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 36947 Melrose Dr Unit D Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 69646 Antonia Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,450 | $2.54 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 36957 Melrose Dr Unit 7 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 36957 Melrose Dr Unit C Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit H64 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,500 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 34361 Denise Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 69603 Heather Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,300 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 36953 Bankside Dr Unit 10 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 36953 Bankside Dr Unit A Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 36953 Bankside Dr Unit 5 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 69180 Victoria Dr #8 Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,995 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $97,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $97,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $97,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $97,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-01$97,000 Active 1243-char remark
Show marketing remark (1243 chars)
One of the easiest homes to own in Date Palm Country Club - clean, updated, and ready for immediate desert living. This move-in ready 2BD/2BA home is the perfect low-maintenance retreat. At 1200 sq. ft. , it offers comfortable living without the upkeep of a larger home-ideal for seasonal owners or anyone looking to simplify. Major updates are already done, including dual-pane windows and sliding doors, replaced front and back doors, updated kitchen appliances, newer exterior paint, and a fully painted interior. The home was leveled in 2021, with some electrical and plumbing improvements completed as well. HVAC and water heater are less than 10 years old. The medium sized backyard is partially fenced with privacy hedges and offers a great blank canvas for landscaping or could easily be finished as a dog run. Located in the back of the community with convenient access to the Rancho Mirage gate. Clean, well-maintained, and ready for it's next owner. Unfurnished. Some furnishings available outside of escrow. Motivated seller. Resort style living here at this 55+ community with several pools, fitness rooms, dog park, an on-site restaurant, pickleball & tennis courts, a social clubhouse and an Executive 18 Hole Golf Course.
-
2023-05-25price
-
2023-05-13price
-
2023-04-21Active
-
2020-12-21soldstatus $55,000 Sold
-
2020-11-25historical Backup Offers Accepted
-
2020-07-07$57,900 Active
-
2020-07-03historical
-
2020-06-26price $57,900
-
2020-06-02price $58,900
-
2020-03-09$59,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$1,455
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,496
- − Management
- −$2,496
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $16,014
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,843
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,762/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Cathedral City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #11749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cathedral City, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 52,267
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,267
- Household income
- $73,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1682.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.57%
- Current HPI
- 356.9845
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+64.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $97,000 GPSMLS
- 2023-05-25 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2023-05-13 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2023-04-21 Listed — TheMLS
- 2020-12-21 Sold (MLS) $55,000 TheMLS
- 2020-11-25 Contingent — TheMLS
- 2020-07-07 Listed $57,900 TheMLS
- 2020-07-03 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2020-06-26 Price Changed $57,900 GPSMLS
- 2020-06-02 Price Changed $58,900 GPSMLS
- 2020-03-09 Listed $59,000 GPSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…