81 Oak St · New York, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT OPEN LIVING ROOM WITH TRAY CEILING LEADS TO OPEN KITCHEN 20'. 8 X 18'. 3 ~ RECESS LIGHTING THRUOUT ~ NEW DOOR AND SLIDING DOOR LEADING TO NEWER LARGE DECK WITH NEW LIGHTS ~ GREAT PLACE FOR RELAXING ~ 2 FULL UPDATED BATHS & ROOF ~ LAUNDRY ROOM ~ WASHER & DRYER STAY ~ 16 X 8 SHED ~ BEAUTIFULLY LANDSCAPED ISLAND GARDENS ~ HOME IS 44' X 24' ~ CROSSLAND MFG SERIAL #K655 MODEL KGSS ~ SHELF IN OFFICE DOES NOT STAY ~ TAXES INCLUDED IN LOT RENT~
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1977
- Listed 31 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease: $405
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Water connected to public supply; Septic tank sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-story (1 story); Double-wide mobile home (Crossland); Resale condition; Private road frontage; Rectangular, rural/agricultural lot (50 x 100)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Existing (pre-owned) structure
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Patio; Shed(s) and storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Sliding glass door(s); Bath in primary bedroom; Sliding doors
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($72k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $82k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 93.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $82k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 10.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 93.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 312.02%
- DSCR
- 14.88
- GRM
- 0.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $235,934
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Wythe Ave Unit PH | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+4%) | 21mo | $245,000 | $223 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.99×
- Total profit
- $367,066
- Equity at exit
- $12,226
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 36.27×
- Total profit
- $809,746
- Equity at exit
- $7,090
Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 14004
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 0.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$430
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$102 /mo · $1,230/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,738
- Net cashflow
- $5,970
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,500
- Closing costs
- $2,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Blue Slip Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $8,221 | $10.04 | 2d | 7 | 0.59mi |
| 1 Blue Slip Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 834 | $7,548 | $9.04 | 2d | 13 | 0.60mi |
| 1 Bell Slip Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 766 | $7,462 | $9.74 | 2d | 7 | 0.65mi |
| 285 Kingsland Ave #2078 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $6,380 | $8.80 | 24d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 30 Waterside Plz New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 743 | $6,598 | $8.88 | 1d | 33 | 1.04mi |
| 475 48th Ave Long Island City, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1293 | $8,971 | $6.94 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 360 E 16th St Unit 3A New York, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $8,890 | $7.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 401 E 34th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $9,147 | $10.31 | 1d | 55 | 1.32mi |
| 360 E 14th St Unit 2A New York, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $9,295 | $7.75 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 460 2nd Ave Unit 3A New York, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $11,685 | $8.99 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 490 2nd Ave Unit 10A New York, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $10,900 | $7.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 415 E 37th St Unit 36A New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $8,700 | $7.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 250 Union Ave #2119 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $4,900 | $8.31 | 24d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 166 2nd Ave Unit 9KK New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $8,100 | $8.53 | 7d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 171 Suffolk St #1265 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $8,710 | $13.40 | 7d | 2 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
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2026-05-18status Pending
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2026-04-30status Active
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2026-04-28status Pending
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2026-04-22status Active
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2026-04-06status Pending
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2026-03-30$82,000 Active
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2019-08-09soldstatus $27,000 Closed Sale or Rented 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
GREAT OPEN LIVING ROOM WITH TRAY CEILING LEADS TO OPEN KITCHEN 20'. 8 X 18'. 3 ~ RECESS LIGHTING THRUOUT ~ NEW DOOR AND SLIDING DOOR LEADING TO NEWER LARGE DECK WITH NEW LIGHTS ~ GREAT PLACE FOR RELAXING ~ 2 FULL UPDATED BATHS & ROOF ~ LAUNDRY ROOM ~ WASHER & DRYER STAY ~ 16 X 8 SHED ~ BEAUTIFULLY LANDSCAPED ISLAND GARDENS ~ HOME IS 44' X 24' ~ CROSSLAND MFG SERIAL #K655 MODEL KGSS ~ SHELF IN OFFICE DOES NOT STAY ~ TAXES INCLUDED IN LOT RENT~
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2019-05-09status Pending Sale 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
GREAT OPEN LIVING ROOM WITH TRAY CEILING LEADS TO OPEN KITCHEN 20'. 8 X 18'. 3 ~ RECESS LIGHTING THRUOUT ~ NEW DOOR AND SLIDING DOOR LEADING TO NEWER LARGE DECK WITH NEW LIGHTS ~ GREAT PLACE FOR RELAXING ~ 2 FULL UPDATED BATHS & ROOF ~ LAUNDRY ROOM ~ WASHER & DRYER STAY ~ 16 X 8 SHED ~ BEAUTIFULLY LANDSCAPED ISLAND GARDENS ~ HOME IS 44' X 24' ~ CROSSLAND MFG SERIAL #K655 MODEL KGSS ~ SHELF IN OFFICE DOES NOT STAY ~ TAXES INCLUDED IN LOT RENT~
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2019-04-24$29,900 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
GREAT OPEN LIVING ROOM WITH TRAY CEILING LEADS TO OPEN KITCHEN 20'. 8 X 18'. 3 ~ RECESS LIGHTING THRUOUT ~ NEW DOOR AND SLIDING DOOR LEADING TO NEWER LARGE DECK WITH NEW LIGHTS ~ GREAT PLACE FOR RELAXING ~ 2 FULL UPDATED BATHS & ROOF ~ LAUNDRY ROOM ~ WASHER & DRYER STAY ~ 16 X 8 SHED ~ BEAUTIFULLY LANDSCAPED ISLAND GARDENS ~ HOME IS 44' X 24' ~ CROSSLAND MFG SERIAL #K655 MODEL KGSS ~ SHELF IN OFFICE DOES NOT STAY ~ TAXES INCLUDED IN LOT RENT~
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2014-07-31soldstatus $32,000 17-char remark
Show marketing remark (17 chars)
Sold Before Print
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2014-06-20$31,900 17-char remark
Show marketing remark (17 chars)
Sold Before Print
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2013-12-19$31,900
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2013-06-19$34,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $99,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,593
- − Property taxes
- −$1,230
- − Insurance
- −$410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,943
- − Management
- −$7,943
- − Depreciation
- −$2,385
- Taxable income
- $74,785
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$17,948
- After-tax cash flow
- $53,691/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,312
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 22% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.62%
- Current HPI
- 342.0461
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+135.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-28 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-06 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $82,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-08-09 Sold (MLS) $27,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-05-09 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-04-24 Listed $29,900 WNYREIS
- 2014-07-31 Sold (MLS) $32,000 WNYREIS
- 2014-06-20 Listed $31,900 WNYREIS
- 2013-12-19 Listed $31,900 WNYREIS
- 2013-06-19 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…