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1203 1st Ave
D Composite 43.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$197,000

1203 1st Ave · Charles City, IA 50616
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,676 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 256 Days on market
Built 1976 10,500 sqft lot Est $139k · 42% over ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Taking Backups - Call Agent. Discover this spacious, well-maintained 3-bedroom home offering an open-concept floor plan and a fantastic location directly across from Charles City High School and Middle School and the Charley Western Recreational Trail. The main level features a generous living and dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. A cozy family room with a gas fireplace provides direct access to the fenced backyard, complete with a concrete patio and a newly finished deck—ideal for outdoor enjoyment. The primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet, and two additional comfortably sized bedrooms provide plenty of space for fa

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Gas fireplace
  • Concrete patio

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANFENCED BACKYARDCONCRETE PATIONEWLY FINISHED DECKGAS FIREPLACEWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $197k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (2.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IA, #2,944 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Charles City Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Charles City Ms (math 51% / reading 59%, grade B-, #201 of 246 statewide, top 82%, 423 students, 54% FRL); Charles City High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #279 of 336 statewide, top 85%, 534 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $173,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.59%
Cash-on-cash
4.62%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,108
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 Highland Ave Ave 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,796 (+7%) 4mo $170,000 $95 79
714 6th Ave. Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,688 (+1%) 6mo $145,000 $86 72
114 Central Ave 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,424 (-15%) 1mo $145,000 $102 69
109 Park Avenue Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,773 (+6%) 17mo $118,000 $67 65
613 1st Ave 0.42mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,585 (-5%) 13mo $140,000 $88 56
302 Patten Ave 0.56mi 3/3.0 1,680 (+0%) 17mo $140,000 $83 53
714 9th Ave Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,822 (+9%) 6mo $140,000 $77 47
514 8th Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,542 (-8%) 9mo $88,000 $57 47
317 4th Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,864 (+11%) 1mo $161,000 $86 47
603 8th Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,544 (-8%) 12mo $105,000 $68 45
306 2nd Ave 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,859 (+11%) 3mo $133,000 $72 42
1504 Clark St St 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+8%) 11mo $79,900 $44 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-18,402
Equity at exit
$29,373
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,379
Equity at exit
$17,033

Cash invested: $55,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50616

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,927 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,033
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,338/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,658
Max offer price $197,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $324 -5% $268 +0% $212 +5% $157 +10% $101
Rent -10% $60 -5% $136 +0% $212 +5% $288 +10% $365
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $262 base $212 +0.5pp $161 +1.0pp $109

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,250
Closing costs
$5,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1030 13th Ave Charles City, IA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 926 $1,927 $2.08 44d 28 0.94mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  2. 2025-10-24
    price $197,000
  3. 2025-08-09
    listed $210,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,338 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,715 · $226/mo
Expected delta
+$377/yr (+$31/mo · 16.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,124
− Mortgage interest
−$11,035
− Property taxes
−$2,338
− Insurance
−$985
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,850
− Management
−$1,850
− Depreciation
−$5,731
Taxable loss
−$665
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$160
After-tax cash flow
$2,707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charles City Community School District
NCES district ID
1907080
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$41,414
Composite
47.32/100
National rank
#2299
State rank
#262 of 289 in IA

Livability — Charles City

Score
77/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#2944

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Charles City, IA
City population
9,419
Population (ZIP)
9,419

Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,524 people
By 2030
15,254 · -1.7%
By 2040
14,830 · -4.5%
By 2050
14,660 · -5.6%
By 2075
15,548 · +0.2%
By 2100
17,406 · +12.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Scandinavian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Floyd

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.7) · D 36.5% · R 62.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-47.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: -25.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.7 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+14.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.03%
Current HPI
187.4742
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed $197,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-08-09 Listed $210,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,338 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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