1203 1st Ave · Charles City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$197,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Taking Backups - Call Agent. Discover this spacious, well-maintained 3-bedroom home offering an open-concept floor plan and a fantastic location directly across from Charles City High School and Middle School and the Charley Western Recreational Trail. The main level features a generous living and dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. A cozy family room with a gas fireplace provides direct access to the fenced backyard, complete with a concrete patio and a newly finished deck—ideal for outdoor enjoyment. The primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet, and two additional comfortably sized bedrooms provide plenty of space for fa
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Gas fireplace
- Concrete patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $197k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (2.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IA, #2,944 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Charles City Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Charles City Ms (math 51% / reading 59%, grade B-, #201 of 246 statewide, top 82%, 423 students, 54% FRL); Charles City High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #279 of 336 statewide, top 85%, 534 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.62%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,108
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Highland Ave Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,796 (+7%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $95 | 79 |
| 714 6th Ave. Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,688 (+1%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $86 | 72 |
| 114 Central Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,424 (-15%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $102 | 69 |
| 109 Park Avenue Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,773 (+6%) | 17mo | $118,000 | $67 | 65 |
| 613 1st Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,585 (-5%) | 13mo | $140,000 | $88 | 56 |
| 302 Patten Ave | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 1,680 (+0%) | 17mo | $140,000 | $83 | 53 |
| 714 9th Ave Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,822 (+9%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $77 | 47 |
| 514 8th Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (-8%) | 9mo | $88,000 | $57 | 47 |
| 317 4th Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,864 (+11%) | 1mo | $161,000 | $86 | 47 |
| 603 8th Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,544 (-8%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $68 | 45 |
| 306 2nd Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,859 (+11%) | 3mo | $133,000 | $72 | 42 |
| 1504 Clark St St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,819 (+8%) | 11mo | $79,900 | $44 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-18,402
- Equity at exit
- $29,373
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,379
- Equity at exit
- $17,033
Cash invested: $55,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50616
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,927 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,033
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,338/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $268 | +0% $212 | +5% $157 | +10% $101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $60 | -5% $136 | +0% $212 | +5% $288 | +10% $365 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $262 | base $212 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,250
- Closing costs
- $5,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1030 13th Ave Charles City, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $1,927 | $2.08 | 44d | 28 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2025-10-24price $197,000
-
2025-08-09$210,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,338 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,715 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$377/yr (+$31/mo · 16.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,035
- − Property taxes
- −$2,338
- − Insurance
- −$985
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,850
- − Management
- −$1,850
- − Depreciation
- −$5,731
- Taxable loss
- −$665
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charles City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907080
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,414
- Composite
- 47.32/100
- National rank
- #2299
- State rank
- #262 of 289 in IA
Livability — Charles City
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #2944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charles City, IA
- City population
- 9,419
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,419
Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,524 people
- By 2030
- 15,254 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 14,830 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 14,660 · -5.6%
- By 2075
- 15,548 · +0.2%
- By 2100
- 17,406 · +12.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Scandinavian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Floyd
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.7) · D 36.5% · R 62.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: -25.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.7 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+14.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.03%
- Current HPI
- 187.4742
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-6.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $197,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-08-09 Listed $210,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,338 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…