627 Brooklyn Ave · Dayton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity. Can be purchase individually, or as a bundle with the following addresses: 1009 Maple Ave, Dayton, KY 41074 1007 Maple Ave, Dayton, KY 41074 940 Maple Ave, Dayton, KY 41074 936 Maple Ave, Dayton, KY 41074 627 Brooklyn Ave, Dayton, KY 41074 636 Brooklyn Ave, Dayton, KY 41074
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Covered side porches
- Dead end street
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Existing structure; Built in 1890
- Construction: Shingle siding; Wood siding; Stone foundation; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Chain link fencing; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (85 x 45)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Living room; Dining room; Kitchen; Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 40.0% vs local median 6.9% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#67 in KY, #1,485 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Dayton Independent (suburban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #129 of 165 in KY (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #489 of 676 statewide, top 76%, 487 students, 82% FRL); Dayton High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 372 students, 78% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 120.31%
- DSCR
- 6.35
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $221,428
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 Main St | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 | 1,216 (+8%) | 1mo | $239,000 | $197 | 77 |
| 507 9th Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,116 (-1%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $220 | 77 |
| 219 8th Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 1,128 (+0%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $199 | 76 |
| 431 8th Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,072 (-5%) | 4mo | $206,500 | $193 | 75 |
| 1121 7th Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,183 (+5%) | 1mo | $262,000 | $221 | 70 |
| 911 Thornton St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,075 (-4%) | 1mo | $216,000 | $201 | 63 |
| 526 5th Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.5 | 964 (-14%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $109 | 62 |
| 223 4th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,152 (+2%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $239 | 62 |
| 356 Foote Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,219 (+8%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $152 | 51 |
| 73 Harrison Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,292 (+15%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $182 | 39 |
| 325 Washington Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 985 (-12%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $152 | 38 |
| 411 Washington Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,270 (+13%) | 2mo | $187,500 | $148 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.50×
- Total profit
- $72,747
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.96×
- Total profit
- $189,907
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41074
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,768 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $565/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $1,123
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,146 | -5% $1,134 | +0% $1,123 | +5% $1,112 | +10% $1,100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $983 | -5% $1,053 | +0% $1,123 | +5% $1,193 | +10% $1,262 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,143 | -0.5pp $1,133 | base $1,123 | +0.5pp $1,112 | +1.0pp $1,102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1065 Manhattan Blvd Dayton, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1038 | $2,152 | $2.07 | 2d | 19 | 0.50mi |
| 1181 Manhattan Blvd Dayton, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $2,712 | $2.41 | 2d | 10 | 0.64mi |
| 236 Ward Ave Bellevue, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,585 | $1.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 324 Fairfield Ave Unit 4 Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $1,545 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 324 Fairfield Ave Unit 1 Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,685 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2015 Edgecliff Pt Unit 4 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 239 Grandview Ave Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $1,645 | $1.50 | 5d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 2401 Salutaris Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2215 Victory Pkwy Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1713 William Howard Taft Rd #1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,695 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1404-1406 E McMillan St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2112 Kemper Ln Apt 3 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,260 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2330 Victory Pkwy Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 693 | $1,999 | $2.88 | 3d | 6 | 1.12mi |
| 2533 Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 912 | $2,668 | $2.93 | 2d | 39 | 1.13mi |
| 2039 Woodburn Ave Unit 1364149P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,806 | $2.27 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2705 Hackberry St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2705 Hackberry St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2118 Saint James Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2716 Woodburn Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1228 E McMillan St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1340 | $2,327 | $1.74 | 2d | 14 | 1.19mi |
| 1245 Martin Dr Unit 1056019P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $2,428 | $3.42 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2334 Kemper Ln Unit 2334-02 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2334 Kemper Ln Unit 2334-13 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1243 Martin Dr Unit 1056135P Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $3,099 | $2.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2378 Park Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,060 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 960 Francisco St Unit 107 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,649 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 937 Windsor St Unit 102 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $1,454 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 937 Windsor St Unit 202 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $1,464 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 937 Windsor St Unit 407 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,479 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2624 Victory Pkwy Unit 206 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,499 | $1.54 | 11d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2315 Saint James Ave Unit 2B Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2315 Saint James Ave Unit 3B Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2315 Saint James Ave Unit 17B Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1001 Hatch St Unit 1056124P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $2,248 | $3.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 975 E McMillan St Unit 201 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,695 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 975 E McMillan St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,695 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3001-A Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $2,252 | $2.38 | 2d | 12 | 1.36mi |
| 1132 Fuller St Unit A Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1137 Fuller St Unit 1056121P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $3,653 | $3.22 | 2d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 900 E McMillan St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $1,275 | $2.15 | 2d | 2 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $40,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 180-char remark
-
2026-06-17$40,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $565 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $565 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$565
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,697
- − Management
- −$1,697
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $13,648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,275
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101530
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,533
- Composite
- 23.0/100
- National rank
- #7978
- State rank
- #129 of 165 in KY
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #1485
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, KY
- County
- Campbell County · 84,793 people
- City population
- 5,756
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,756
- Household income
- $66,087
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 215.0
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,668 people
- By 2030
- 96,886 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 97,734 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 96,413 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 90,211 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 79,434 · -17.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.48%
- Current HPI
- 235.1437
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.15%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+433.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $40,000 NKMLS
- 2024-11-07 Sold (MLS) $40,000 NKMLS
- 2024-10-25 Pending — NKMLS
- 2024-04-09 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2024-03-07 Pending — NKMLS
- 2024-03-07 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2024-02-22 Pending — NKMLS
- 2023-11-02 Listed $39,000 NKMLS
- 2013-11-26 Sold (MLS) $5,000 NKMLS
- 2013-08-05 Listed $7,500 NKMLS
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $565 · -17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…