3419 W 70th St · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$26,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Opportunity! This is property part of a 6 Property Package Deal. Seller is willing to sell smaller package as well. With some renovation and improvements, this property could become a good cash flowing property. Here is some information for all of the properties that is part of the package deal. Each property is under 30K! 1941 Walnut St 22k, 450 E 84th st 25k, 3419 W 70th st 26k, 2529 Merwin st 26k, 1151 Kenneth Ave 23k, 2814 Mertis Ave 21k.
Key facts
- 0.83 acre lot
- Built 1977
- Listed 85 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($805 rent vs $26k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $180 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $780 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 75.92%
- DSCR
- 4.38
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,729
- List price
- $26,000
- Delta
- -58.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7024 Penny St | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 985 (+6%) | 23mo | $48,000 | $49 | 64 |
| 3012 Ivy Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 983 (+5%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $127 | 56 |
| 3027 Manson St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 987 (+6%) | 19mo | $19,900 | $20 | 56 |
| 6525 Quilen Blvd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-2%) | 19mo | $39,900 | $44 | 55 |
| 7141 Janey St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+12%) | 11mo | $70,000 | $67 | 53 |
| 2729 Marquette St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+7%) | 9mo | $58,000 | $58 | 48 |
| 2905 Grassmere St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-2%) | 17mo | $48,900 | $54 | 45 |
| 7028 Gregory St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,042 (+12%) | 23mo | $70,000 | $67 | 44 |
| 6507 Canal Blvd | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,027 (+10%) | 18mo | $25,250 | $25 | 38 |
| 6526 Quilen Blvd | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,049 (+12%) | 22mo | $49,500 | $47 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 75.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $24,625
- Equity at exit
- $3,877
- IRR
- 78.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.86×
- Total profit
- $57,201
- Equity at exit
- $2,248
Cash invested: $7,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71108
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $805 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$136
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $336/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$169
- Net cashflow
- $461
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,500
- Closing costs
- $780
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3051 Amherst St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $595 | $0.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2762 Marquette St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2721 Sunnybrook St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,000 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2401 1/2 Amelia Ave Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3530 Pleasant Dr Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7137 Burlingame Blvd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $700 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7224 Union Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $625 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $725 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7913 Woodfield Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1067 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-18days on market $26,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $26,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $26,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $26,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $26,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $26,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $26,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $26,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $26,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $26,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $26,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $26,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $26,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $26,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $26,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $26,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-03-24$26,000 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Investment Opportunity! This is property part of a 6 Property Package Deal. Seller is willing to sell smaller package as well. With some renovation and improvements, this property could become a good cash flowing property. Here is some information for all of the properties that is part of the package deal. Each property is under 30K! 1941 Walnut St 22k, 450 E 84th st 25k, 3419 W 70th st 26k, 2529 Merwin st 26k, 1151 Kenneth Ave 23k, 2814 Mertis Ave 21k.
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2006-04-21soldstatus
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2000-03-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $336 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $336 · $28/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,657
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,456
- − Property taxes
- −$336
- − Insurance
- −$130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$773
- − Management
- −$773
- − Depreciation
- −$756
- Taxable income
- $5,433
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,304
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,072
- Household income
- $32,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1526.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.98%
- Current HPI
- 58.1377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.37%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $26,000 NTREIS
- 2006-04-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $336 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…