230 Poclain · Perryman, MD 21001

$77,500

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 193 Days on market

Built 1992 $78/sqft · 19% above area Est $65k · 19% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Stunning renovation with beautiful floors and personalized touches that make this mobile home unique. It features a new roof, floors, bathrooms and plumbing, ensuring the home has solid foundations! Checkout the ceramic tile in each bathroom! The house is situated on a spacious corner lot.

Key facts

• Spacious corner lot
• Ceramic tile
• New roof

Tags

• NEW ROOF
• CERAMIC TILE
• SPACIOUS CORNER LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $889 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
• Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 5.7% in Perryman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#293 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, commute D+, schools F.
• Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 186 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $536 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $68,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.33% ✓
• Cap rate: 20.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 49.17%
• DSCR: 3.19
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $65,000
• List price: $77,500
• Delta: 19.23%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 17 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
230 Poclain	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,000 (0%)	1mo	$67,500	$68	99
228 Poclain Dr	0.03mi	2/2.0	1,000 (0%)	1mo	$49,990	$50	98
223 Poclain	0.12mi	2/2.0	975 (-2%)	6mo	$79,500	$82	85
201 Forest Grn	0.39mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,000 (0%)	1mo	$65,000	$65	76
206 Poclain Rd	0.20mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,100 (+10%)	12mo	$54,000	$49	59
1909 Bruce Rd	0.20mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,100 (+10%)	19mo	$53,500	$49	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 43.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.81×
• Total profit: $39,290
• Equity at exit: $11,556

10-year hold

• IRR: 48.4%
• Equity multiple: 5.08×
• Total profit: $88,567
• Equity at exit: $6,701

Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 21001

• Home prices YoY: -30.5%
• Rents YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 186
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,803 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$406
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$97 /mo · $1,162/yr
• Insurance: −$32
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$379
• Net cashflow: $889

Break-even live

Break-even rent $678

Max offer price $77,500

Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,375
• Closing costs: $2,325
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2025-11-14
   listed $77,500 Active 290-char remark

   Show marketing remark (290 chars)

   Stunning renovation with beautiful floors and personalized touches that make this mobile home unique. It features a new roof, floors, bathrooms and plumbing, ensuring the home has solid foundations! Checkout the ceramic tile in each bathroom! The house is situated on a spacious corner lot.

2. 1997-03-24
   historical
3. 1996-09-25
   listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,641
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,341
• − Property taxes: −$1,162
• − Insurance: −$388
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,731
• − Management: −$1,731
• − Depreciation: −$2,255
• Taxable income: $10,032
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,408
• After-tax cash flow: $8,261/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Harford County Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400390
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $79,569
• Composite: 29.38/100
• National rank: #6527
• State rank: #9 of 24 in MD

Livability — Perryman

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #293
• US rank: #15253

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Perryman, MD
• County: Harford County · 198,512 people
• City population: 75
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• Population (ZIP): 27,168
• Household income: $83,238
• Rent vs Own: 36.7% rent · 63.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 736.0

Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 262,292 people
• By 2030: 266,437 · +1.6%
• By 2040: 269,954 · +2.9%
• By 2050: 265,659 · +1.3%
• By 2075: 252,886 · -3.6%
• By 2100: 224,014 · -14.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harford

• 2024 margin: R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -108.65%
• Current HPI: 247.668
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.28%
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-11-14 Listed $77,500 BRIGHT MLS
• 1997-03-24 Delisted — MRIS
• 1996-09-25 Listed — MRIS