CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
111 Twp Rd 1467 Rd 🔨 Auction
F Composite 33.33
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,515

111 Twp Rd 1467 Rd · South Point, OH 45680
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1987 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Court Ordered Sale by Private Selling Officer. Auction ends on March 26, 2026. All information we have on the property is included. We have no additional information, property condition is unknown. NO SHOWINGS, NO trespassing for any reason. Information is thought to be correct but not guaranteed. 10% Buyer Premium added to the high bid, $5,000 deposit is due within 24 hours of bidding end.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1987
  • Listed 8 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $29,515 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $167,648 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#264 in OH, #4,218 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • South Point Local (suburban): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #525 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,515

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.34%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$167,648
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
126 Township Road 1315 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-2%) 12mo $229,900 $174 58
8 Township Road 1377 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,171 (-13%) 20mo $145,000 $124 37
8 Township Road 1377 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,171 (-13%) 22mo $145,000 $124 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.9%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-35,538
Equity at exit
$24,997
10-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-41,852
Equity at exit
$14,495

Cash invested: $46,941 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45680

Home prices YoY
-9.1%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,171 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$879
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,278/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$-131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,336
Max offer price $144,555
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,912
Closing costs
$5,029
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-18
    listed $29,515 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,278 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,278 · $106/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 14% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,047
− Mortgage interest
−$9,391
− Property taxes
−$1,278
− Insurance
−$838
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,124
− Management
−$1,124
− Depreciation
−$4,877
Taxable loss
−$4,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,100
After-tax cash flow
$-468/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Point Local
NCES district ID
3904795
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$38,807
Composite
35.43/100
National rank
#4935
State rank
#525 of 656 in OH

Livability — South Point

Score
75/100
State rank
#264
US rank
#4218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lawrence · 57,020 people
Metro
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
Population (ZIP)
11,878
Household income
$55,348
Rent vs Own
34.2% rent · 65.8% own
Severe rent burden
2.0

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,915 people
By 2030
55,650 · -3.9%
By 2040
50,523 · -12.8%
By 2050
45,103 · -22.1%
By 2075
32,441 · -44.0%
By 2100
21,754 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.42%
Current HPI
173.8502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Pending ACBOR
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $29,515 ACBOR

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,278 · +27.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…