5876 21st St N #3 · Lealman, FL 33714

$90,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · Condo public records · 528 Days on market

Built 1966 $535/mo HOA · 30% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.2/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +9.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

St. Pete's Best Kept Secret! 2BR/1Bth1st Floor Condominium in "G" Building. Beautifully maintained with pride of ownership. Carpet flooring in Living Room, Dining Room, Hallway and Bedrooms. Laminate flooring in Kitchen and Tile in Bathroom. Fully applianced modern kitchen. New windows 2021. HVAC is good working order. Spacious Florida Room not included in square footage. Carport parking right out back. Front entry has beautiful gardens for your relaxing enjoyment. Monthly maintenance fee of $535.00 includes gas, water & sewer, cable, trash removal, exterior maintenance, management, security & insurance. Extremely affordable living! This community has it all. Heated s

Key facts

• Carport parking
• Heated swimming pool
• New windows

Tags

• FIRST FLOOR CONDOMINIUM
• NEW WINDOWS
• SPACIOUS FLORIDA ROOM
• CARPORT PARKING
• HEATED SWIMMING POOL
• RECREATION CENTER

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Furnished; Community features: golf carts allowed
• HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly condo fee $535); Association amenities include pool, clubhouse, shuffleboard court, recreational facilities, private road, street lights, sidewalks, wheelchair access; Association fee covers cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, fidelity bond, gas, insurance, internet, structure and grounds maintenance, management, pest control, security, sewer, trash, water; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed (max ~40 lbs); Association requires fees

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (1 space)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Internet available
• Home design: Residential condominium; One level; Faces north
• Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a multi-story building (2 total stories)
• Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Sidewalk

Interior

• Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and natural gas); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room / dining room combo; Split bedroom floor plan; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
• Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.7% in Lealman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in FL, #1,394 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
• Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: John M. Sexton Elementary School (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #1,223 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 449 students, 71% FRL); Northeast High School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #289 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 1,736 students, 50% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,811/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 915% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 528 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $27k; list at $90k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 528 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.26%
• DSCR: 1.55
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -3.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.88×
• Total profit: $-3,127
• Equity at exit: $13,419

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.97×
• Total profit: $-631
• Equity at exit: $7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33714

• Home prices YoY: -30.9%
• Rents YoY: -2.1%
• Active inventory: 165
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,811 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax from tax record: −$129 /mo · $1,545/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$535
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$380
• Net cashflow: $257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,485

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $308	-5% $283	+0% $257	+5% $232	+10% $207
Rent	-10% $114	-5% $186	+0% $257	+5% $329	+10% $401
Rate	-1.0pp $303	-0.5pp $280	base $257	+0.5pp $234	+1.0pp $210

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 39 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5850 18th St N St Petersburg, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	727	$1,400	$1.92	25d	2	0.19mi
5920 18th St N #14 Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	2.0	950	$1,400	$1.47	25d	1	0.21mi
5850 18th St N #23 Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	2.0	870	$1,400	$1.61	19d	1	0.21mi
2275 62nd Ave N #203 St Petersburg, FL	2.0	2.0	940	$1,975	$2.10	25d	1	0.33mi
5924 15th Way N Saint Petersburg, FL	3.0	2.0	1104	$3,200	$2.90	5d	1	0.47mi
2734 62nd Ave N Apt 3 St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.5	833	$1,895	$2.27	25d	1	0.53mi
2715 63rd Ter N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	2.0	1030	$1,900	$1.84	25d	1	0.56mi
2600 52nd Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	2.0	857	$2,275	$2.65	3d	1	0.65mi
2600 52nd Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	2.0	1018	$2,225	$2.19	3d	1	0.65mi
1145 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	810	$1,850	$2.28	25d	1	0.77mi
4660 24th St N Saint Petersburg, FL	3.0	1.0	600	$2,250	$3.75	25d	1	0.80mi
7260 17th Way N Saint Petersburg, FL	3.0	1.0	912	$3,650	$4.00	5d	1	0.86mi
3114 58th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	800	$1,950	$2.44	5d	1	0.89mi
3132 56th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	3.0	2.0	1063	$2,850	$2.68	25d	1	0.91mi
5200 28th St N Unit 628 St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	872	$2,200	$2.52	25d	1	0.94mi
5200 28th St N Unit 402 St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	2.0	850	$1,995	$2.35	18d	1	0.94mi
4481 Crestwood Dr N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	720	$1,950	$2.71	5d	1	0.97mi
6910 Dr Martin Luther King Jr St N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	780	$1,850	$2.37	25d	1	1.10mi
660 62nd Ave N #1204 Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	656	$1,400	$2.13	25d	1	1.17mi
4104 1/2 Haines Rd N Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,850	$1.85	25d	1	1.26mi
3584 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	3.0	1.0	1012	$1,950	$1.93	5d	1	1.28mi
5519 Commonwealth Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	852	$2,900	$3.40	5d	1	1.28mi
2519 39th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	3.0	2.0	1005	$2,750	$2.74	25d	1	1.31mi
209 NW Jefferson Cir N Unit 15 St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	740	$1,275	$1.72	25d	1	1.33mi
209 NW Jefferson Cir N Unit JEFFERSON209-15 St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	740	$1,275	$1.72	4d	1	1.33mi
3580 49th Ave N St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	790	$1,425	$1.80	5d	1	1.36mi
3560 49th Ave N St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	790	$1,425	$1.80	15d	1	1.37mi
3560 49th Ave N St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	790	$1,425	$1.80	13d	1	1.37mi
3600 49th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0	680	$1,600	$2.35	4d	8	1.37mi
4163 31st St N unit Unit D Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	600	$1,490	$2.48	15d	1	1.37mi
3725 18th St N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	700	$1,795	$2.56	18d	1	1.39mi
550 50th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	765	$1,700	$2.22	9d	2	1.39mi
5364 4th St N St. Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	570	$1,150	$2.02	25d	1	1.40mi
426 Palm Ave N Unit 9 St. Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	850	$1,500	$1.76	25d	1	1.41mi
4129 32nd St N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL	3.0	1.0	1000	$2,150	$2.15	25d	1	1.41mi
3715 66th Ave N Unit B Pinellas Park, FL	2.0	1.0	750	$1,475	$1.97	23d	1	1.42mi
1001 77th Ave N #308 Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	650	$1,325	$2.04	5d	1	1.48mi
440 50th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	825	$2,100	$2.55	25d	1	1.49mi
547 46th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	837	$2,000	$2.39	9d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $535 · $6,420/yr
• Likely covers: watersewertrashgascableexterior maint.security
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $90,000 Active 528 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $90,000 Active 527 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $90,000 Active 526 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $90,000 Active 525 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $90,000 Active 523 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $90,000 Active 519 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $90,000 Active 518 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $90,000 Active 517 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $90,000 Active 514 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 513 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 511 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 510 DOM
13. 2026-03-30
    price $90,000
14. 2025-11-03
    price $100,000
15. 2025-10-17
    price $110,000
16. 2025-06-20
    price $117,000
17. 2025-03-02
    price $125,000
18. 2025-01-06
    listed $129,000 Active
19. 2025-01-02
    historical
20. 2024-12-03
    status Active
21. 2024-11-30
    historical
22. 2024-08-18
    price $139,900
23. 2024-04-10
    price $144,900
24. 2024-02-06
    listed $150,000 Active
25. 2015-01-16
    soldstatus $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,545 · $129/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,545 · $129/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,733
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$1,545
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,739
• − Management: −$1,739
• − HOA: −$6,420
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $2,180
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$523
• After-tax cash flow: $2,566/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pinellas
• NCES district ID: 1201560
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,270
• Composite: 43.27/100
• National rank: #3046
• State rank: #31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lealman

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #83
• US rank: #1394

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lealman, FL
• County: Pinellas County · 939,478 people
• City population: 249,151
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 19,227
• Household income: $47,487
• Rent vs Own: 35.8% rent · 64.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 915.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,027,532 people
• By 2030: 1,063,586 · +3.5%
• By 2040: 1,125,020 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 1,168,637 · +13.7%
• By 2075: 1,265,188 · +23.1%
• By 2100: 1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -179.12%
• Current HPI: 399.6253
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.08%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+233.3% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-30 Price Changed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-11-03 Price Changed $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-17 Price Changed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-20 Price Changed $117,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-03-02 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-01-06 Listed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-01-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-12-03 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-11-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-08-18 Price Changed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-04-10 Price Changed $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-02-06 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,545 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.