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12 Western Ave
C+ Composite 60.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +7.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

12 Western Ave · Hampden, ME 04444
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,467 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1920 0.25 ac lot $143/sqft · 25% below area Est $282k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Right in the heart of town, this 3-4 bedroom home offers space, convenience, and flexibility you don't often find in one package. With large, sunny rooms and a layout that lives comfortably, it's a home that feels open and easy from the moment you walk in. The living room stands out with its tin walls and ceiling, adding character you won't see every day. The home heats efficiently, making it practical as well as inviting. Location is where this property really shines - it's close to restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and the interstate, and right on the bus route for easy access to everything you need. Zoned for both commercial and residential use, this opens the door to a variety of possibilities - live here, work here, or both. If you're looking for space, light, and in-town convenience with a little personality, this one is worth a look

Key facts

  • Efficient heating
  • Tin walls
  • Close to restaurants

Tags

TIN WALLSTIN CEILINGEFFICIENT HEATINGZONED FOR COMMERCIAL USEZONED FOR RESIDENTIAL USECLOSE TO RESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (5.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.9% in Hampden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 90/100 on livability (#1 in ME, #105 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • RSU 22 (suburban): math 91% / reading 92% proficiency, ranked #16 of 112 in ME (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 440 units permitted in Penobscot County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Penobscot County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $210k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $197,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.76%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$281,851
List price
$210,000
Delta
-25.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23 Adams Way 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,454 (-1%) 16mo $318,000 $219 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-22,292
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-4,319
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04444

Home prices YoY
-14.3%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,993 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$201 /mo · $2,416/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$184

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,760
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $303 -5% $244 +0% $184 +5% $125 +10% $66
Rent -10% $27 -5% $106 +0% $184 +5% $263 +10% $342
Rate -1.0pp $290 -0.5pp $238 base $184 +0.5pp $130 +1.0pp $75

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
54 Western Ave Hampden, ME 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,000 $1.76 44d 1 0.20mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 65 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 64 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 63 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $210,000 Active 62 DOM
  18. 2026-05-02
    price $210,000 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Right in the heart of town, this 3-4 bedroom home offers space, convenience, and flexibility you don't often find in one package. With large, sunny rooms and a layout that lives comfortably, it's a home that feels open and easy from the moment you walk in. The living room stands out with its tin walls and ceiling, adding character you won't see every day. The home heats efficiently, making it practical as well as inviting. Location is where this property really shines - it's close to restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and the interstate, and right on the bus route for easy access to everything you need. Zoned for both commercial and residential use, this opens the door to a variety of possibilities - live here, work here, or both. If you're looking for space, light, and in-town convenience with a little personality, this one is worth a look

  19. 2026-04-10
    status Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Right in the heart of town, this 3-4 bedroom home offers space, convenience, and flexibility you don't often find in one package. With large, sunny rooms and a layout that lives comfortably, it's a home that feels open and easy from the moment you walk in. The living room stands out with its tin walls and ceiling, adding character you won't see every day. The home heats efficiently, making it practical as well as inviting. Location is where this property really shines - it's close to restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and the interstate, and right on the bus route for easy access to everything you need. Zoned for both commercial and residential use, this opens the door to a variety of possibilities - live here, work here, or both. If you're looking for space, light, and in-town convenience with a little personality, this one is worth a look

  20. 2026-04-06
    status Pending 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Right in the heart of town, this 3-4 bedroom home offers space, convenience, and flexibility you don't often find in one package. With large, sunny rooms and a layout that lives comfortably, it's a home that feels open and easy from the moment you walk in. The living room stands out with its tin walls and ceiling, adding character you won't see every day. The home heats efficiently, making it practical as well as inviting. Location is where this property really shines - it's close to restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and the interstate, and right on the bus route for easy access to everything you need. Zoned for both commercial and residential use, this opens the door to a variety of possibilities - live here, work here, or both. If you're looking for space, light, and in-town convenience with a little personality, this one is worth a look

  21. 2026-03-25
    listed $225,000 Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Right in the heart of town, this 3-4 bedroom home offers space, convenience, and flexibility you don't often find in one package. With large, sunny rooms and a layout that lives comfortably, it's a home that feels open and easy from the moment you walk in. The living room stands out with its tin walls and ceiling, adding character you won't see every day. The home heats efficiently, making it practical as well as inviting. Location is where this property really shines - it's close to restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and the interstate, and right on the bus route for easy access to everything you need. Zoned for both commercial and residential use, this opens the door to a variety of possibilities - live here, work here, or both. If you're looking for space, light, and in-town convenience with a little personality, this one is worth a look

  22. 2014-11-10
    soldstatus $48,500 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    So much potential. This 4Bd colonial is zoned Village Commercial & is centrally located. With some updates & TLC, it could make someone a nice home or use it in a business venture. Newer roof, windows & some updates already made. Encl porch & 3 bay garage

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,416 · $201/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,636 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$220/yr (+$18/mo · 9.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,916
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,416
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,913
− Management
−$1,913
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$1,249
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$300
After-tax cash flow
$2,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
RSU 22
NCES district ID
2314815
Math proficiency
91% ▲ 49.00%
Reading proficiency
92% ▲ 26.00%
Median HH income
$65,487
Composite
78.68/100
National rank
#72
State rank
#16 of 112 in ME

Livability — Hampden

Score
90/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#105

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampden, ME
County
Penobscot County · 81,539 people
City population
9,371
Metro
Bangor, ME
Population (ZIP)
9,371
Household income
$106,554
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
103.0

Population outlook (Penobscot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,928 people
By 2030
146,386 · -2.4%
By 2040
135,952 · -9.3%
By 2050
123,864 · -17.4%
By 2075
97,825 · -34.8%
By 2100
77,196 · -48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Slovak 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Penobscot

2024 margin
R (+10.9) · D 43.6% · R 54.5% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: -10.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.9 2020: R+8.3 2016: R+10.9 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.30%
Current HPI
335.987
Rent YoY
Metro
Bangor, ME
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+333.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $210,000 MREIS
  • 2026-04-10 Relisted MREIS
  • 2026-04-06 Pending MREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $225,000 MREIS
  • 2014-11-10 Sold (MLS) $48,500 MREIS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,416 · +24.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…