1220 Church Ave SE · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained home offers a great combination of recent upgrades and functional living space. The exterior features a newly installed roof, updated windows, and vinyl siding for easy upkeep. A covered front porch provides a welcoming entry and a perfect spot to relax. Inside, the main level includes a comfortable living area, a separate dining space, and a kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, electric range, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. The kitchen, laundry room, and half bath all feature durable ceramic tile flooring. Fresh paint throughout the home gives it a clean, refreshed feel. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms with carpeting and a full bathroom finished with tile flooring and a tiled shower. Updated fixtures throughout the add a modern touch. A solid option for anyone looking for a move-in ready home with practical updates and a simple, functional layout.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Updated windows
- Newly installed roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (11.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $165k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.58%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,716
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- 43.75%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 16th St SE | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+0%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $129 | 86 |
| 1215 Tazewell Ave SE | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,476 (+6%) | 4mo | $82,500 | $56 | 83 |
| 711 Stewart Ave SE | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,364 (-2%) | 6mo | $77,500 | $57 | 69 |
| 1222 Morningside St SE | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-1%) | 2mo | $256,950 | $186 | 64 |
| 1514 Church Ave SE | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $117 | 64 |
| 1433 Gladstone Ave SE | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,388 (-0%) | 2mo | $95,500 | $69 | 62 |
| 1417 Greenbrier Ave SE | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (+12%) | 3mo | $68,500 | $44 | 58 |
| 1008 11th St SE | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,533 (+10%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $130 | 57 |
| 611 Church Ave SE | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,472 (+6%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $112 | 55 |
| 1124 Jamison Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,206 (-13%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $145 | 55 |
| 1818 Kenwood Blvd SE | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,552 (+11%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 1105 Montrose Ave SE | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,203 (-14%) | 3mo | $174,000 | $145 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-15,583
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $553
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24013
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,457 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $500/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 909 13th St SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1870 | $1,199 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1817 Dale Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1820 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1015 12th St SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $923 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1016 15th St SE #2 Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1084 | $995 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1905 Wise Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,123 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 730 Murray Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,525 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 730 Murray Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,525 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1513 Morningside St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1708 Baldwin Ave NE Unit A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 216 Patton Ave NW Unit 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,025 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1515 Dunbar St NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,623 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 233 W Cleveland Ave Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,250 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 333 Harrison Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,123 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 520 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 401 Rutherford Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1816 Bennington St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $1,023 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 635 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 703 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2109 Colgate St NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 770 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1625 Padbury Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 355 Highland Ave SW Apt 1 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1119 Franklin Rd SW Unit BensonFranklin 05 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,297 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 430 Day Ave SW Unit A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12price $164,900 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
This well-maintained home offers a great combination of recent upgrades and functional living space. The exterior features a newly installed roof, updated windows, and vinyl siding for easy upkeep. A covered front porch provides a welcoming entry and a perfect spot to relax. Inside, the main level includes a comfortable living area, a separate dining space, and a kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, electric range, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. The kitchen, laundry room, and half bath all feature durable ceramic tile flooring. Fresh paint throughout the home gives it a clean, refreshed feel. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms with carpeting and a full bathroom finished with tile flooring and a tiled shower. Updated fixtures throughout the add a modern touch. A solid option for anyone looking for a move-in ready home with practical updates and a simple, functional layout.
-
2026-04-19price $174,800 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
This well-maintained home offers a great combination of recent upgrades and functional living space. The exterior features a newly installed roof, updated windows, and vinyl siding for easy upkeep. A covered front porch provides a welcoming entry and a perfect spot to relax. Inside, the main level includes a comfortable living area, a separate dining space, and a kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, electric range, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. The kitchen, laundry room, and half bath all feature durable ceramic tile flooring. Fresh paint throughout the home gives it a clean, refreshed feel. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms with carpeting and a full bathroom finished with tile flooring and a tiled shower. Updated fixtures throughout the add a modern touch. A solid option for anyone looking for a move-in ready home with practical updates and a simple, functional layout.
-
2026-04-10price $188,950 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
This well-maintained home offers a great combination of recent upgrades and functional living space. The exterior features a newly installed roof, updated windows, and vinyl siding for easy upkeep. A covered front porch provides a welcoming entry and a perfect spot to relax. Inside, the main level includes a comfortable living area, a separate dining space, and a kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, electric range, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. The kitchen, laundry room, and half bath all feature durable ceramic tile flooring. Fresh paint throughout the home gives it a clean, refreshed feel. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms with carpeting and a full bathroom finished with tile flooring and a tiled shower. Updated fixtures throughout the add a modern touch. A solid option for anyone looking for a move-in ready home with practical updates and a simple, functional layout.
-
2026-04-01$189,000 Active 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
This well-maintained home offers a great combination of recent upgrades and functional living space. The exterior features a newly installed roof, updated windows, and vinyl siding for easy upkeep. A covered front porch provides a welcoming entry and a perfect spot to relax. Inside, the main level includes a comfortable living area, a separate dining space, and a kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, electric range, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. The kitchen, laundry room, and half bath all feature durable ceramic tile flooring. Fresh paint throughout the home gives it a clean, refreshed feel. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms with carpeting and a full bathroom finished with tile flooring and a tiled shower. Updated fixtures throughout the add a modern touch. A solid option for anyone looking for a move-in ready home with practical updates and a simple, functional layout.
-
1993-08-18soldstatus $22,000
-
1992-09-04soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,352 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$852/yr (+$71/mo · 170.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,487
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$500
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,399
- − Management
- −$1,399
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$669
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$161
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,274/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,026
- Household income
- $51,290
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 345.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Greek 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.00%
- Current HPI
- 223.42
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+685.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $164,900 MLSRV
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $174,800 MLSRV
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $188,950 MLSRV
- 2026-04-01 Listed $189,000 MLSRV
- 1993-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
- 1992-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $500 · +19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…