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1020 E 15th St St
B Composite 71.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

1020 E 15th St St · Davenport, IA 52803
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,282 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1934 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large home for sale in Davenport, IA! The home features a large formal living area with extra nook, formal dining area and large kitchen. There are also 2 bedrooms, a full bathroom and a laundry room on the main floor. The second level features 2 large bedrooms and one full bathroom. With some vision and TLC this large home could be a wonderful place to call home or the next addition to your investment portfolio! This property would be a short sale.

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1934

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $720 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.63%
Cap rate
20.68%
Cash-on-cash
51.39%
DSCR
3.29
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,458
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1320 Grand Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,280 (-0%) 2mo $155,400 $68 76
1422 Arlington Ave 0.13mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,080 (-9%) 2mo $118,500 $57 67
1925 Eastern Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 2,270 (-0%) 0mo $154,517 $68 65
918 Arlington Ct 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,144 (-6%) 12mo $133,900 $62 63
2034 Farnam St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,266 (-1%) 7mo $190,000 $84 60
402 E Rusholme St 0.70mi 3/2.5 2,348 (+3%) 4mo $110,000 $47 57
1616 Esplanade Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,976 (-13%) 2mo $85,000 $43 55
914 Farnam St 0.53mi 3/3.0 2,570 (+13%) 6mo $189,900 $74 49
1936 Carey Ave 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,988 (-13%) 9mo $210,500 $106 49
908 Grand Ct 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,558 (+12%) 1mo $185,000 $72 46
410 Rusholme St E 0.68mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,488 (+9%) 3mo $350,000 $141 43
2125 Eastern Ave 0.63mi 2/2.5 (-1) 2,552 (+12%) 4mo $176,500 $69 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.3%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$38,725
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
57.3%
Equity multiple
7.18×
Total profit
$103,822
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52803

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,577 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,238/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$720

Break-even live

Break-even rent $666
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $753 -5% $736 +0% $720 +5% $703 +10% $686
Rent -10% $595 -5% $657 +0% $720 +5% $782 +10% $844
Rate -1.0pp $750 -0.5pp $735 base $720 +0.5pp $704 +1.0pp $688

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1527 Fulton Ct Davenport, IA 4.0 2.0 1850 $1,775 $0.96 44d 1 0.40mi
616 E 6th St Davenport, IA 4.0 1.0 1578 $1,712 $1.08 44d 1 0.68mi
119 E 13th St Davenport, IA 3.0 1.0 1728 $1,495 $0.87 44d 1 0.70mi
427 Pershing Ave Davenport, IA 3.0 2.0 1438 $2,288 $1.59 14d 3 0.93mi
1511 N Ripley St Davenport, IA 4.0 2.0 1872 $1,450 $0.77 21d 1 0.95mi
621 W 15th St Davenport, IA 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,500 $0.82 14d 1 1.16mi
1323 N Gaines St Davenport, IA 4.0 2.0 1733 $1,350 $0.78 21d 1 1.17mi
212 N Brady St Davenport, IA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1428 $2,600 $1.82 14d 4 1.17mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  3. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-07
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-05
    historical
  6. 2025-12-11
    status Pending
  7. 2025-12-10
    historical
  8. 2025-12-10
    historical
  9. 2025-12-10
    historical
  10. 2025-12-10
    historical
  11. 2025-12-10
    historical
  12. 2025-12-10
    historical
  13. 2025-10-27
    listed
  14. 2025-10-27
    listed Active
  15. 2021-08-06
    historical
  16. 2016-08-01
    soldstatus $112,000
  17. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus $112,000
  18. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus $112,000
  19. 2016-05-18
    listed $114,900
  20. 2016-05-18
    listed $114,900
  21. 2006-03-10
    soldstatus $94,000
  22. 2006-03-09
    soldstatus $93,600
  23. 2005-11-22
    listed $99,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,238 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,238 · $186/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,921
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$2,238
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,514
− Management
−$1,514
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$8,249
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,980
After-tax cash flow
$6,654/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davenport Community School District
NCES district ID
1908580
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,157
Composite
39.49/100
National rank
#3951
State rank
#288 of 289 in IA

Livability — Davenport

Score
79/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#2312

Category grades

Amenities A Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Davenport, IA
County
Scott County · 144,583 people
City population
103,319
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
22,742
Household income
$64,543
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
630.0

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
188,878 people
By 2030
196,648 · +4.1%
By 2040
210,860 · +11.6%
By 2050
224,359 · +18.8%
By 2075
258,884 · +37.1%
By 2100
286,447 · +51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.00%
Current HPI
182.0976
Rent YoY
▲ 4.57%
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12.1% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-07 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-11 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-27 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-27 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
  • 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $112,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $112,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-18 Listed $114,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-18 Listed $114,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-09 Sold (MLS) $93,600 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-11-22 Listed $99,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,238 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…