2281 Fiora Ave · Dixon Lane-MeadowCreek, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One bedroom, 1 Bath in Highlands Park- Close to club house. New carpet and paint, Gas range and refrigerator. Covered deck and gazebo, 2 sheds, carport.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- New carpet
- Gazebo
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community pool; Located in a senior community; Subdivision: Bishop
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Covered deck / porch; Private pool; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range, Oven, Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Range, Oven, Refrigerator; Carpet flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $794 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bishop Unified (town): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #337 of 517 in CA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Inyo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $363 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Inyo County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.83%
- DSCR
- 3.88
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,591
- List price
- $52,500
- Delta
- -45.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2344 Edinburgh Ave | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 | 616 (+3%) | 0mo | $44,000 | $71 | 90 |
| 1445 Highlands Sienor Park Dunbar Ln | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 611 (+2%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $98 | 74 |
| 2233 Tam O Shanter Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 672 (+12%) | 11mo | $98,000 | $146 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $42,098
- Equity at exit
- $7,828
- IRR
- 68.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.93×
- Total profit
- $101,882
- Equity at exit
- $4,539
Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93514
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$275
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$66 /mo · $788/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $794
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $830 | -5% $812 | +0% $794 | +5% $776 | +10% $758 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $679 | -5% $736 | +0% $794 | +5% $852 | +10% $910 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $821 | -0.5pp $808 | base $794 | +0.5pp $781 | +1.0pp $767 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,125
- Closing costs
- $1,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-10status $52,500 Pending 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $52,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $52,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $52,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $52,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $52,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $52,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-22$52,500 Active 152-char remark
-
2024-10-30status Pending
-
2024-07-24price $30,500
-
2024-04-22$39,700 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,575
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,941
- − Property taxes
- −$788
- − Insurance
- −$262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$1,527
- Taxable income
- $9,245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,219
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,312/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bishop Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0601409
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,430
- Composite
- 26.52/100
- National rank
- #7197
- State rank
- #337 of 517 in CA
Livability — Dixon Lane-MeadowCreek
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dixon Lane-MeadowCreek, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,961
Population outlook (Inyo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,399 people
- By 2030
- 16,824 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 15,543 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 14,332 · -17.6%
- By 2075
- 12,213 · -29.8%
- By 2100
- 9,997 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 14% Native American 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Inyo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 49.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+0.1 2016: R+13.7 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -387.39%
- Current HPI
- 231.287
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+32.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Pending — IMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $52,500 IMLS
- 2024-10-30 Pending — IMLS
- 2024-07-24 Price Changed $30,500 IMLS
- 2024-04-22 Listed $39,700 IMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…