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1119 Kunz Ave
D+ Composite 45.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

1119 Kunz Ave · Middletown, OH 45044
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,007 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1924 5,663 sqft lot $124/sqft · 11% above area Est $113k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom cottage in the heart of Middletown! Perfectly suited for first-time buyers or savvy investors, this home offers a cozy and efficient floor plan with a warm, inviting atmosphere. The main living area features large windows for plenty of natural light, while the kitchen provides ample cabinetry and a convenient layout for meal prep. The full basement offers excellent storage solutions or the potential to be finished for additional living space. Outside, the level backyard is a private oasis, perfect for summer BBQs or gardening, complemented by a detached garage for secure parking. Situated on a quiet street, you're just minutes from downtown Mid

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Level backyard
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTLEVEL BACKYARDDETACHED GARAGEQUIET STREETEASY ACCESS TO I-75

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Traditional single-family home; One story; Poured foundation; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 10 x 10; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level; Primary bedroom approximately 11 x 13; Second bedroom approximately 11 x 11; Third bedroom approximately 10 x 10
  • Flooring: Wall-to-wall carpet in living and dining rooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Window air conditioning unit; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Full unfinished basement; Wall-to-wall carpet in living and dining areas
  • Laundry & utility: 220 volt service available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (5.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.5% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#389 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities D+.
  • Middletown City (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #610 of 656 in OH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,163 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (356 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,446 (5.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.76%
Cash-on-cash
5.23%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$112,966
List price
$124,900
Delta
10.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1404 Young St 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,002 (-0%) 7mo $100,500 $100 85
1019 Kunz Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 1,056 (+5%) 6mo $159,500 $151 81
1212 Pine St 0.33mi 2/2.0 990 (-2%) 5mo $125,000 $126 74
925 Garden Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,048 (+4%) 2mo $94,500 $90 73
709 Fourteenth Ave 0.51mi 2/1.5 990 (-2%) 2mo $115,000 $116 70
1621 Lafayette Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 984 (-2%) 3mo $112,000 $114 66
1503 Brown St 0.38mi 2/1.0 888 (-12%) 1mo $106,000 $119 62
1206 Parkview Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 864 (-14%) 4mo $110,000 $127 61
704 Fourteenth Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 864 (-14%) 0mo $110,000 $127 52
1107 Baltimore St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,148 (+14%) 4mo $95,500 $83 51
706 Fourteenth Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+14%) 2mo $158,700 $138 46
608 Fifteenth Ave 0.57mi 2/2.0 1,128 (+12%) 7mo $143,000 $127 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-6,495
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$24,610
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45044

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,184 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $917/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $992
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1409 Young St Unit 1 Middletown, OH 1.0 1.0 1050 $950 $0.90 4d 1 0.20mi
702 Baltimore St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 848 $895 $1.06 43d 1 0.42mi
907 8th Ave Middletown, OH 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,400 $1.01 17d 1 0.59mi
2000 Pearl St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $3,500 $3.89 1d 4 0.64mi
1915 Woodlawn Ave Middletown, OH 3.0 1.5 1060 $1,550 $1.46 43d 1 0.80mi
2101 S Main St Middletown, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 757 $900 $1.19 1d 1 0.89mi
1302 Central Ave Middletown, OH 1.0 1.0 800 $1,095 $1.37 43d 1 1.00mi
2208 Woodlawn Ave Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 780 $895 $1.15 43d 1 1.00mi
2310 S Sutphin St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 967 $1,025 $1.06 23d 1 1.06mi
2400 Sherman Ave Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 920 $1,280 $1.39 43d 1 1.15mi
3 N Sutphin St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 715 $925 $1.29 4d 1 1.17mi
5 N Sutphin St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 715 $925 $1.29 4d 1 1.18mi
206 N Sutphin St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 43d 1 1.28mi
202 Harrison St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 1015 $895 $0.88 43d 1 1.32mi
108 Shafor St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 1110 $925 $0.83 11d 1 1.41mi
108 Shafor St Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 1110 $925 $0.83 20d 1 1.41mi
1804 Brentwood St Middletown, OH 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,430 $1.37 23d 1 1.43mi
1820 Clarendon Ave Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 1.45mi
1109 Oxford State Rd Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 744 $995 $1.34 1d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-05-08
    listed $124,900 Active 829-char remark
  14. 2018-01-04
    soldstatus $100,000
  15. 2007-11-06
    historical
  16. 2006-11-06
    listed $55,000
  17. 2006-08-16
    historical
  18. 2006-02-15
    listed $49,000
  19. 2006-02-02
    historical
  20. 2005-08-03
    listed $50,000
  21. 2005-07-02
    historical
  22. 2005-01-02
    listed $50,000
  23. 1987-11-01
    soldstatus $27,500
  24. 1987-08-01
    soldstatus $16,000
  25. 1984-10-01
    soldstatus $32,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$917 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,433 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$516/yr (+$43/mo · 56.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,214
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$917
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,137
− Management
−$1,137
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$56
After-tax cash flow
$1,883/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middletown City
NCES district ID
3904440
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,650
Composite
20.35/100
National rank
#8605
State rank
#610 of 656 in OH

Livability — Middletown

Score
72/100
State rank
#389
US rank
#6338

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Middletown, OH
County
Butler County · 381,674 people
City population
96,117
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
56,217
Household income
$73,732
Rent vs Own
38.1% rent · 61.9% own
Severe rent burden
1532.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
387,706 people
By 2030
392,028 · +1.1%
By 2040
395,307 · +2.0%
By 2050
391,116 · +0.9%
By 2075
378,642 · -2.3%
By 2100
343,248 · -11.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.3) · D 36.4% · R 62.7%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.6pp · 2024: -26.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+22.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.07%
Current HPI
219.0479
Rent YoY
▲ 6.31%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+280.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $124,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2007-11-06 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2006-11-06 Listed $55,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2006-08-16 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2006-02-15 Listed $49,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2006-02-02 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2005-08-03 Listed $50,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2005-07-02 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2005-01-02 Listed $50,000 Cincy MLS
  • 1987-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
  • 1987-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
  • 1984-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $917 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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