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1101 Patterson Dr
D- Composite 37.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

1101 Patterson Dr · Florence, AL 35630
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1940 4,791 sqft lot $202/sqft · 29% above area Est $165k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in a prime Florence location! This beautifully updated home offers modern style and convenience just minutes from both the University of North Alabama and 7 Points. Inside, you’ll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, brand-new kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, elegant crown molding, and fresh finishes from top to bottom. The layout provides comfortable living with updated bathrooms, a stylish kitchen perfect for entertaining, and move-in-ready condition. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Florence.

Key facts

  • Updated bathrooms
  • Remodeled home
  • 4,791 sq ft lot

Tags

REMODELED HOMELUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGBRAND-NEW KITCHEN CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESELEGANT CROWN MOLDINGUPDATED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered spaces listed; No carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Existing (year built not specified)
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range, dishwasher, microwave
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Bedroom sizes approximately 13x10, 11x11, and 12x11
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Electric Range, Dishwasher, Microwave
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (9.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (32.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harlan Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 402 students, 90% FRL); Florence High School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,034 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,413 (32.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.38%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$164,754
List price
$160,000
Delta
-2.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
506 Cypress Mill Rd 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (-1%) 2mo $88,780 $113 71
523 W Cleveland Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 841 (+6%) 4mo $101,000 $120 58
513 Collier Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+1%) 14mo $132,000 $165 57
326 Edgewood Dr 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 901 (+14%) 10mo $159,900 $177 52
908 Cumberland St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 805 (+2%) 22mo $45,000 $56 49
1248 Glenn Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+14%) 14mo $130,000 $144 40
913 Royal Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (+7%) 13mo $25,000 $29 38
1614 Sherrod Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (+12%) 23mo $80,500 $91 27
204 Button Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 905 (+14%) 23mo $105,000 $116 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-28,080
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-16,381
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35630

Home prices YoY
-33.7%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $473/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$-89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,196
Max offer price $144,330
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2 -5% $-43 +0% $-89 +5% $-134 +10% $-179
Rent -10% $-174 -5% $-132 +0% $-89 +5% $-46 +10% $-3
Rate -1.0pp $-8 -0.5pp $-48 base $-89 +0.5pp $-130 +1.0pp $-172

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1246 Graham Ave Unit 30 Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 650 $695 $1.07 44d 1 0.26mi
1034 N Royal Ave Unit 2 Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.44mi
939 N Royal Ave Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.56mi
418 N Poplar St Florence, AL 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 44d 1 1.00mi
301 N Court St Unit 1 Florence, AL 2.0 1.5 1000 $850 $0.85 44d 1 1.02mi
520 E Tuscaloosa St Unit 520-C Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 44d 1 1.07mi
Cypress Dr Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 782 $695 $0.89 44d 1 1.27mi
2424 Roberts Ln Florence, AL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,095 $1.00 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $160,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    listed $160,000 Active 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    Completely remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in a prime Florence location! This beautifully updated home offers modern style and convenience just minutes from both the University of North Alabama and 7 Points. Inside, you’ll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, brand-new kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, elegant crown molding, and fresh finishes from top to bottom. The layout provides comfortable living with updated bathrooms, a stylish kitchen perfect for entertaining, and move-in-ready condition. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Florence.

  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $160,000 Active 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    Completely remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in a prime Florence location! This beautifully updated home offers modern style and convenience just minutes from both the University of North Alabama and 7 Points. Inside, you’ll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, brand-new kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, elegant crown molding, and fresh finishes from top to bottom. The layout provides comfortable living with updated bathrooms, a stylish kitchen perfect for entertaining, and move-in-ready condition. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Florence.

  18. 2026-05-15
    listed $160,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    Completely remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in a prime Florence location! This beautifully updated home offers modern style and convenience just minutes from both the University of North Alabama and 7 Points. Inside, you’ll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, brand-new kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, elegant crown molding, and fresh finishes from top to bottom. The layout provides comfortable living with updated bathrooms, a stylish kitchen perfect for entertaining, and move-in-ready condition. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Florence.

  19. 2021-12-23
    soldstatus $445,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$473 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$656 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$183/yr (+$15/mo · 38.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,010
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$473
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$3,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$951
After-tax cash flow
$-114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence City
NCES district ID
0101530
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,997
Composite
29.69/100
National rank
#6456
State rank
#44 of 129 in AL

Livability — Florence

Score
82/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1140

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florence, AL
County
Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
City population
34,028
Metro
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
Population (ZIP)
34,028
Household income
$46,304
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
1516.0

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,386 people
By 2030
93,634 · +0.3%
By 2040
93,114 · -0.3%
By 2050
91,586 · -1.9%
By 2075
88,667 · -5.1%
By 2100
81,098 · -13.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.78%
Current HPI
206.1364
Rent YoY
▲ 6.18%
Metro
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-64.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 VMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 SAARMLS
  • 2021-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $445,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $473 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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