1101 Patterson Dr · Florence, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in a prime Florence location! This beautifully updated home offers modern style and convenience just minutes from both the University of North Alabama and 7 Points. Inside, you’ll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, brand-new kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, elegant crown molding, and fresh finishes from top to bottom. The layout provides comfortable living with updated bathrooms, a stylish kitchen perfect for entertaining, and move-in-ready condition. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Florence.
Key facts
- Updated bathrooms
- Remodeled home
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No covered spaces listed; No carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Existing (year built not specified)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range, dishwasher, microwave
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Bedroom sizes approximately 13x10, 11x11, and 12x11
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Electric Range, Dishwasher, Microwave
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (9.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (32.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harlan Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 402 students, 90% FRL); Florence High School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,034 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.38%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,754
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -2.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506 Cypress Mill Rd | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-1%) | 2mo | $88,780 | $113 | 71 |
| 523 W Cleveland Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 841 (+6%) | 4mo | $101,000 | $120 | 58 |
| 513 Collier Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (+1%) | 14mo | $132,000 | $165 | 57 |
| 326 Edgewood Dr | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 901 (+14%) | 10mo | $159,900 | $177 | 52 |
| 908 Cumberland St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 805 (+2%) | 22mo | $45,000 | $56 | 49 |
| 1248 Glenn Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+14%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $144 | 40 |
| 913 Royal Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (+7%) | 13mo | $25,000 | $29 | 38 |
| 1614 Sherrod Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 888 (+12%) | 23mo | $80,500 | $91 | 27 |
| 204 Button Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 905 (+14%) | 23mo | $105,000 | $116 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-28,080
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-16,381
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35630
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $473/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $-89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2 | -5% $-43 | +0% $-89 | +5% $-134 | +10% $-179 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-174 | -5% $-132 | +0% $-89 | +5% $-46 | +10% $-3 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-8 | -0.5pp $-48 | base $-89 | +0.5pp $-130 | +1.0pp $-172 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1246 Graham Ave Unit 30 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $695 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1034 N Royal Ave Unit 2 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 939 N Royal Ave Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 418 N Poplar St Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 301 N Court St Unit 1 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 520 E Tuscaloosa St Unit 520-C Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| Cypress Dr Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $695 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2424 Roberts Ln Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $160,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$160,000 Active 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Completely remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in a prime Florence location! This beautifully updated home offers modern style and convenience just minutes from both the University of North Alabama and 7 Points. Inside, you’ll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, brand-new kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, elegant crown molding, and fresh finishes from top to bottom. The layout provides comfortable living with updated bathrooms, a stylish kitchen perfect for entertaining, and move-in-ready condition. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Florence.
-
2026-05-15$160,000 Active 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Completely remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in a prime Florence location! This beautifully updated home offers modern style and convenience just minutes from both the University of North Alabama and 7 Points. Inside, you’ll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, brand-new kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, elegant crown molding, and fresh finishes from top to bottom. The layout provides comfortable living with updated bathrooms, a stylish kitchen perfect for entertaining, and move-in-ready condition. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Florence.
-
2026-05-15$160,000 Active
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Completely remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in a prime Florence location! This beautifully updated home offers modern style and convenience just minutes from both the University of North Alabama and 7 Points. Inside, you’ll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, brand-new kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, elegant crown molding, and fresh finishes from top to bottom. The layout provides comfortable living with updated bathrooms, a stylish kitchen perfect for entertaining, and move-in-ready condition. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Florence.
-
2021-12-23soldstatus $445,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $473 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$183/yr (+$15/mo · 38.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$473
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,041
- − Management
- −$1,041
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$3,962
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$951
- After-tax cash flow
- $-114/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence City
- NCES district ID
- 0101530
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,997
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6456
- State rank
- #44 of 129 in AL
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AL
- County
- Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
- City population
- 34,028
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,028
- Household income
- $46,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.78%
- Current HPI
- 206.1364
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-64.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 VMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 SAARMLS
- 2021-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $445,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2024): $473 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…