550 W 7th North St · Morristown, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment property, two blocks from Hospital, close to downtown shopping, Minutes to lake, parks, mall, and much, much more.
Key facts
- Mall
- Minutes to lake
- Parks
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.9% in Morristown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hamblen County (urban): math 31% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #57 of 139 in TN (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Elementary (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #423 of 952 statewide, top 48%, 432 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln Heights Middle School (math 23% / reading 18%, grade F, #194 of 333 statewide, top 59%, 561 students, 0% FRL); Morristown West High (math 13% / reading 44%, grade F, #96 of 332 statewide, top 30%, 1,506 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 332 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Hamblen County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.45%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,964
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 544 W 7th North St | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-0%) | 1mo | $252,250 | $225 | 98 |
| 550 W 7th North St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,126 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $107 | 95 |
| 523 N Jackson St | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,130 (+0%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $133 | 84 |
| 1011 Mcfarland St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,110 (-1%) | 8mo | $279,900 | $252 | 75 |
| 1021 Ridgecrest St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+2%) | 4mo | $275,900 | $239 | 74 |
| 1035 W 6th North St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-7%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $224 | 65 |
| 1030 W 5th North St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-7%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $224 | 65 |
| 210 W 6th North St | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,053 (-6%) | 7mo | $175,500 | $167 | 62 |
| 1027 Penny Ln | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-4%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $162 | 60 |
| 1200 Virginia Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+4%) | 18mo | $249,900 | $213 | 59 |
| 616 Rosedale Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-6%) | 9mo | $228,000 | $214 | 49 |
| 1711 Cherokee Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+3%) | 19mo | $199,900 | $172 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $10,571
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $45,480
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37814
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Active inventory
- 332
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $650/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $444
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $505 | -5% $475 | +0% $444 | +5% $413 | +10% $382 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $332 | -5% $388 | +0% $444 | +5% $500 | +10% $555 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $499 | -0.5pp $471 | base $444 | +0.5pp $416 | +1.0pp $387 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 578 Housley St Morristown, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 949 | $890 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-27$109,000 Active
-
2025-07-16soldstatus $85,000
-
2019-12-21$89,900
-
1991-01-15soldstatus $21,579
-
1988-10-17soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $650 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $774 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$124/yr (+$10/mo · 19.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,936
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$650
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,355
- − Management
- −$1,355
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $3,755
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$901
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamblen County
- NCES district ID
- 4700001
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,361
- Composite
- 25.61/100
- National rank
- #7412
- State rank
- #57 of 139 in TN
Livability — Morristown
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #175
- US rank
- #14625
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morristown, TN
- County
- Hamblen County · 35,239 people
- City population
- 35,239
- Metro
- Morristown, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,239
- Household income
- $55,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Hamblen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,185 people
- By 2030
- 65,707 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 66,189 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 65,798 · +0.9%
- By 2075
- 62,642 · -3.9%
- By 2100
- 55,702 · -14.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 12% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamblen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.1% · R 79.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+54.0 2016: R+57.2 2012: R+46.4 2008: R+38.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.88%
- Current HPI
- 299.6486
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Morristown, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+445.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — LAAR
- 2026-04-27 Listed $109,000 LAAR
- 2025-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2019-12-21 Listed $89,900 LAAR
- 1991-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $21,579 Public Records
- 1988-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $650 · +21.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…