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420 North St #61
B Composite 73.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,500

420 North St #61 · Lawrence, KS 66044
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 83 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, community events, a basketball court, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 82 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $44,000

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
  • Home design: Spec new construction (Plan 93010); Active listing
  • Exterior features: Living area about 1,056 (listed)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 2 total bathrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 2.7% in Lawrence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#1 in KS, #237 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Lawrence (urban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #46 of 169 in KS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 246 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $308 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $41,830 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.71%
Cap rate
23.69%
Cash-on-cash
62.14%
DSCR
3.76
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.7%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$40,277
Equity at exit
$6,635
10-year hold
IRR
72.5%
Equity multiple
10.40×
Total profit
$117,073
Equity at exit
$3,848

Cash invested: $12,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66044

Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$233
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $668/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $389
Max offer price $44,500
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $676 -5% $661 +0% $645 +5% $630 +10% $614
Rent -10% $550 -5% $598 +0% $645 +5% $693 +10% $741
Rate -1.0pp $668 -0.5pp $657 base $645 +0.5pp $634 +1.0pp $622

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,125
Closing costs
$1,335
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
110 N Michigan St Lawrence, KS 3.0 3.0 1036 $949 $0.92 24d 1 1.07mi
1311 George Ct Lawrence, KS 2.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 3d 3 1.13mi
901 Illinois St Lawrence, KS 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 13d 4 1.48mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $44,500 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $44,500 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,500 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,500 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,500 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,500 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $44,500 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,500 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,500 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,500 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,500 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $44,500 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,500 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $44,500 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $44,000 Active 61 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,472
− Mortgage interest
−$2,493
− Property taxes
−$668
− Insurance
−$222
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$1,295
Taxable income
$7,480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,795
After-tax cash flow
$5,948/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It's ready for a new owner and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and landscaping improvements to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawrence
NCES district ID
2008400
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,259
Composite
32.02/100
National rank
#5826
State rank
#46 of 169 in KS

Livability — Lawrence

Score
88/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawrence, KS
County
Douglas County · 100,966 people
City population
100,966
Metro
Lawrence, KS
Population (ZIP)
28,820
Household income
$55,955
Rent vs Own
61.4% rent · 38.6% own
Severe rent burden
2168.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
136,863 people
By 2030
147,255 · +7.6%
By 2040
167,760 · +22.6%
By 2050
190,593 · +39.3%
By 2075
253,850 · +85.5%
By 2100
314,741 · +130.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.0) · D 68.2% · R 30.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.0 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+32.7 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+30.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -357.53%
Current HPI
247.5888
Rent YoY
▲ 9.02%
Metro
Lawrence, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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