420 North St #61 · Lawrence, KS
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, community events, a basketball court, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 82 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $44,000
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
- Home design: Spec new construction (Plan 93010); Active listing
- Exterior features: Living area about 1,056 (listed)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 2 total bathrooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 2.7% in Lawrence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#1 in KS, #237 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Lawrence (urban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #46 of 169 in KS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 246 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $308 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.14%
- DSCR
- 3.76
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $40,277
- Equity at exit
- $6,635
- IRR
- 72.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.40×
- Total profit
- $117,073
- Equity at exit
- $3,848
Cash invested: $12,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66044
- Rents YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$233
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $668/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $645
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $676 | -5% $661 | +0% $645 | +5% $630 | +10% $614 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $550 | -5% $598 | +0% $645 | +5% $693 | +10% $741 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $668 | -0.5pp $657 | base $645 | +0.5pp $634 | +1.0pp $622 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,125
- Closing costs
- $1,335
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 N Michigan St Lawrence, KS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1036 | $949 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1311 George Ct Lawrence, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 3d | 3 | 1.13mi |
| 901 Illinois St Lawrence, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 4 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $44,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $44,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $44,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $44,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $44,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $44,000 Active 61 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,493
- − Property taxes
- −$668
- − Insurance
- −$222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$1,295
- Taxable income
- $7,480
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,795
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,948/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It's ready for a new owner and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and landscaping improvements to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence
- NCES district ID
- 2008400
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,259
- Composite
- 32.02/100
- National rank
- #5826
- State rank
- #46 of 169 in KS
Livability — Lawrence
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawrence, KS
- County
- Douglas County · 100,966 people
- City population
- 100,966
- Metro
- Lawrence, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,820
- Household income
- $55,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2168.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 136,863 people
- By 2030
- 147,255 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 167,760 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 190,593 · +39.3%
- By 2075
- 253,850 · +85.5%
- By 2100
- 314,741 · +130.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.0) · D 68.2% · R 30.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.0 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+32.7 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+30.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -357.53%
- Current HPI
- 247.5888
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.02%
- Metro
- Lawrence, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…