939 Josephine St · East McKeesport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$37,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT STARTER IN VERY NICE AREA, NEWER WIND, S, PRV SIDE PORCH, APPL, S, CEN-AIR TAX APPROX, L/B ON SIDE DOOR
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Above-ground pool
- 3,750 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $38k).
- Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 6.2% in East McKeesport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#752 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- East Allegheny SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #485 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Logan El Sch (math 12% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,238 of 1,518 statewide, top 82%, 704 students, 100% FRL); East Allegheny Jshs (math 18% / reading 27%, grade F, #383 of 437 statewide, top 88%, 670 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 55% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $259 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.49%
- DSCR
- 3.25
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,376
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449 Madison St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 794 (+4%) | 17mo | $99,900 | $126 | 73 |
| 217 James St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-2%) | 7mo | $12,000 | $16 | 70 |
| 605 Pittsburgh St | 0.15mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 854 (+12%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $105 | 62 |
| 110 James St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 713 (-7%) | 21mo | $104,000 | $146 | 56 |
| 1116 Morrelle Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (+8%) | 23mo | $89,000 | $108 | 56 |
| 233 James St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 713 (-7%) | 20mo | $117,000 | $164 | 48 |
| 227 Marguerite Ave. Rear | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 780 (+2%) | 22mo | $70,000 | $90 | 48 |
| 337 Sarah St | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 | 875 (+14%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $149 | 45 |
| 1212 Center Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 840 (+10%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $179 | 44 |
| 413 Rustic Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 788 (+3%) | 23mo | $105,400 | $134 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $22,075
- Equity at exit
- $5,591
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.29×
- Total profit
- $55,508
- Equity at exit
- $3,242
Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15035
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $887 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$197
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $455 | +0% $442 | +5% $429 | +10% $416 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $372 | -5% $407 | +0% $442 | +5% $477 | +10% $512 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $461 | -0.5pp $451 | base $442 | +0.5pp $432 | +1.0pp $422 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,375
- Closing costs
- $1,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 930 Punta Gorda Ave Unit 1 East McKeesport, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 569 Woodmont Ave Apt B East McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 569 Woodmont Ave Unit C East McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 450 Card Ave Unit 1 Wilmerding, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 210 Westinghouse Ave Unit 210-D Wilmerding, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 210 Westinghouse Ave Unit 210-E Wilmerding, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 210 Westinghouse Ave Unit 222-A Wilmerding, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $785 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1806 Greensburg Ave North Versailles Township, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,015 | $1.35 | 3d | 10 | 0.79mi |
| 215 Grant St Wall, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 960 | $750 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 165 State St Wilmerding, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 287 Palma St North Versailles, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 510 E Pittsburgh McKeesport Blvd Unit 3 North Versailles Township, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 553 | $800 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 510 E Pittsburgh McKeesport Blvd Unit 1 North Versailles Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $950 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-03-30$37,500 Active
-
2000-06-14soldstatus $45,000
-
2000-06-12soldstatus $45,000 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
GREAT STARTER IN VERY NICE AREA, NEWER WIND, S, PRV SIDE PORCH, APPL, S, CEN-AIR TAX APPROX, L/B ON SIDE DOOR
-
1999-10-09$45,300 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
GREAT STARTER IN VERY NICE AREA, NEWER WIND, S, PRV SIDE PORCH, APPL, S, CEN-AIR TAX APPROX, L/B ON SIDE DOOR
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,101
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$188
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$1,091
- Taxable income
- $5,002
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,201
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Allegheny SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208060
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,748
- Composite
- 18.44/100
- National rank
- #8930
- State rank
- #485 of 539 in PA
Livability — East McKeesport
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #752
- US rank
- #7504
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East McKeesport, PA
- City population
- 2,063
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,063
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 9% Two or more races 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.52%
- Current HPI
- 254.3099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-17.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $37,500 West Penn MLS
- 2000-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2000-06-12 Sold (MLS) $45,000 West Penn MLS
- 1999-10-09 Listed $45,300 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,033 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…