Sierra Vista Plan · Peoria, AZ 85345

$189,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,250 sqft · Manufactured · 14 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

55+ age qualified community. Tentatively available 6/15/2026. Find your place in the 55+ community of Casa del Sol Resort West I, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community. Right now, we have a 2023 model year, 1250.80 sq. ft. , 3 bed/2 bath home available to lease. You owe it to yourself to call our representatives and schedule a viewing of this home before someone else snaps it up! Lush green surroundings, pool, spa, lounge, gym, huge clubhouse for activities, library, pool table and card room, bocci ball, 9 hole pitch and putt, near fabulous find dining, shopping, sports centers, casinos and so much more nearby. Just a few touch ups and you can find this home

Key facts

• Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $189,900

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family plan (Sierra Vista); Located at N 91st Ave, Peoria, AZ 85345
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1250

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (full)
• Interior features: Plan: Sierra Vista (new construction)

🏗️ New construction. The $189,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $96,250.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $875 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
• Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
• Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 333 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $666 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $189,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 38.98%
• DSCR: 2.73
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $96,250
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
11411 N 91st Ave #195	0.11mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,232 (-1%)	7mo	$42,000	$34	82
11411 N 91st Ave #80	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,344 (+8%)	4mo	$43,000	$32	77
10951 N 91st Ave #61	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,320 (+6%)	4mo	$79,000	$60	76
11411 N 91st Ave #218	0.02mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,344 (+8%)	7mo	$52,000	$39	75
10951 N 91st Ave #218	0.31mi	3/2.0	1,168 (-7%)	1mo	$114,000	$98	74
10951 N 91 Ave #23	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,152 (-8%)	4mo	$85,000	$74	72
10951 N 91st Ave #16	0.35mi	3/2.0	1,344 (+8%)	3mo	$65,000	$48	69
11411 N 91st Ave #225	0.16mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,144 (-8%)	7mo	$88,000	$77	68
10951 N 91st Ave #245	0.31mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,344 (+8%)	6mo	$135,000	$100	63
11275 N 99th Ave #118	0.74mi	3/2.0	1,273 (+2%)	2mo	$265,000	$208	60
11275 N 99th Ave #1	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,152 (-8%)	8mo	$210,000	$182	47
11275 N 99th Ave #119	0.74mi	3/2.0	1,392 (+11%)	4mo	$265,000	$190	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 32.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.32×
• Total profit: $35,627
• Equity at exit: $14,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.16×
• Total profit: $85,092
• Equity at exit: $8,322

Cash invested: $26,950 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85345

• Home prices YoY: -19.8%
• Rents YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 333
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,950 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$505
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$120 /mo · $1,444/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$410
• Net cashflow: $875

Break-even live

Break-even rent $842

Max offer price $96,250

Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,062
• Closing costs: $2,888
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
11411 N 91st Ave Unit 134 Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1310	$1,599	$1.22	43d	1	0.02mi
9221 W Gary Rd Peoria, AZ	4.0	1.0	1300	$2,000	$1.54	43d	1	0.23mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1074	$1,595	$1.49	2d	1	0.46mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1074	$1,595	$1.49	24d	1	0.46mi
8763 W Paradise Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1575	$1,800	$1.14	43d	1	0.54mi
8782 W Shaw Butte Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1575	$2,200	$1.40	24d	1	0.59mi
8642 W Laurel Ln Peoria, AZ	4.0	2.0	1680	$2,300	$1.37	43d	1	0.62mi
8650 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	836	$1,492	$1.78	2d	19	0.67mi
8543 W Cherry Hills Dr Peoria, AZ	4.0	2.0	1680	$2,341	$1.39	24d	1	0.70mi
8621 W Shaw Butte Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1546	$1,975	$1.28	18d	1	0.70mi
8930 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,899	$1.46	43d	2	0.70mi
8930 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1300	$2,099	$1.61	23d	1	0.70mi
8630 W Shaw Butte Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1284	$1,951	$1.52	12d	1	0.71mi
8560 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ	2.0	1.0	888	$1,450	$1.63	1d	8	0.73mi
10221 N 87th Ln Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1232	$2,059	$1.67	43d	1	0.76mi
10101 N 91st Ave #109 Peoria, AZ	2.0	2.5	1161	$1,395	$1.20	2d	1	0.83mi
10316 N 94th Ln Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1352	$2,000	$1.48	24d	1	0.87mi
9002 W Malapai Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1270	$2,040	$1.61	20d	1	0.88mi
9426 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ	3.0	3.5	1405	$1,800	$1.28	16d	1	0.90mi
8368 W Paradise Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1666	$2,125	$1.28	43d	1	0.92mi
8311 W Edwards St Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1242	$2,100	$1.69	24d	1	0.93mi
12751 N Plaza Del Rio Blvd Peoria, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1007	$1,890	$1.88	1d	10	0.95mi
11635 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ	4.0	2.0	1740	$2,070	$1.19	5d	1	0.97mi
11110 N 82nd Ln Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1350	$1,899	$1.41	24d	1	0.98mi
12160 N 83rd Dr Peoria, AZ	4.0	2.0	1818	$1,995	$1.10	21d	1	0.99mi
11175 N 82nd Ln Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1821	$2,390	$1.31	1d	1	0.99mi
12976 N 88th Ln Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.5	1765	$1,825	$1.03	43d	1	1.01mi
12990 N 88th Ln Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.5	1624	$1,995	$1.23	21d	1	1.01mi
8773 W Dahlia Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.5	1439	$2,200	$1.53	4d	1	1.03mi
12972 N 88th Ave Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.5	1522	$2,000	$1.31	43d	1	1.04mi
9323 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1306	$1,985	$1.52	23d	1	1.05mi
9323 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1306	$2,085	$1.60	43d	1	1.05mi
8834 W Purdue Ave Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1319	$1,800	$1.36	3d	1	1.05mi
8609 W Dahlia Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	3.0	1431	$1,550	$1.08	43d	1	1.11mi
10104 N 96th Dr Unit A Peoria, AZ	2.0	2.0	1072	$1,750	$1.63	24d	1	1.12mi
12480 N 83rd Dr Peoria, AZ	3.0	2.0	1410	$1,895	$1.34	2d	1	1.14mi
9427 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ	4.0	2.0	1591	$1,944	$1.22	10d	1	1.14mi
9607 N 88th Dr Peoria, AZ	4.0	2.0	1541	$1,989	$1.29	20d	1	1.15mi
11014 N 81st Ave Peoria, AZ	3.0	3.0	1133	$1,699	$1.50	5d	1	1.19mi
8770 W Wood Dr Peoria, AZ	4.0	2.5	1765	$2,025	$1.15	5d	1	1.20mi

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $189,900 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $189,900 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $189,900 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $189,900 Active 9 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $189,900 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $189,900 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
11. 2026-06-04
    listed $189,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,401
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,391
• − Property taxes: −$1,444
• − Insurance: −$481
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,872
• − Management: −$1,872
• − Depreciation: −$2,800
• Taxable income: $9,541
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,290
• After-tax cash flow: $8,215/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 55+ community home is in good condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. A fresh coat of paint and new carpets would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
• Both replace carpets — improves comfort and reduces allergens

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
• Both replace carpets — improves comfort and reduces allergens ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Peoria Unified School District (4237)
• NCES district ID: 0406250
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $60,171
• Composite: 34.62/100
• National rank: #5152
• State rank: #64 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Peoria

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #14
• US rank: #3603

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A Cost of living C- Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Peoria, AZ
• County: Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
• City population: 206,687
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 60,918
• Household income: $67,380
• Rent vs Own: 33.5% rent · 66.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1879.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 29%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -80.77%
• Current HPI: 328.1069
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.62%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B