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168 Green Cabin Way
D- Composite 39.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +3.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$489,900

168 Green Cabin Way · Talking Rock, GA 30175
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,533 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1997 5.00 ac lot $193/sqft · 25% below area Est $653k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seasonal views, quiet spot in community, one home with 2 Lots with approximately 5 acres. Discover you oportunity to aquire land an open living space at 168 Green Cabin Way, Talking Rock, GA, US. Constructed in 1997, this inviting home offers 2533 square feet of living space, presenting a ready-to-move-in condition for buyers. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed for both culinary pursuits and social gatherings, featuring a central island that enhances functionality and provides an inviting focal point. The living room serves as the heart of the home, characterized by its impressive high ceiling and vaulted ceiling, which together create an expansive and airy atmosphere. The hardwood flooring throughout this space adds a touch of classic elegance and warmth. This property represents an unparalleled opportunity to embrace a refined lifestyle in a home ready for your own personal touch. We invite you to schedule a private viewing to experience this remarkable residence firsthand. The basement is large and unfinished, ready for customization. HVAC is new as of 4/2023 Parcel Numbers: 3115D 018 and 3115D 019

Key facts

  • Central island
  • High ceiling
  • Quiet spot

Tags

SEASONAL VIEWSQUIET SPOT2 LOTS5 ACRESCENTRAL ISLANDHIGH CEILING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Has association

Exterior

  • Parking: 3-car garage; 6 total parking spaces; Garage parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; 220-volt electric service; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Three or more levels; Unfinished basement; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Garages as other structures; Built with traditional construction materials
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Patio; Private road frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master on main; 2 main-level bedrooms; 2 upper-level bedrooms; Loft
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 2 main-level bathrooms; 1 upper-level full bathroom; Master bathroom with additional features
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Skylights; Double-pane windows; Masonry fireplace with gas starter
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $490k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (50.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (59.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (59.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 1.5% in Talking Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#430 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Clear Creek Middle School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 917 students, 63% FRL); Gilmer High School (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 1,174 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 312 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $52k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $49k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$84k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($475k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $178k; list at $490k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $197,439 (59.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.40%
Cap rate
2.86%
Cash-on-cash
-12.27%
DSCR
0.45
GRM
20.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$652,897
List price
$489,900
Delta
-24.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
222 Grouse Ln 0.22mi 3/2.5 2,192 (-14%) 3mo $725,000 $331 63
High Summit Dr 0.49mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,700 (+7%) 23mo $723,650 $268 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$177,233
Equity at exit
$441,341
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$591,729
Equity at exit
$951,768

Cash invested: $137,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30175

Home prices YoY
9.8%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
20.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,974 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,569
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,273/yr
Insurance
$204
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$-1,403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,750
Max offer price $242,079
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,126 -5% $-1,264 +0% $-1,403 +5% $-1,542 +10% $-1,680
Rent -10% $-1,559 -5% $-1,481 +0% $-1,403 +5% $-1,325 +10% $-1,247
Rate -1.0pp $-1,156 -0.5pp $-1,278 base $-1,403 +0.5pp $-1,530 +1.0pp $-1,659

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$122,475
Closing costs
$14,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $489,900 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $489,900 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $489,900 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $489,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $489,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $489,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $489,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $489,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $489,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $489,900 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $489,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $489,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $489,900 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $489,900 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $489,900 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $489,900 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-04-18
    listed $500,000 New 1130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1130 chars)

    Seasonal views, quiet spot in community, one home with 2 Lots with approximately 5 acres. Discover you oportunity to aquire land an open living space at 168 Green Cabin Way, Talking Rock, GA, US. Constructed in 1997, this inviting home offers 2533 square feet of living space, presenting a ready-to-move-in condition for buyers. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed for both culinary pursuits and social gatherings, featuring a central island that enhances functionality and provides an inviting focal point. The living room serves as the heart of the home, characterized by its impressive high ceiling and vaulted ceiling, which together create an expansive and airy atmosphere. The hardwood flooring throughout this space adds a touch of classic elegance and warmth. This property represents an unparalleled opportunity to embrace a refined lifestyle in a home ready for your own personal touch. We invite you to schedule a private viewing to experience this remarkable residence firsthand. The basement is large and unfinished, ready for customization. HVAC is new as of 4/2023 Parcel Numbers: 3115D 018 and 3115D 019

  18. 2026-04-18
    listed $500,000 Active 1130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1130 chars)

    Seasonal views, quiet spot in community, one home with 2 Lots with approximately 5 acres. Discover you oportunity to aquire land an open living space at 168 Green Cabin Way, Talking Rock, GA, US. Constructed in 1997, this inviting home offers 2533 square feet of living space, presenting a ready-to-move-in condition for buyers. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed for both culinary pursuits and social gatherings, featuring a central island that enhances functionality and provides an inviting focal point. The living room serves as the heart of the home, characterized by its impressive high ceiling and vaulted ceiling, which together create an expansive and airy atmosphere. The hardwood flooring throughout this space adds a touch of classic elegance and warmth. This property represents an unparalleled opportunity to embrace a refined lifestyle in a home ready for your own personal touch. We invite you to schedule a private viewing to experience this remarkable residence firsthand. The basement is large and unfinished, ready for customization. HVAC is new as of 4/2023 Parcel Numbers: 3115D 018 and 3115D 019

  19. 1998-12-01
    soldstatus $178,500
  20. 1998-12-01
    soldstatus $178,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,273 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,507 · $376/mo
Expected delta
+$2,234/yr (+$186/mo · 98.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,693
− Mortgage interest
−$27,442
− Property taxes
−$2,273
− Insurance
−$2,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,895
− Management
−$1,895
− Depreciation
−$14,252
Taxable loss
−$26,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,363
After-tax cash flow
$-10,471/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gilmer County
NCES district ID
1302340
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,473
Composite
31.53/100
National rank
#5961
State rank
#56 of 174 in GA

Livability — Talking Rock

Score
58/100
State rank
#430
US rank
#20982

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,086

Population outlook (Gilmer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,466 people
By 2030
32,199 · +2.3%
By 2040
33,034 · +5.0%
By 2050
33,266 · +5.7%
By 2075
33,686 · +7.1%
By 2100
33,792 · +7.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gilmer

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.6 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+63.3 2008: R+52.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 33.86%
Current HPI
380.3811
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+174.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $489,900 FMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $489,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $500,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $500,000 GAMLS
  • 1998-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $178,500 Public Records
  • 1998-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $178,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,273 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…