1010 Kenmore St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property being sold as is . perfect for a tear property needs a full rehab. Cash offers only!!!
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1928
- Listed 84 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Currently unimproved
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres; No private pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Convection oven
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.93%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $105,492
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 831 Ashford St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (+2%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $44 | 77 |
| 753 Fernway St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 929 (+4%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $118 | 76 |
| 844 Crestwood St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-11%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $95 | 64 |
| 569 W 49th St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+3%) | 2mo | $57,000 | $62 | 64 |
| 733 Escambia St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 975 (+9%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $92 | 64 |
| 7069 Alan Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 872 (-2%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $149 | 62 |
| 5298 Golfbrook Dr | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (-2%) | 8mo | $116,500 | $133 | 61 |
| 557 Chestnut Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 943 (+6%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $133 | 59 |
| 816 Ashford St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,007 (+13%) | 10mo | $116,000 | $115 | 52 |
| 681 Chestnut Dr | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 759 (-15%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 950 Ashton St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+12%) | 4mo | $142,500 | $143 | 47 |
| 429 W 46th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (+14%) | 2mo | $167,000 | $164 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $21,032
- Equity at exit
- $7,156
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.50×
- Total profit
- $47,071
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,439 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,122 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,339/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $503
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,999
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1059 Glencarin St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $897 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1136 Maynard St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,045 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 961 Dorchester St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,025 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 851 Broxton St Unit 851 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5514 Long St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,250 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5616 Calvin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,195 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 6460 Lanark Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,095 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 535 W 59th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 7d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 562 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,195 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1244 Ida St Apt 4 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 686 | $900 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 19d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7210 Elwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $995 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 356 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,425 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 425 W 47th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1083 | $1,193 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7124 Lorain St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,043 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7350 Linda Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $795 | $0.83 | 7d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 319 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1536 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7511 N Shore Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 666 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4813 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $870 | $1.15 | 2d | 8 | 0.91mi |
| 1567 Rutledge Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,113 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 511 Ivy St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4918 N Pearl St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 917 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 849 W 30th St Apt 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $965 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 141 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,231 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1196 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $880 | $1.01 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3902 Stuart St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 451 Long Branch Blvd Unit 451 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5736 Teeler Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,000 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1316 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $998 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3914 Springfield Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3914 Springfield Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1104 W 29th St Unit 1104 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $850 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1417 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 92 W 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $845 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1204 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 3.0 | 960 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4114 Moncrief Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,050 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,995 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $47,995 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $47,995 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $47,995 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $47,995 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $47,995 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $47,995 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,995 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $47,995 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,995 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $47,995 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,995 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-04-02price $47,995
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-03-28status Pending
-
2026-03-20$49,995 Active
-
2002-02-06soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,339 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,339 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,688
- − Property taxes
- −$1,339
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,077
- − Management
- −$1,077
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $5,647
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,355
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-23.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $47,995 realMLS
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-03-28 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $49,995 realMLS
- 2002-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,339 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…