1601 Us Hwy 441 Se #156 · Taylor Creek, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home in desirable Oasis Village, a 55+ community in Okeechobee, features an open living room and kitchen, Florida room, metal roof, covered entrance, and covered parking. Enjoy a spacious lot with an attached large shed plus extra storage, perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. The community offers an association pool, clubhouse, and shuffleboard, making this a great place to relax, socialize, and enjoy Florida living.
Key facts
- Open living room
- Metal roof
- Covered parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Quarterly association fee; Community clubhouse; Community pool; Shuffleboard; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered carport; 1 covered carport space; Guest parking; Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Faces west; Slab foundation
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Aluminum roof; Make/Model: WEST
- Exterior features: Community pool; None (no additional exterior features listed)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Bathtub; Family/Dining room; Second floor entry; First floor entry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-865/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (10.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $124k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.1% in Taylor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#874 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Okeechobee (town): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #58 of 73 in FL (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 402 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Okeechobee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $861 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okeechobee County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $124k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.48%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,680
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1601 Us Highway 441 Hwy SE #108 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 612 (-5%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $172 | 89 |
| 1913 SE 30th St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 700 (+9%) | 13mo | $154,000 | $220 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-24,623
- Equity at exit
- $18,563
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-26,772
- Equity at exit
- $10,764
Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34974
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 402
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,255 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$653
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,183/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$260
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $-72
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,125
- Closing costs
- $3,735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $260 · $3,120/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $124,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 462-char remark
-
2026-06-17$124,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,183 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,183 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,057
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,974
- − Property taxes
- −$1,183
- − Insurance
- −$622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,205
- − Management
- −$1,205
- − HOA
- −$3,120
- − Depreciation
- −$3,622
- Taxable loss
- −$2,874
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$690
- After-tax cash flow
- $-176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okeechobee
- NCES district ID
- 1201410
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,710
- Composite
- 35.73/100
- National rank
- #4855
- State rank
- #58 of 73 in FL
Livability — Taylor Creek
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #874
- US rank
- #23017
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Okeechobee County · 23,975 people
- Metro
- Okeechobee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,975
- Household income
- $53,013
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 399.0
Population outlook (Okeechobee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,273 people
- By 2030
- 35,885 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 32,931 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 29,433 · -21.0%
- By 2075
- 19,607 · -47.4%
- By 2100
- 11,814 · -68.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okeechobee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.9% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -53.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.8 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.47%
- Current HPI
- 348.6692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Okeechobee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+100.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $124,500 MARMLS
- 2022-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,183 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…