814 S Terrace St · Temple, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer Upper with lots of potential.
Key facts
- 5,998 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1913
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D+.
- Temple ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #590 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.09%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,445
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -5.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 S 6th St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+1%) | 7mo | $149,999 | $187 | 60 |
| 1004 S 12th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 868 (+10%) | 1mo | $30,500 | $35 | 57 |
| 1309 S 4th St | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 | 720 (-9%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $104 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-439
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $14,810
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76501
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,320/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $185 | +0% $165 | +5% $145 | +10% $125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $98 | -5% $131 | +0% $165 | +5% $198 | +10% $232 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $200 | -0.5pp $183 | base $165 | +0.5pp $147 | +1.0pp $128 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 S 20th St Unit b Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $750 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 714 S 20th St Unit B Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 701a S 24th St Unit A Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $795 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 701 S 24th St Unit B Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $795 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 607 A S Terrace ST Unit A Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $550 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1104 S Terrace St Unit A Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $750 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 606 S 26th St Apt A Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $750 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 513 S Knob St Unit B Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $550 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 706 S 16th St Unit B Temple, TX | — | 1.0 | 560 | $750 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 510 S Knob St Unit A Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $650 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1118 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit D Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 572 | $750 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 514 E Central Ave Unit B Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $695 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4 N 4th St Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,400 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1518 S 7th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,100 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 715 N 20th St Apt 7 Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1511 S 11th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,095 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1615 S 11th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,995 | $1.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1205 S 17th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $625 | $0.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 807 N 6th St Unit A Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $695 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 807 N 4th St Unit A Temple, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $695 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1305 S 21st St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $70,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-02-19$70,000 Active 35-char remark
Show marketing remark (35 chars)
Fixer Upper with lots of potential.
-
2022-08-26soldstatus
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2022-08-26soldstatus
-
1992-07-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,320 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,320 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,320
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $936
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$225
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,754/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Temple ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842330
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,120
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7123
- State rank
- #590 of 826 in TX
Livability — Temple
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #3814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Temple, TX
- County
- Bell County · 345,090 people
- City population
- 96,587
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,752
- Household income
- $62,532
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 466.0
Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 371,114 people
- By 2030
- 389,104 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 420,592 · +13.3%
- By 2050
- 447,779 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 499,130 · +34.5%
- By 2100
- 505,680 · +36.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 18% Black 17% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Bell
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.09%
- Current HPI
- 177.0555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Listed $70,000 CTXMLS
- 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-07-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,320 · +22.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…