510 Sierra Ridge Ct · Spartanburg, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$218,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable 2 BR 2 bath home situated on a quiet cul de sac. This home is in immaculate condition and ready to move in to. Gas heat and central air. The fenced yard offers privacy and quiet. Laminate flooring in all the main areas and carpet in the 2 bedrooms. The kitchen offers stainless appliances, granite countertops, ceramic back splash and pantry, All appliances remain. Single carport with a storage room attached. The furniture can remain if it is needed.
Key facts
- Fenced-in backyard
- Built 1998
- Listed 121 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-220/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (1.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Spartanburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#24 in SC, #3,679 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Spartanburg 06 (suburban): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #35 of 80 in SC (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,129 units permitted in Spartanburg County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spartanburg County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.36%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,788
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Peccole Pass Ln | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,229 (+2%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $175 | 89 |
| 2285 Davenport Ct | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+2%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $204 | 78 |
| 2141 Pomerol Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,268 (+6%) | 0mo | $238,000 | $188 | 74 |
| 708 Larado Ct | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,369 (+14%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $157 | 72 |
| 2240 Davenport Court Ct | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,247 (+4%) | 2mo | $244,575 | $196 | 70 |
| 728 Cerons St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,345 (+12%) | 1mo | $268,000 | $199 | 66 |
| 2224 Davenport Court Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,247 (+4%) | 7mo | $247,075 | $198 | 65 |
| 58 Arbours West Ln | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (+8%) | 7mo | $228,000 | $175 | 63 |
| 2209 Davenport Court Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+14%) | 2mo | $260,065 | $190 | 52 |
| 214 Ashton Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,346 (+12%) | 1mo | $229,000 | $170 | 51 |
| 2208 Davenport Court Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+14%) | 6mo | $254,900 | $186 | 49 |
| 2185 Davenport Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+14%) | 7mo | $253,240 | $185 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-38,661
- Equity at exit
- $32,505
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-43,849
- Equity at exit
- $18,849
Cash invested: $61,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29369
- Home prices YoY
- -27.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,690 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,143
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,437/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,500
- Closing costs
- $6,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2180 Davenport Ct Moore, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 202 Tower Dr Moore, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,700 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 460 E Blackstock Rd Spartanburg, SC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 430 E Blackstock Rd Spartanburg, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $915 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $218,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $218,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $218,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $218,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $218,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $218,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $218,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $218,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $218,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $218,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $218,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $218,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $218,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $218,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-02-13$218,000 Active
-
2024-07-26soldstatus $198,000
-
2024-06-09$199,900 Active 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Adorable 2 BR 2 bath home situated on a quiet cul de sac. This home is in immaculate condition and ready to move in to. Gas heat and central air. The fenced yard offers privacy and quiet. Laminate flooring in all the main areas and carpet in the 2 bedrooms. The kitchen offers stainless appliances, granite countertops, ceramic back splash and pantry, All appliances remain. Single carport with a storage room attached. The furniture can remain if it is needed.
-
2016-04-26soldstatus $99,000
-
2016-04-25soldstatus $99,000 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
2BR 2BA patio home in Cypress Ridge in District 6. New flooring, lights, fans and paint. Beautiful. A real must see!
-
2016-03-22$99,000 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
2BR 2BA patio home in Cypress Ridge in District 6. New flooring, lights, fans and paint. Beautiful. A real must see!
-
2016-01-28soldstatus $56,000
-
2015-12-06$75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,437 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,437 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,211
- − Property taxes
- −$1,437
- − Insurance
- −$1,090
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,623
- − Management
- −$1,623
- − Depreciation
- −$6,342
- Taxable loss
- −$4,040
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$970
- After-tax cash flow
- $750/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spartanburg 06
- NCES district ID
- 4503630
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,110
- Composite
- 32.02/100
- National rank
- #5827
- State rank
- #35 of 80 in SC
Livability — Spartanburg
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #3679
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Spartanburg County · 258,607 people
- City population
- 120,406
- Metro
- Spartanburg, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,503
- Household income
- $82,924
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 199.0
Population outlook (Spartanburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 325,495 people
- By 2030
- 338,800 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 363,471 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 384,156 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 430,137 · +32.1%
- By 2100
- 442,733 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spartanburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+27.3 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.31%
- Current HPI
- 212.4242
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.75%
- Metro
- Spartanburg, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+190.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Listed $218,000 Fizber.com
- 2024-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $198,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-09 Listed $199,900 SPMLS
- 2016-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-25 Sold (MLS) $99,000 SPMLS
- 2016-03-22 Listed $99,000 SPMLS
- 2016-01-28 Sold (MLS) $56,000 SPMLS
- 2015-12-06 Listed $75,000 SPMLS
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,437 · +135.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…