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405 1st St Multi-family
C- Composite 50.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$29,000

405 1st St · Franklin, PA 15431
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,972 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 216 Days on market
Built 1920 0.72 ac lot $15/sqft · 85% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Huge home on almost an Acre Lot! Four bedroom and 2 bath home with huge side and back yard. Country living in a peaceful setting while still close to all modern necessities.

Key facts

  • Huge back yard
  • Acre lot
  • Huge side yard

Tags

ACRE LOTHUGE SIDE YARDHUGE BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $29k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 41.4% vs local median 4.8% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#812 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, employment D.
  • Uniontown Area SD (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #392 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $737 of equity ($200 loan paydown + $537 appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $22k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $25,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.52%
Cap rate
41.40%
Cash-on-cash
125.39%
DSCR
6.58
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$198,845
List price
$29,000
Delta
-85.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.85% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.87×
Total profit
$55,824
Equity at exit
$11,209
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.43×
Total profit
$125,257
Equity at exit
$15,967

Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15431

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$152
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $261/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$848

Break-even live

Break-even rent $235
Max offer price $29,000
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $865 -5% $857 +0% $848 +5% $840 +10% $832
Rent -10% $745 -5% $797 +0% $848 +5% $900 +10% $952
Rate -1.0pp $863 -0.5pp $856 base $848 +0.5pp $841 +1.0pp $833

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,250
Closing costs
$870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,000 Active 216 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,000 Active 215 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,000 Active 214 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,000 Active 213 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,000 Active 211 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,000 Active 210 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,000 Active 207 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,000 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,000 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,000 Active 204 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,000 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,000 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,000 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,000 Active 198 DOM
  15. 2025-11-14
    listed $29,000 Active 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Huge home on almost an Acre Lot! Four bedroom and 2 bath home with huge side and back yard. Country living in a peaceful setting while still close to all modern necessities.

  16. 2006-05-16
    soldstatus $22,492

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$261 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$360 · $30/mo
Expected delta
+$98/yr (+$8/mo · 37.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,713
− Mortgage interest
−$1,624
− Property taxes
−$261
− Insurance
−$145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,257
− Management
−$1,257
− Depreciation
−$844
Taxable income
$10,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,478
After-tax cash flow
$7,704/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Uniontown Area SD
NCES district ID
4224150
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$36,744
Composite
31.48/100
National rank
#5977
State rank
#392 of 539 in PA

Livability — Franklin

Score
69/100
State rank
#812
US rank
#8260

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,328

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.85%
Current HPI
153.7077
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $29,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2006-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $22,492 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $261 · -75.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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