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408 Bistineau Lake Rd
A- Composite 80.41
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$74,385

408 Bistineau Lake Rd · Ringgold, LA 71068
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Manufactured public records · 100 Days on market
Built 2019 0.91 ac lot $46/sqft · 42% below area Est $127k · 42% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Remote master bedroom with walk in closet. Located across the street from Lake Bistineau. Property sold in as is condition.

Key facts

  • Lake bistineau
  • Master bedroom
  • Walk in closet

Tags

MASTER BEDROOMWALK IN CLOSETLAKE BISTINEAU

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($182/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#336 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bienville Parish (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #42 of 98 in LA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Bienville Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($515 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bienville County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,690 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
13.42%
Cash-on-cash
25.45%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,452
List price
$74,385
Delta
-41.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$10,172
Equity at exit
$33,447
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$35,205
Equity at exit
$51,545

Cash invested: $20,828 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71068

Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,139 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$390
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $446/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,120
Max offer price $74,385
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,596
Closing costs
$2,232
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,385 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,385 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,385 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $74,385 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,300 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,300 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $78,300 Active 94 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $78,300 Active 93 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,300 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,300 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,300 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $78,300 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,300 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,300 Active 83 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,300 Active 82 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,300 Active 81 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $78,300 Active 80 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    price $78,300 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Remote master bedroom with walk in closet. Located across the street from Lake Bistineau. Property sold in as is condition.

  19. 2026-03-09
    listed $80,000 Active 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    Remote master bedroom with walk in closet. Located across the street from Lake Bistineau. Property sold in as is condition.

  20. 2026-03-05
    historical
  21. 2026-02-24
    price $80,000
  22. 2026-01-19
    price $82,500
  23. 2025-12-16
    historical
  24. 2025-12-15
    listed $85,000 Active
  25. 2025-12-15
    listed $85,000 Active
  26. 2025-12-05
    historical
  27. 2025-11-05
    historical Active Contingent
  28. 2025-09-05
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$446 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$446 · $37/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,670
− Mortgage interest
−$4,167
− Property taxes
−$446
− Insurance
−$5,490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,094
− Management
−$1,094
− Depreciation
−$2,164
Taxable loss
−$784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$188
After-tax cash flow
$370/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bienville Parish
NCES district ID
2200210
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$31,737
Composite
26.08/100
National rank
#7296
State rank
#42 of 98 in LA

Livability — Ringgold

Score
56/100
State rank
#336
US rank
#22547

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,325

Population outlook (Bienville County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,109 people
By 2030
12,626 · -3.7%
By 2040
11,620 · -11.4%
By 2050
10,647 · -18.8%
By 2075
8,555 · -34.7%
By 2100
6,717 · -48.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bienville

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 40.5% · R 58.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+8.9 2012: R+2.1 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $78,300 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $80,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-05 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $80,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $82,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-16 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $85,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $85,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-05 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-11-05 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $85,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $446 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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