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B- Composite 69.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$108,900

603 Griffin Blvd · Farmville, VA 23901
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,276 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1914 4,356 sqft lot ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step back in time with this stately 5-bedroom, 1.5 -bathroom home located up & across the street from Longwood University. Built in 1914, this spacious two-story residence showcases timeless character, featuring multiple original (non-functional) fireplaces, hardwood details, and inviting front and rear screened porches. With ample living space, off-street parking, a carport, and a detached shed, this property offers versatility and functionality. Whether you're envisioning a rental, or restoring it into your dream home, the potential here is endless. A true diamond in the rough, this historic home is waiting for the right owner to bring it back to life. An incredible opportunity in a

Key facts

  • Hardwood details
  • Screened porches
  • Off-street parking

Tags

ORIGINAL FIREPLACESHARDWOOD DETAILSSCREENED PORCHESOFF-STREET PARKINGDETACHED SHEDPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 2.8% in Farmville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#79 in VA, #2,622 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Prince Edward County Public School District (town): math 25% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #126 of 131 in VA (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Prince Edward County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $753 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince Edward County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,366 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.54%
Cash-on-cash
25.87%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$325,468
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
401 Second Ave 0.28mi 4/3.0 2,247 (-1%) 2mo $376,000 $167 75
614 First Ave 0.12mi 4/2.0 1,968 (-14%) 7mo $235,000 $119 62
905 Irving St 0.23mi 4/3.0 2,402 (+6%) 13mo $380,500 $158 61
410 Fourth Ave 0.34mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,401 (+6%) 3mo $385,000 $160 58
1203 Sixth Ave 0.67mi 4/2.5 2,273 (-0%) 13mo $325,000 $143 52
700 First Ave 0.13mi 4/3.5 2,556 (+12%) 22mo $339,000 $133 45
1201 Fifth Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 2,440 (+7%) 23mo $325,000 $133 37
1305 Lee Dr 0.69mi 4/3.0 2,581 (+13%) 6mo $312,000 $121 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$24,202
Equity at exit
$16,237
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$74,896
Equity at exit
$9,416

Cash invested: $30,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23901

Home prices YoY
-21.9%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,684 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$571
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $676/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $852
Max offer price $108,900
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,225
Closing costs
$3,267
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $108,900 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $108,900 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    status $108,900 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2025-07-14
    status Pending
  5. 2025-07-03
    price $108,900
  6. 2025-07-01
    status Active
  7. 2025-06-25
    historical Active Under Contract
  8. 2025-05-30
    price $121,000
  9. 2025-04-18
    listed $137,000 Active
  10. 2024-07-25
    historical
  11. 2024-07-16
    status Active
  12. 2024-07-04
    status Pending
  13. 2024-07-03
    price $125,000
  14. 2024-04-18
    listed $185,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$676 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$893 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$217/yr (+$18/mo · 32.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,206
− Mortgage interest
−$6,100
− Property taxes
−$676
− Insurance
−$544
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,617
− Management
−$1,617
− Depreciation
−$3,168
Taxable income
$6,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,556
After-tax cash flow
$6,333/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince Edward County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103060
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -37.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$39,482
Composite
30.49/100
National rank
#6221
State rank
#126 of 131 in VA

Livability — Farmville

Score
78/100
State rank
#79
US rank
#2622

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmville, VA
City population
1,176
Population (ZIP)
15,016

Population outlook (Prince Edward County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,387 people
By 2030
24,161 · -0.9%
By 2040
23,194 · -4.9%
By 2050
22,292 · -8.6%
By 2075
20,854 · -14.5%
By 2100
19,030 · -22.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince Edward

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.2% · R 50.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.9pp · 2024: -2.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.6 2020: D+5.6 2016: D+5.4 2012: D+12.8 2008: D+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.68%
Current HPI
183.9782
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-41.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-14 Pending SCAR
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $108,900 SCAR
  • 2025-07-01 Relisted SCAR
  • 2025-06-25 Contingent SCAR
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $121,000 SCAR
  • 2025-04-18 Listed $137,000 SCAR
  • 2024-07-25 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2024-07-16 Relisted CVRMLS
  • 2024-07-04 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2024-07-03 Price Changed $125,000 CVRMLS
  • 2024-04-18 Listed $185,000 CVRMLS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $676 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…