603 Griffin Blvd · Farmville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step back in time with this stately 5-bedroom, 1.5 -bathroom home located up & across the street from Longwood University. Built in 1914, this spacious two-story residence showcases timeless character, featuring multiple original (non-functional) fireplaces, hardwood details, and inviting front and rear screened porches. With ample living space, off-street parking, a carport, and a detached shed, this property offers versatility and functionality. Whether you're envisioning a rental, or restoring it into your dream home, the potential here is endless. A true diamond in the rough, this historic home is waiting for the right owner to bring it back to life. An incredible opportunity in a
Key facts
- Hardwood details
- Screened porches
- Off-street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 2.8% in Farmville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#79 in VA, #2,622 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment F.
- Prince Edward County Public School District (town): math 25% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #126 of 131 in VA (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Prince Edward County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $753 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince Edward County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.87%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $325,468
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 Second Ave | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 | 2,247 (-1%) | 2mo | $376,000 | $167 | 75 |
| 614 First Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,968 (-14%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 905 Irving St | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 | 2,402 (+6%) | 13mo | $380,500 | $158 | 61 |
| 410 Fourth Ave | 0.34mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,401 (+6%) | 3mo | $385,000 | $160 | 58 |
| 1203 Sixth Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,273 (-0%) | 13mo | $325,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 700 First Ave | 0.13mi | 4/3.5 | 2,556 (+12%) | 22mo | $339,000 | $133 | 45 |
| 1201 Fifth Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 2,440 (+7%) | 23mo | $325,000 | $133 | 37 |
| 1305 Lee Dr | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 | 2,581 (+13%) | 6mo | $312,000 | $121 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $24,202
- Equity at exit
- $16,237
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $74,896
- Equity at exit
- $9,416
Cash invested: $30,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23901
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,684 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$571
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $676/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $657
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,225
- Closing costs
- $3,267
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $108,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $108,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $108,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2025-07-14status Pending
-
2025-07-03price $108,900
-
2025-07-01status Active
-
2025-06-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-05-30price $121,000
-
2025-04-18$137,000 Active
-
2024-07-25historical
-
2024-07-16status Active
-
2024-07-04status Pending
-
2024-07-03price $125,000
-
2024-04-18$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $676 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $893 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$217/yr (+$18/mo · 32.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,206
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,100
- − Property taxes
- −$676
- − Insurance
- −$544
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,617
- − Management
- −$1,617
- − Depreciation
- −$3,168
- Taxable income
- $6,484
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,556
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,333/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince Edward County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103060
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,482
- Composite
- 30.49/100
- National rank
- #6221
- State rank
- #126 of 131 in VA
Livability — Farmville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #2622
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmville, VA
- City population
- 1,176
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,016
Population outlook (Prince Edward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,387 people
- By 2030
- 24,161 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 23,194 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 22,292 · -8.6%
- By 2075
- 20,854 · -14.5%
- By 2100
- 19,030 · -22.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince Edward
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.2% · R 50.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.9pp · 2024: -2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.6 2020: D+5.6 2016: D+5.4 2012: D+12.8 2008: D+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.68%
- Current HPI
- 183.9782
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-41.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-14 Pending — SCAR
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $108,900 SCAR
- 2025-07-01 Relisted — SCAR
- 2025-06-25 Contingent — SCAR
- 2025-05-30 Price Changed $121,000 SCAR
- 2025-04-18 Listed $137,000 SCAR
- 2024-07-25 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2024-07-16 Relisted — CVRMLS
- 2024-07-04 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2024-07-03 Price Changed $125,000 CVRMLS
- 2024-04-18 Listed $185,000 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $676 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…