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2081 Chaffee Rd S #179
B+ Composite 79.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,500

2081 Chaffee Rd S #179 · Jacksonville, FL 32221
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,683 sqft · Manufactured · 14 Days on market
Built 1993 Good condition Est $140k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home! This home offers comfortable living with a relaxed lifestyle all within a welcoming mobile home park community. Step inside and enjoy a bright, inviting space that's ready for you to make your own. Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing, or simply seeking an affordable place to call home, this property provides a great opportunity. Enjoy the convenience of community living with a close walk to the pool, park, and community center. While still being close to shopping, dining, major highways, and everything Jacksonville has to offer. With a peaceful setting, you'll love coming home each day. Also, with this Florida heat you can enjoy the nice AC updated a year ag

Key facts

  • Built 1993
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Water available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bathroom with separate tub and shower; Accessible approach with ramp
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $835 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.36%
Cash-on-cash
35.95%
DSCR
2.60
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,689
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10546 Normandy Blvd 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,508 (-10%) 21mo $125,000 $83 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$35,372
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$92,550
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32221

Home prices YoY
-19.2%
Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,927 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$835

Break-even live

Break-even rent $870
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $903 -5% $869 +0% $835 +5% $800 +10% $766
Rent -10% $682 -5% $759 +0% $835 +5% $911 +10% $987
Rate -1.0pp $885 -0.5pp $860 base $835 +0.5pp $809 +1.0pp $783

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2081 Chaffee Rd S #72 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $1,309 $1.08 24d 1 0.03mi
2081 Chaffee Rd S Unit 43 Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1904 $1,829 $0.96 5d 1 0.03mi
2081 Chaffee Rd S #19 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,619 $1.41 24d 1 0.05mi
2120 Blair Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,675 $1.32 24d 1 0.49mi
2167 Kistlers Ridge Way Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,900 $1.30 15d 1 0.67mi
2210 Kistlers Ridge Way Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,846 $1.27 24d 1 0.74mi
2012 James Wilson Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 2038 $1,989 $0.98 13d 1 0.84mi
2625 Fox Creek Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 2018 $2,040 $1.01 24d 1 0.89mi
1916 Constitutional Republic Pl Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1975 $2,029 $1.03 2d 1 1.03mi
2514 Paris Mill Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1974 $2,096 $1.06 8d 1 1.07mi
11269 Revolutionary Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1716 $1,919 $1.12 8d 1 1.09mi
10355 Shelby Creek Rd S Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1917 $2,100 $1.10 21d 1 1.10mi
1832 James Madison Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1716 $2,010 $1.17 15d 1 1.12mi
1916 Allegiance Pl Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1439 $2,100 $1.46 4d 12 1.15mi
1362 Panther Preserve Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1599 $2,400 $1.50 18d 1 1.22mi
1433 Royal Dornoch Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 3.0 1860 $2,400 $1.29 24d 1 1.28mi
11242 Panther Creek Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1529 $2,100 $1.37 5d 1 1.29mi
2274 Tyson Lake Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1710 $1,975 $1.15 3d 1 1.36mi
1951 April Oaks Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1705 $1,879 $1.10 4d 1 1.41mi
10161 Meadow Pointe Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1810 $2,035 $1.12 17d 1 1.45mi
11561 Admirals Cove Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1780 $2,100 $1.18 17d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,500 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,500 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,500 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $99,500 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-05
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,123
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$1,492
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,850
− Management
−$1,850
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$8,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,152
After-tax cash flow
$7,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with recent updates, offering a comfortable and inviting living space in a well-maintained community.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Resale Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Resale Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,833
Household income
$82,969
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.74%
Current HPI
263.7591
Rent YoY
▲ 2.12%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $110,000 realMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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